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BB logo

BB

BlackBerry Limited
TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureRisk-First
$6.08 · 15min delay
β 1.47

A steady mid-cap risk-flagged situation trading at a premium valuation.

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52-wk low $3.1252-wk high $6.61

Mkt Cap

$3.57B

P/E

—

PEG

2.70

P/B

4.79

Dividend

—

ROE

7.3%

About the business

BlackBerry Limited provides intelligent software and services to enterprises and governments worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Secure Communications, QNX, and Licensing. The company offers BlackBerry Dynamics, a development platform and secure container for mobile applications; BlackBerry Workspaces a secure Enterprise File Sync and Share (EFSS) solution; BlackBerry Messenger (BBM) Enterprise, an enterprise-grade secure instant messaging solution for messaging, voice, and video; BlackBerry SecuSUITE, a multi-OS voice and text messaging solution; BlackBerry AtHoc, a secure networked critical event management solution; and BlackBerry unified endpoint management (UEM) solutions. It also provides BlackBerry Certicom, a patented elliptic curve cryptography, which provides device security, anti-counterfeiting, and product authentication solutions; BlackBerry Radar offers asset monitoring and telematics solutions for transportation and logistics; and BlackBerry Development Platform, an enterprise-grade toolset. In addition, the company offers enterprise consulting and engineering consulting services. Further, it is involved in patent licensing. The company was formerly known as Research In Motion Limited and changed its name to BlackBerry Limited in July 2013. BlackBerry Limited was incorporated in 1984 and is headquartered in Waterloo, Canada.

Who would buy BB?

Consensus 24/100 · Mixed · Investors are split.

2 9 4

Endorses

· 2 frameworks
  • Howard Marks· Marks Risk-First100/100

    Debt/Equity < 0.5 0.30 clears "< 0.50".

  • Dividend Growth School· Dividend Income80/100

    Payout Ratio < 70% 0.0% clears "< 70.0%".

Rejects

· 3 frameworks
  • Fama / French
Insider activity · Negative

Insider selling outweighs buying

Strength 55/100

4 insiders sold $1.7M on a discretionary basis. Discretionary selling carries more signal than planned disposals, but insiders sell for many non-thesis reasons (taxes, diversification, life events) — do not over-read it.

In Prism's context

Insider selling is worth flagging but insiders sell for many non-thesis reasons. Read alongside the framework verdict (Fails criteria).

InsiderRoleTypeDateSharesAvg priceValueOwn
KURTZ PHILIP SIMONOfficerOpen-market sellApr 2, 20264,079$3.56$15KDirect
ARMSTRONG-OWEN JENNIFEROfficerOpen-market sellApr 2, 202632,796$3.56$117KDirect
FOOTE TIMChief Financial OfficerOpen-market sellApr 2, 20269,230$3.56$33KDirect
GIAMATTEO JOHN JOSEPHOfficer and DirectorOpen-market sellApr 2, 202627,066$3.56$96KDirect
GIAMATTEO JOHN JOSEPHOfficer and DirectorTransactionApr 2, 202666,372——Direct
KURTZ PHILIP SIMONOfficerTransactionApr 2, 20267,375——Direct
ARMSTRONG-OWEN JENNIFEROfficerTransactionApr 2, 202678,484——Direct
FOOTE TIMChief Financial OfficerTransactionApr 2, 202627,629——Direct
FOOTE TIMChief Financial OfficerOpen-market sellJan 6, 20262,445$3.88$9KDirect
GIAMATTEO JOHN JOSEPHOfficer and DirectorOpen-market sellJan 6, 202687,723$3.88$340KDirect
GIAMATTEO JOHN JOSEPHOfficer and DirectorTransactionJan 6, 2026209,515——Direct
FOOTE TIMChief Financial OfficerTransactionJan 6, 20266,983——Direct
KURTZ PHILIP SIMONOfficerOpen-market sellJan 2, 202611,121$3.89$43KDirect
ARMSTRONG-OWEN JENNIFEROfficerOpen-market sellJan 2, 20263,227$3.82$12KDirect
FOOTE TIMChief Financial OfficerOpen-market sellJan 2, 202628,600$3.82$109KDirect
GIAMATTEO JOHN JOSEPHOfficer and DirectorOpen-market sellJan 2, 2026231,765$3.82$885KDirect
GIAMATTEO JOHN JOSEPHOfficer and DirectorTransactionJan 2, 2026401,649——Direct
KURTZ PHILIP SIMONOfficerTransactionJan 2, 202626,811——Direct
ARMSTRONG-OWEN JENNIFEROfficerTransactionJan 2, 20266,146——Direct
FOOTE TIMChief Financial OfficerTransactionJan 2, 202647,138——Direct

Insider activity from Yahoo Finance (quoteSummary: insiderTransactions + netSharePurchaseActivity). Cached 6 hours. · Insiders hold 0.4% of shares outstanding.

