
A steady large-cap momentum story trading at a premium valuation. Frameworks sharply disagree on it.
Mkt Cap
$183.32B
P/E
—
PEG
25.72
P/B
30.63
Dividend
—
ROE
169.9%
About the business
The Boeing Company, together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, sells, services, and supports commercial jetliners, military aircraft, satellites, missile defense, human space flight and launch systems, and services worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Commercial Airplanes; Defense, Space & Security; and Global Services. The Commercial Airplanes segment develops, produces, and markets commercial jet aircraft for passenger and cargo requirements. The Defense, Space & Security segment engages in the research, development, production, and modification of manned and unmanned military aircraft and weapons systems; strategic defense and intelligence systems, which include strategic missile and defense systems, command, control, communications, computers, intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance, cyber and information solutions, and intelligence systems; and satellite systems, such as government and commercial satellites, and space exploration. The Global Services segment offers products and services, including supply chain and logistics management, engineering, maintenance and modifications, upgrades and conversions, spare parts, pilot and maintenance training systems and services, technical and maintenance documents, and data analytics and digital services to commercial and defense customers. The Boeing Company was incorporated in 1916 and is based in Arlington, Virginia.
Who would buy BA?
Consensus 15/100 · Mixed · Investors are split.
Endorses
· 2 frameworksWithin 15% of 52-wk high -8.6% clears "> -15.0%".
Payout Ratio < 70% 0.0% clears "< 70.0%".
Rejects
· 3 frameworks3 insiders sold $5.0M on a discretionary basis. Discretionary selling carries more signal than planned disposals, but insiders sell for many non-thesis reasons (taxes, diversification, life events) — do not over-read it. Over the 6M window, insiders are net buyers by 168,881 shares.
In Prism's context
Insider selling is worth flagging but insiders sell for many non-thesis reasons. Read alongside the framework verdict (Fails criteria).
| Insider | Role | Type | Date | Shares | Avg price | Value | Own |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUCKLEY MORTIMER J. | Director | Open-market buy | Mar 3, 2026 | 2,230 | $224.20 | $500K | Direct |
| AMULURU UMA M | Officer | Open-market sell | Feb 24, 2026 | 1,503 | $233.85 | $351K | Direct |
| POPE STEPHANIE F | Officer | Award / grant | Feb 17, 2026 | 28,904 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| NELSON BRENDAN J. | Officer | Award / grant | Feb 17, 2026 | 5,058 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| MCKENZIE HOWARD E | Officer | Award / grant | Feb 17, 2026 | 9,248 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| CLEARY MICHAEL J | Officer | Award / grant | Feb 17, 2026 | 3,721 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| RAYMOND DAVID CHRISTOPHER | Officer | Award / grant | Feb 17, 2026 | 7,515 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| AMULURU UMA M | Officer | Award / grant | Feb 17, 2026 | 9,826 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| SCHMIDT ANN M | Officer | Award / grant | Feb 17, 2026 | 4,334 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| SCHMIDT ANN M | Officer | Open-market sell | Feb 17, 2026 | 6,281 | $243.37 | $1.53M | Direct |
| SHOCKEY JEFFREY S | Officer | Award / grant | Feb 17, 2026 | 7,225 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| PARKER STEPHEN KENNETH | Chief Executive Officer | Award / grant | Feb 17, 2026 | 13,006 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| DEASY DANA S | Officer | Award / grant | Feb 17, 2026 | 8,381 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| ORTBERG ROBERT KELLY | Chief Executive Officer | Award / grant | Feb 17, 2026 | 58,097 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| GERRY BRETT C. | Officer | Award / grant | Feb 17, 2026 | 13,006 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| MALAVE JESUS JR. | Chief Financial Officer | Award / grant | Feb 17, 2026 | 18,788 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| MCKENZIE HOWARD E | Officer | Open-market sell | Feb 5, 2026 | 10,496 | $234.01 | $2.46M | Direct |
| AMULURU UMA M | Officer | Open-market sell | Feb 4, 2026 | 2,731 | $236.03 | $645K | Direct |
| DEASY DANA S | Officer | Open-market buy | Nov 24, 2025 | 554 | $178.88 | $99K | Direct |
Insider activity from Yahoo Finance (quoteSummary: insiderTransactions + netSharePurchaseActivity). Cached 6 hours. · Insiders hold 0.1% of shares outstanding.
