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BA logo

BA

The Boeing Company
IndustrialsAerospace & DefenseMomentum
$232.54 · 15min delay
β 1.21

A steady large-cap momentum story trading at a premium valuation. Frameworks sharply disagree on it.

Download report

52-wk low $176.7752-wk high $254.35

Mkt Cap

$183.32B

P/E

—

PEG

25.72

P/B

30.63

Dividend

—

ROE

169.9%

About the business

The Boeing Company, together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, sells, services, and supports commercial jetliners, military aircraft, satellites, missile defense, human space flight and launch systems, and services worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Commercial Airplanes; Defense, Space & Security; and Global Services. The Commercial Airplanes segment develops, produces, and markets commercial jet aircraft for passenger and cargo requirements. The Defense, Space & Security segment engages in the research, development, production, and modification of manned and unmanned military aircraft and weapons systems; strategic defense and intelligence systems, which include strategic missile and defense systems, command, control, communications, computers, intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance, cyber and information solutions, and intelligence systems; and satellite systems, such as government and commercial satellites, and space exploration. The Global Services segment offers products and services, including supply chain and logistics management, engineering, maintenance and modifications, upgrades and conversions, spare parts, pilot and maintenance training systems and services, technical and maintenance documents, and data analytics and digital services to commercial and defense customers. The Boeing Company was incorporated in 1916 and is based in Arlington, Virginia.

Who would buy BA?

Consensus 15/100 · Mixed · Investors are split.

2 2 11

Endorses

· 2 frameworks
  • William O'Neil· Momentum / CAN SLIM83/100

    Within 15% of 52-wk high -8.6% clears "> -15.0%".

  • Dividend Growth School· Dividend Income80/100

    Payout Ratio < 70% 0.0% clears "< 70.0%".

Rejects

· 3 frameworks
Insider activity · Negative

Insider selling outweighs buying

Strength 50/100

3 insiders sold $5.0M on a discretionary basis. Discretionary selling carries more signal than planned disposals, but insiders sell for many non-thesis reasons (taxes, diversification, life events) — do not over-read it. Over the 6M window, insiders are net buyers by 168,881 shares.

In Prism's context

Insider selling is worth flagging but insiders sell for many non-thesis reasons. Read alongside the framework verdict (Fails criteria).

InsiderRoleTypeDateSharesAvg priceValueOwn
BUCKLEY MORTIMER J.DirectorOpen-market buyMar 3, 20262,230$224.20$500KDirect
AMULURU UMA MOfficerOpen-market sellFeb 24, 20261,503$233.85$351KDirect
POPE STEPHANIE FOfficerAward / grantFeb 17, 202628,904$0.00$0Direct
NELSON BRENDAN J.OfficerAward / grantFeb 17, 20265,058$0.00$0Direct
MCKENZIE HOWARD EOfficerAward / grantFeb 17, 20269,248$0.00$0Direct
CLEARY MICHAEL JOfficerAward / grantFeb 17, 20263,721$0.00$0Direct
RAYMOND DAVID CHRISTOPHEROfficerAward / grantFeb 17, 20267,515$0.00$0Direct
AMULURU UMA MOfficerAward / grantFeb 17, 20269,826$0.00$0Direct
SCHMIDT ANN MOfficerAward / grantFeb 17, 20264,334$0.00$0Direct
SCHMIDT ANN MOfficerOpen-market sellFeb 17, 20266,281$243.37$1.53MDirect
SHOCKEY JEFFREY SOfficerAward / grantFeb 17, 20267,225$0.00$0Direct
PARKER STEPHEN KENNETHChief Executive OfficerAward / grantFeb 17, 202613,006$0.00$0Direct
DEASY DANA SOfficerAward / grantFeb 17, 20268,381$0.00$0Direct
ORTBERG ROBERT KELLYChief Executive OfficerAward / grantFeb 17, 202658,097$0.00$0Direct
GERRY BRETT C.OfficerAward / grantFeb 17, 202613,006$0.00$0Direct
MALAVE JESUS JR.Chief Financial OfficerAward / grantFeb 17, 202618,788$0.00$0Direct
MCKENZIE HOWARD EOfficerOpen-market sellFeb 5, 202610,496$234.01$2.46MDirect
AMULURU UMA MOfficerOpen-market sellFeb 4, 20262,731$236.03$645KDirect
DEASY DANA SOfficerOpen-market buyNov 24, 2025554$178.88$99KDirect

Insider activity from Yahoo Finance (quoteSummary: insiderTransactions + netSharePurchaseActivity). Cached 6 hours. · Insiders hold 0.1% of shares outstanding.