Net 6M: +0 sh

Price history

—
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Drag across the chart to select a custom period — all analysis below refocuses to that window.

What this means: A significant rerating — the valuation-sensitive frameworks below will have tightened since this move.

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AI summaries

Members get a plain-English 'what matters now' brief plus an explanation of why the price is moving, grounded in Prism's framework scores.

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Full framework decision report

See how Lynch, Buffett, Graham, Greenblatt, Fisher and more each score this stock — with every rule, threshold, and reason exposed.

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Peer comparison + AI read-through

See how this stock stacks up against its closest peers on valuation, growth, and returns — with a written peer summary.

What would BB do to your portfolio?

Add BlackBerry Limited at a hypothetical weight and Prism recalculates your whole book:

Risk metrics

Sharpe, Sortino, volatility, max drawdown, beta — before and after.

Sector concentration

How much this shifts your top sector weight and overall diversification.

Archetype tilt

Whether this leans your book more toward Quality, Value, Growth, Deep Value, Income, or Momentum.

BB is currently tagged:Risk-FirstFails criteria (24/100)

Portfolio analytics are part of the member experience.

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Probabilistic recommendation· rec-v1.0.0-2026-04

BlackBerry Limited · BB

BB: 51% estimated probability of outperforming over the next 12M window. 2 of 6 signal families positive (medium confidence). Strongest support: D/E 0.30. Main risk to monitor: 347% above fair value.

Outperform prob.
51%
vs S&P 500 · 12M
medium confidence
Expected return
-6.5% → +17.5%
mid +5.5% / yr
Downside (p20)
-17.6%
stress -35.2%
Data quality
95/100
Excellent
Prism Score

Probabilistic research output, not financial advice. Prism recommendations are based on available data, historical relationships, and model assumptions. They do not guarantee future returns. Conduct independent due diligence before any investment decision.

Backtested and similar-setup statistics may be affected by survivorship bias, look-ahead bias, overfitting, transaction costs, liquidity constraints, and data limitations. Probability estimates are anchored heuristics — not validated forecasts — until the walk-forward backtest pipeline is in place.

Prism Score

Composite 52/100. Strongest contribution from quality; weakest from valuation.

Composite
52
/ 100
Mixed
Deep valueval.
50/ 100

P/B 4.79× · FCF yield 1.2%

Margin of safetyval.
0/ 100

347% above fair value

Bull · base · bear scenarios

Three plausible paths over a 5-year horizon.

Indicative only. Probabilities are model-implied weights for stress-testing — not forecasts.

Bull
~20%
$1.77
-21.9% / yr (5y)

A turnaround takes hold: margin recovers toward peer averages, revenue stabilises, and the market re-prices the asset value rather than the running earnings.

Drivers
  • • Margin expands by 200–400 bps from 17%
  • • Stranded asset value crystallises
  • • Multiple re-rates one full turn higher
Base
~45%
$1.36
-25.9% / yr (5y)

No deterioration, no surprise re-acceleration. 17% operating margin and 10% top-line growth chug along; the multiple slowly converges to the central fair-value estimate.

Global value comparison

BlackBerry Limited vs sector medians — GCC, MENA, and Global ex-US.

Sector: Technology. MENA-aware investors can sanity-check whether the US name is offering value relative to regional peers.

MetricBBGCC medianMENA medianGlobal ex-US
P/E (TTM)—22.0×—23.0×
P/B4.79×4.00×—4.50×
Dividend yield—1.00%—1.40%
ROE7.3%
Earnings reaction explainer

BB blew past estimates by 125.0%.

Big beat· +125.0%

Reported EPS $0.06 vs $0.03 expected — well outside the normal beat-and-raise band. The market typically rewards a print this size only if it is read as durable, not one-off. Trailing operating margin: 17.4%.

  • Growth investorsPositive

    Confirms operating leverage — 0% trailing EPS growth + a beat of this size is the pattern that drives multi-year re-rates.

  • Quality investorsPositive

    If ROE (7%) and operating margin (17%) are stable or rising, the beat is consistent with compounding rather than one-off.

  • Value investorsNegative

    Outsized beats on thin trailing quality often invite multiple expansion that doesn't survive the next print.

News & events

Next earnings

Thu, Jun 25 · consensus EPS $0.03 · last actual $0.06

  • BlackBerry Activism Battle Pits Governance Demands Against Surging Share Price

    Simply Wall St. · just now

  • BlackBerry (BB) Stock Sinks As Market Gains: Here's Why

    Zacks · just now

  • BlackBerry Limited (BB) Hit a 52 Week High, Can the Run Continue?