Net 6M: +168,881 sh
Price history
Drag across the chart to select a custom period — all analysis below refocuses to that window.
Add The Boeing Company at a hypothetical weight and Prism recalculates your whole book:
Sharpe, Sortino, volatility, max drawdown, beta — before and after.
How much this shifts your top sector weight and overall diversification.
Whether this leans your book more toward Quality, Value, Growth, Deep Value, Income, or Momentum.
Portfolio analytics are part of the member experience.
Sign in to run this simulationBA: 40% estimated probability of outperforming over the next 12M window. 0 of 6 signal families negative (low confidence). Main risk to monitor: 328% above fair value.
Probabilistic research output, not financial advice. Prism recommendations are based on available data, historical relationships, and model assumptions. They do not guarantee future returns. Conduct independent due diligence before any investment decision.
Backtested and similar-setup statistics may be affected by survivorship bias, look-ahead bias, overfitting, transaction costs, liquidity constraints, and data limitations. Probability estimates are anchored heuristics — not validated forecasts — until the walk-forward backtest pipeline is in place.
P/B 30.63× · FCF yield 1.4%
328% above fair value
Indicative only. Probabilities are model-implied weights for stress-testing — not forecasts.
Operating leverage kicks in or a new product line scales — margins inflect higher, growth steps up by 200–400 bps, and the multiple re-rates as the durability becomes obvious to a wider audience.
Business continues to compound at recent rates — 2% operating margin holds, 14% top-line growth persists, capital allocation stays disciplined. Multiple stays roughly where it is.
Sector: Industrials. MENA-aware investors can sanity-check whether the US name is offering value relative to regional peers.
| Metric | BA | GCC median | MENA median | Global ex-US |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (TTM) | — | 15.5× | 13.0× | 16.0× |
| P/B | 30.63× | 2.00× | 1.70× | 2.40× |
| Dividend yield | — | 3.00% | 2.60% | 2.20% |
| ROE | 169.9% |
Reported EPS $-0.20 vs $-0.24 expected — well outside the normal beat-and-raise band. The market typically rewards a print this size only if it is read as durable, not one-off. Trailing operating margin: 1.7%.
Confirms operating leverage — 0% trailing EPS growth + a beat of this size is the pattern that drives multi-year re-rates.
If ROE (170%) and operating margin (2%) are stable or rising, the beat is consistent with compounding rather than one-off.
A blow-out can pull future quarters forward — value investors will look for sustained margin, not a single-quarter spike.
Next earnings
Tue, Jul 28 · consensus EPS $-0.24 · last actual $-0.20
P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/A
PEG Ratio
25.72
P/B Ratio
30.63
EPS Growth
N/A
Revenue Growth
14.0%
Debt / Equity
8.29
Net Cash / Share
$-37.34
Return on Equity
169.9%
Gross Margin
4.8%
Operating Margin
1.7%
FCF / Share
$3.24
Current Ratio
1.18
P/B < 1.0 (below book) is 30.63× — fails "< 1.00×".
FCF Yield > 7% is 1.4% — fails "> 7.0%".
P/B < 1.5 is 30.63× — fails "< 1.50×".
Trades meaningfully above the fair-value range — limited margin of safety.
Quality is mixed — some strengths, some softness.
Leverage is high relative to coverage — balance-sheet risk on the table.
Price trend is unremarkable — neither tailwind nor headwind.
Behavioural read is mixed — some accumulation, some distribution.
Mixed catalyst picture.
No positive drivers identified.
Among 89 historical setups with similar Prism Score and signal-agreement profiles, 44% beat the benchmark over the next 12 months, with average excess return of -3.2% / yr.
ROE 170% · Op margin 2%
D/E 8.29 · CR 1.18
2 insiders buying
No tracked superinvestor holds it
Buyback runway via FCF
72% through 52w range
EPS — · Rev 14%
A growth-rate scare or a quarter of margin compression resets the multiple. The business is still fine, but the price was assuming a level of compounding that takes 12–24 months to re-prove.
| 11.0% |
| 10.5% |
| 12.0% |
Institutional Own.
74.2%
Insider Own.
0.1%
Dividend Yield
N/A
Book Value / Share
$7.59