Net 6M: +168,881 sh

Price history

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AI summaries

Members get a plain-English 'what matters now' brief plus an explanation of why the price is moving, grounded in Prism's framework scores.

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Full framework decision report

See how Lynch, Buffett, Graham, Greenblatt, Fisher and more each score this stock — with every rule, threshold, and reason exposed.

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Peer comparison + AI read-through

See how this stock stacks up against its closest peers on valuation, growth, and returns — with a written peer summary.

What would BA do to your portfolio?

Add The Boeing Company at a hypothetical weight and Prism recalculates your whole book:

Risk metrics

Sharpe, Sortino, volatility, max drawdown, beta — before and after.

Sector concentration

How much this shifts your top sector weight and overall diversification.

Archetype tilt

Whether this leans your book more toward Quality, Value, Growth, Deep Value, Income, or Momentum.

BA is currently tagged:MomentumFails criteria (15/100)

Portfolio analytics are part of the member experience.

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Probabilistic recommendation· rec-v1.0.0-2026-04

The Boeing Company · BA

BA: 40% estimated probability of outperforming over the next 12M window. 0 of 6 signal families negative (low confidence). Main risk to monitor: 328% above fair value.

Outperform prob.
40%
vs S&P 500 · 12M
low confidence
Expected return
-5.9% → +18.1%
mid +6.1% / yr
Downside (p20)
-19.5%
stress -39.0%
Data quality
93/100
Excellent
Prism Score

Probabilistic research output, not financial advice. Prism recommendations are based on available data, historical relationships, and model assumptions. They do not guarantee future returns. Conduct independent due diligence before any investment decision.

Backtested and similar-setup statistics may be affected by survivorship bias, look-ahead bias, overfitting, transaction costs, liquidity constraints, and data limitations. Probability estimates are anchored heuristics — not validated forecasts — until the walk-forward backtest pipeline is in place.

Prism Score

Composite 29/100. Strongest contribution from ownership; weakest from valuation. Risk patterns shaved 4 points off the composite.

Composite
29
/ 100
Avoid
Deep valueval.
24/ 100

P/B 30.63× · FCF yield 1.4%

Margin of safetyval.
0/ 100

328% above fair value

Bull · base · bear scenarios

Three plausible paths over a 5-year horizon.

Indicative only. Probabilities are model-implied weights for stress-testing — not forecasts.

Bull
~25%
$70.56
-21.2% / yr (5y)

Operating leverage kicks in or a new product line scales — margins inflect higher, growth steps up by 200–400 bps, and the multiple re-rates as the durability becomes obvious to a wider audience.

Drivers
  • • Margin expands by 200–400 bps from 2%
  • • Top-line accelerates 300–500 bps above current
  • • Multiple re-rates one full turn higher
Base
~55%
$54.28
-25.2% / yr (5y)

Business continues to compound at recent rates — 2% operating margin holds, 14% top-line growth persists, capital allocation stays disciplined. Multiple stays roughly where it is.

Global value comparison

The Boeing Company vs sector medians — GCC, MENA, and Global ex-US.

Sector: Industrials. MENA-aware investors can sanity-check whether the US name is offering value relative to regional peers.

MetricBAGCC medianMENA medianGlobal ex-US
P/E (TTM)—15.5×13.0×16.0×
P/B30.63×2.00×1.70×2.40×
Dividend yield—3.00%2.60%2.20%
ROE169.9%
Earnings reaction explainer

BA blew past estimates by 18.2%.

Big beat· +18.2%

Reported EPS $-0.20 vs $-0.24 expected — well outside the normal beat-and-raise band. The market typically rewards a print this size only if it is read as durable, not one-off. Trailing operating margin: 1.7%.

  • Growth investorsPositive

    Confirms operating leverage — 0% trailing EPS growth + a beat of this size is the pattern that drives multi-year re-rates.

  • Quality investorsPositive

    If ROE (170%) and operating margin (2%) are stable or rising, the beat is consistent with compounding rather than one-off.

  • Value investorsNeutral

    A blow-out can pull future quarters forward — value investors will look for sustained margin, not a single-quarter spike.

News & events

Next earnings

Tue, Jul 28 · consensus EPS $-0.24 · last actual $-0.20

  • Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang to Reportedly Miss Trump's China Trip

    MT Newswires · just now

  • Mobix Labs Wins Additional Boeing 737 Aerospace Order

    Business Wire · just now

  • Boeing China Megadeal Could Recast Backlog, Risk Profile And Services Story

    Simply Wall St. · just now

Key Metrics at a Glance

P/E Ratio (TTM)

N/A

PEG Ratio

25.72

P/B Ratio

30.63

EPS Growth

N/A

Revenue Growth

14.0%

Debt / Equity

8.29

Net Cash / Share

$-37.34

Return on Equity

169.9%

Gross Margin

4.8%

Operating Margin

1.7%

FCF / Share

$3.24

Current Ratio

1.18

Walter Schloss
· Schloss Deep Value
0/100

P/B < 1.0 (below book) is 30.63× — fails "< 1.00×".

