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BITO logo

BITO

ProShares Bitcoin ETF
Cyclical
$10.99 · 15min delay
β 0.00

A micro-cap cyclical with limited valuation data. Most frameworks reject it today.

Download report

52-wk low $8.6152-wk high $23.63

Mkt Cap

N/A

P/E

—

PEG

—

P/B

—

Dividend

—

ROE

—

About the business

The fund adviser seeks to achieve its investment objective primarily through managed exposure to bitcoin futures contracts. The fund does not invest directly in bitcoin. The fund adviser will generally hold its bitcoin futures contracts during periods in which the value of bitcoin and bitcoin futures are flat or declining as well as during periods in which the value of bitcoin or bitcoin futures is rising. It is non-diversified.

Who would buy BITO?

Consensus 3/100 · Aligned · Investors mostly agree.

0 1 14

Endorses

· 1 framework
  • Cyclical Value School· Deep Cyclical67/100

    Down > 30% from 52-wk high -53.5% clears "< -30.0%".

Rejects

· 3 frameworks
  • Peter Lynch· Lynch GARP0/100

    Does not fit Lynch GARP. Fails on . Peter Lynch would pass.

Insider activity · Sparse

Insider activity data not available

Strength 0/100

Prism could not retrieve a Form 4 feed for this ticker. This is common for ADRs, newly-listed names, and some foreign issuers; it is not itself a signal.

  • No transactions available in feed
No transactions match the selected filters.

Insider feed unavailable (upstream Yahoo quoteSummary returned no insider block).

Price history

—
Loading…

Drag across the chart to select a custom period — all analysis below refocuses to that window.

What this means: A notable drawdown — worth re-reading the framework verdicts below with the cheaper price in mind.

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AI summaries

Members get a plain-English 'what matters now' brief plus an explanation of why the price is moving, grounded in Prism's framework scores.

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Full framework decision report

See how Lynch, Buffett, Graham, Greenblatt, Fisher and more each score this stock — with every rule, threshold, and reason exposed.

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Peer comparison + AI read-through

See how this stock stacks up against its closest peers on valuation, growth, and returns — with a written peer summary.

What would BITO do to your portfolio?

Add ProShares Bitcoin ETF at a hypothetical weight and Prism recalculates your whole book:

Risk metrics

Sharpe, Sortino, volatility, max drawdown, beta — before and after.

Sector concentration

How much this shifts your top sector weight and overall diversification.

Archetype tilt

Whether this leans your book more toward Quality, Value, Growth, Deep Value, Income, or Momentum.

BITO is currently tagged:CyclicalFails criteria (3/100)

Portfolio analytics are part of the member experience.

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Probabilistic recommendation· rec-v1.0.0-2026-04

ProShares Bitcoin ETF · BITO

BITO: 52% estimated probability of outperforming over the next 12M window. 0 of 3 signal families negative (low confidence). Main risk to monitor: Near 52w lows (16%).

Outperform prob.
52%
vs S&P 500 · 12M
low confidence
Expected return
-3.0% → +21.0%
mid +9.0% / yr
Downside (p20)
-12.0%
stress -24.0%
Data quality
18/100
Poor
Prism Score

Probabilistic research output, not financial advice. Prism recommendations are based on available data, historical relationships, and model assumptions. They do not guarantee future returns. Conduct independent due diligence before any investment decision.

Backtested and similar-setup statistics may be affected by survivorship bias, look-ahead bias, overfitting, transaction costs, liquidity constraints, and data limitations. Probability estimates are anchored heuristics — not validated forecasts — until the walk-forward backtest pipeline is in place.

Prism Score

Composite 64/100. Strongest contribution from ownership. For research and educational purposes only — not investment advice.

Composite
64
/ 100
Insufficient data
Deep valueval.
—/ 100

No valuation inputs

Margin of safetyval.
—/ 100

No fair-value model

Earnings reaction explainer

No recent earnings data available.