    Zacks · just now

Key Metrics at a Glance

P/E Ratio (TTM)

N/A

PEG Ratio

2.70

P/B Ratio

4.79

EPS Growth

N/A

Revenue Growth

10.1%

Debt / Equity

0.30

Net Cash / Share

$0.23

Return on Equity

7.3%

Gross Margin

76.2%

Operating Margin

17.4%

FCF / Share

$0.07

Current Ratio

2.12

· Pure Value Factor
0/100

P/B < 1.5 is 4.79× — fails "< 1.50×".

  • Charlie Munger· Munger Elite Quality22/100

    ROE > 25% (elite) is 7.3% — fails "> 25.0%".

  • Joel Greenblatt· Magic Formula25/100

    ROE > 20% is 7.3% — fails "> 20.0%".

  • See the full rule-by-rule drill-down below
    52/100
    Medium agreement
    Signal families · 2 of 6 signal families positive
    Agreement: Medium
    • Valuationnegative

      Trades meaningfully above the fair-value range — limited margin of safety.

      347% above fair valueReverse DCF: aggressive expectations1.2% FCF yield (thin)
      13
      /100
    • Qualityneutral

      Quality is mixed — some strengths, some softness.

      Gross 76%
      56
      /100
    • Balance sheetpositive

      Capital structure is conservative and well-covered.

      D/E 0.30CR 2.12
      68
      /100
    • Momentumneutral

      Price trend is unremarkable — neither tailwind nor headwind.

      85% through 52w range
      55
      /100
    • Behaviouralneutral

      Behavioural read is mixed — some accumulation, some distribution.

      Net insider selling ($2.4M)1 tracked holders · peak 14.8%
      42
      /100
    • Catalysts & eventspositive

      Recent print + capital-return signal lean positive.

      Big EPS beat (+125%)
      62
      /100
    Positive drivers
    • • D/E 0.30
    • • CR 2.12
    • • Big EPS beat (+125%)
    Key risks
    • • 347% above fair value
    • • Reverse DCF: aggressive expectations
    • • 1.2% FCF yield (thin)
    Suggested diligence questions
    • 1. What would invalidate the thesis if it appeared in the next earnings print?
    Similar historical setups[MOCK DATA]

    Among 97 historical setups with similar Prism Score and signal-agreement profiles, 51% beat the benchmark over the next 12 months, with average excess return of +0.6% / yr.

    Probabilistic research output — not financial advice.
    View full thesis
    Quality20%
    66/ 100

    ROE 7% · Op margin 17%

    Balance sheet15%
    92/ 100

    D/E 0.30 · CR 2.12

    Insider convictionown.
    25/ 100

    Net selling — 5 insiders

    Superinvestorown.
    79/ 100

    1 tracked holder · peak 14.8%

    Shareholder yield10%
    36/ 100

    Buyback runway via FCF

    Momentum5%
    88/ 100

    85% through 52w range

    Growth5%
    64/ 100

    EPS — · Rev 10%

    Designed to surface potentially attractive characteristics — descriptive, not prescriptive. For research and educational purposes only.

    Customise weights
    Drivers
    • • Revenue growth holds near 10%
    • • Operating margin stays around 17%
    • • No major balance-sheet surprises
    Bear
    ~35%
    $1.02
    -30.0% / yr (5y)

    Cyclical earnings prove to be at peak; revenue stalls and the multiple, already low, drifts lower as estimates re-rate down.

    Drivers
    • • Operating margin compresses 200–400 bps
    • • Multiple compresses as estimates roll back
    • • Sentiment de-rates the name to a deeper-value multiple
    Indicative weights
    14.0%
    —
    16.0%

    Editorial dataset · as of 2024-12-31. Sector medians are hand-maintained from public Tadawul / ADX / DFM / QSE / EGX disclosures and indicative Global ex-US references. Live licensed data is on the roadmap. For research and educational purposes only.

    What to watch on the next print
    • • Whether margin expansion sustains into next quarter
    • • Forward guidance update — beats without raises tend to fade
  • BlackBerry Renews Share Buyback Program for Up to 26.8 Million Shares

    MT Newswires · just now

  • BlackBerry Renewing Share Buyback Program

    MT Newswires · just now

  • BlackBerry Announces Renewal of Normal Course Issuer Bid Share Buyback Program

    ACCESS Newswire · just now

  • Institutional Own.

    47.1%

    Insider Own.

    0.4%

    Dividend Yield

    N/A

    Book Value / Share

    $1.27

    Superinvestor ownership

    Held by 1 tracked superinvestor · peak weight 9.3%

    Grand Portfolio
    • Prem Watsa

      Fairfax Financial Holdings · Q4 2025

      9.3%

    Weights reflect each investor's latest 13F or factsheet snapshot. Data lags real time by 45+ days.