  • Seth Klarman· Klarman Margin of Safety0/100

    FCF Yield > 7% is 1.4% — fails "> 7.0%".

  • Fama / French· Pure Value Factor0/100

    P/B < 1.5 is 30.63× — fails "< 1.50×".

  • See the full rule-by-rule drill-down below
    29/100
    Low agreement
    Signal families · 0 of 6 signal families negative
    Agreement: Low
    • Valuationnegative

      Trades meaningfully above the fair-value range — limited margin of safety.

      328% above fair value1.4% FCF yield (thin)
      21
      /100
    • Qualityneutral

      Quality is mixed — some strengths, some softness.

      ROE 170%Op margin 2% (thin)
      51
      /100
    • Balance sheetnegative

      Leverage is high relative to coverage — balance-sheet risk on the table.

      D/E 8.29 (heavy)
      38
      /100
    • Momentumneutral

      Price trend is unremarkable — neither tailwind nor headwind.

      72% through 52w range
      55
      /100
    • Behaviouralneutral

      Behavioural read is mixed — some accumulation, some distribution.

      Insider buying ($1.1M)Net insider selling ($12.5M)
      46
      /100
    • Catalysts & eventsneutral

      Mixed catalyst picture.

      Big EPS beat (+18%)1 high-severity flag
      48
      /100
    Positive drivers

    No positive drivers identified.

    Key risks
    • • 328% above fair value
    • • 1.4% FCF yield (thin)
    • • D/E 8.29 (heavy)
    • • Possible quality trap (paying up)
    Suggested diligence questions
    • 1. Multiple compression
    Similar historical setups[MOCK DATA]

    Among 89 historical setups with similar Prism Score and signal-agreement profiles, 44% beat the benchmark over the next 12 months, with average excess return of -3.2% / yr.

    Probabilistic research output — not financial advice.
    View full thesis
    Quality20%
    36/ 100

    ROE 170% · Op margin 2%

    Balance sheet15%
    33/ 100

    D/E 8.29 · CR 1.18

    Insider convictionown.
    71/ 100

    2 insiders buying

    Superinvestorown.
    35/ 100

    No tracked superinvestor holds it

    Shareholder yield10%
    38/ 100

    Buyback runway via FCF

    Momentum5%
    78/ 100

    72% through 52w range

    Growth5%
    74/ 100

    EPS — · Rev 14%

    Risk deduction: 1 pattern flagged · possible quality trap (paying up). 4 points removed from composite.

    Designed to surface potentially attractive characteristics — descriptive, not prescriptive. For research and educational purposes only.

    Customise weights
    Drivers
    • • Revenue growth holds near 14%
    • • Operating margin stays around 2%
    • • Capital returns continue at current cadence
    Bear
    ~20%
    $40.71
    -29.4% / yr (5y)

    A growth-rate scare or a quarter of margin compression resets the multiple. The business is still fine, but the price was assuming a level of compounding that takes 12–24 months to re-prove.

    Drivers
    • • Growth decelerates by ~300 bps for two consecutive quarters
    • • Refinancing at higher rates pressures interest coverage
    • • Sentiment de-rates the name to a deeper-value multiple
    Indicative weights
    11.0%
    10.5%
    12.0%

    Editorial dataset · as of 2024-12-31. Sector medians are hand-maintained from public Tadawul / ADX / DFM / QSE / EGX disclosures and indicative Global ex-US references. Live licensed data is on the roadmap. For research and educational purposes only.

    What to watch on the next print
    • • Whether margin expansion sustains into next quarter
    • • Forward guidance update — beats without raises tend to fade
    • • Interest coverage and debt maturity wall
  • Multiple Analysts Initiate This Aerospace IPO At Buy Rating

    Investor's Business Daily · just now

  • Tesla's Elon Musk, Apple's Tim Cook among CEOs set to join Trump on China trip

    Yahoo Finance · just now

  • Nvidia Tops Buy Point. 5 Dow Stocks Near Entries Share This Flaw.

    Investor's Business Daily · just now

  • Institutional Own.

    74.2%

    Insider Own.

    0.1%

    Dividend Yield

    N/A

    Book Value / Share

    $7.59