Unavailable

Yahoo did not return an estimate or an actual for the most recent print. The stock may report on a non-standard cadence, or the data may be lagged.

What to watch on the next print
  • • Next reporting date
  • • Whether estimates re-anchor before the print

News & events

  • Exchange-Traded Funds Lower as US Equities Drop After Midday

    MT Newswires · just now

  • Exchange-Traded Funds, Equity Futures Fall Pre-Bell Tuesday Amid Consumer Inflation Report Release

    MT Newswires · just now

  • Exchange-Traded Funds Higher, US Equities Mixed After Midday

    MT Newswires · just now

  • Exchange-Traded Funds, Equity Futures Mixed Pre-Bell Monday as Trump Rejects Reported Iran Proposal

Key Metrics at a Glance

P/E Ratio (TTM)

N/A

PEG Ratio

N/A

P/B Ratio

N/A

EPS Growth

N/A

Revenue Growth

N/A

Debt / Equity

N/A

Net Cash / Share

N/A

Return on Equity

N/A

Gross Margin

N/A

Operating Margin

N/A

FCF / Share

N/A

Current Ratio

N/A

Warren Buffett
· Buffett Quality
0/100

Does not fit Buffett Quality. Fails on . Warren Buffett would pass.

  • Benjamin Graham· Graham Defensive0/100

    Does not fit Graham Defensive. Fails on . Benjamin Graham would pass.

  • See the full rule-by-rule drill-down below
    64/100
    Low agreement
    Signal families · 0 of 3 signal families negative
    Agreement: Low
    • Valuationneutral

      Insufficient data to model fair value; falling back on multiples only.

    • Qualityno data

      Quality metrics insufficient — most ratios missing.

    • Balance sheetno data

      Balance-sheet detail too thin to evaluate.

    • Momentumnegative

      Price has been weak — momentum is a headwind.

      Near 52w lows (16%)53% off 52w high
      40
      /100
    • Behaviouralneutral

      Behavioural read is mixed — some accumulation, some distribution.

      1 tracked holders · peak 24.1%
      54
      /100
    • Catalysts & eventsno data

      No recent earnings or pattern signals.

    Positive drivers

    No positive drivers identified.

    Key risks
    • • Near 52w lows (16%)
    • • 53% off 52w high
    Suggested diligence questions
    • 1. What would invalidate the thesis if it appeared in the next earnings print?
    Similar historical setups[MOCK DATA]

    Among 101 historical setups with similar Prism Score and signal-agreement profiles, 51% beat the benchmark over the next 12 months, with average excess return of +1.0% / yr.

    Probabilistic research output — not financial advice.
    View full thesis
    Quality20%
    —/ 100

    No quality inputs

    Balance sheet15%
    —/ 100

    No balance-sheet data

    Insider convictionown.
    —/ 100

    No insider data

    Superinvestorown.
    79/ 100

    1 tracked holder · peak 24.1%

    Shareholder yield10%
    —/ 100

    No yield inputs

    Momentum5%
    33/ 100

    16% through 52w range

    Growth5%
    —/ 100

    No growth data

    Designed to surface potentially attractive characteristics — descriptive, not prescriptive. For research and educational purposes only.

    Customise weights

    MT Newswires · just now

  • Exchange-Traded Funds Rise as US Equities Gain Midday

    MT Newswires · just now

  • Exchange-Traded Funds, Equity Futures Higher Pre-Bell Friday Amid Employment Data

    MT Newswires · just now

  • Institutional Own.

    N/A

    Insider Own.

    N/A

    Dividend Yield

    N/A

    Book Value / Share

    N/A

    Superinvestor ownership

    Held by 1 tracked superinvestor · peak weight 3.6%

    Grand Portfolio
    • Murray Stahl

      Horizon Kinetics · Q4 2025

      3.6%

    Weights reflect each investor's latest 13F or factsheet snapshot. Data lags real time by 45+ days.