BUD
Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NVConsumer DefensiveBeverages - BrewersQuality
$80.06 · 15min delay
β 0.79A steady large-cap compounder trading near fair value. Frameworks sharply disagree on it.
52-wk low $56.9752-wk high $82.91
Mkt Cap
$155.06B
P/E
—
PEG
1.92
P/B
10.71
Dividend
1.69%
ROE
—
About the business
Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV produces and sells beer in North America, Middle Americas, South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through North America, Middle Americas, South America, EMEA, Asia Pacific, and Global Export and Holding Companies segments. The company also offers flavored malt beverages, soft drinks, spirit-based ready-to-drink cocktails and beverages, and energy drinks. In addition, it operates BEES, a business-to-business digital commerce platform; on-demand delivery platforms under the Zé Delivery and TaDa Delivery brands; and premium at-home draft system under the PerfectDraft brand. The company provides a portfolio of approximately 500 beer brands, which primarily include Budweiser, Corona Extra, Michelob Ultra, and Stella Artois; Aguila, Brahma, Carling Black Label, Cass Fresh, Jupiler, Quilmes, SKOL, and Victoria; Beck's, Hoegaarden, and Leffe; Antarctica, Bud Light, Castle, Castle Lite, Cristal, Harbin, Modelo Especial, Sedrin, and Skol brands, as well as non-beer brands comprising Brutal Fruit, Cutwater, and NÜTRL brands. The company was formerly known as InBev SA and changed its name to Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV in November 2008. Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV was founded in 1366 and is headquartered in Leuven, Belgium.
Who would buy BUD?
Consensus 23/100 · Mixed · Investors are split.
1 9 5
Endorses
· 1 framework- Joel Greenblatt· Magic Formula100/100
Operating Margin > 15% 26.7% clears "> 15.0%".
Rejects
· 3 frameworks- Walter Schloss· Schloss Deep Value0/100
P/B < 1.0 (below book) is 10.71× — fails "< 1.00×".
- Seth Klarman
Insider activity · Sparse
No recent insider transactions
Strength 10/100
No Form 4 filings in the last 6 months. Insider inactivity is itself weak evidence — it usually reflects blackout windows or compensation cycles rather than a view on the stock.
- Sparse data — read with caution
No transactions match the selected filters.
Insider activity from Yahoo Finance (quoteSummary: insiderTransactions + netSharePurchaseActivity). Cached 6 hours. · Insiders hold 0.0% of shares outstanding.
Net 6M: +0 sh
Price history
—
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Drag across the chart to select a custom period — all analysis below refocuses to that window.
What this means: Price near 52-week highs despite weak framework scores — market enthusiasm is running ahead of the fundamentals most legends look at.
What would BUD do to your portfolio?
Add Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV at a hypothetical weight and Prism recalculates your whole book:
Risk metrics
Sharpe, Sortino, volatility, max drawdown, beta — before and after.
Sector concentration
How much this shifts your top sector weight and overall diversification.
Archetype tilt
Whether this leans your book more toward Quality, Value, Growth, Deep Value, Income, or Momentum.
BUD is currently tagged:QualityFails criteria (23/100)
Portfolio analytics are part of the member experience.
Sign in to run this simulationProbabilistic recommendation· rec-v1.0.0-2026-04
Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV · BUD
BUD: 50% estimated probability of outperforming over the next 12M window. 2 of 6 signal families mixed (medium confidence). Strongest support: Op margin 27%. Main risk to monitor: 116% above fair value.
Outperform prob.
50%
vs S&P 500 · 12M
Expected return
-4.5% → +19.5%
mid +7.5% / yr
Downside (p20)
-9.4%
stress -18.9%
Data quality
90/100
Excellent
Probabilistic research output, not financial advice. Prism recommendations are based on available data, historical relationships, and model assumptions. They do not guarantee future returns. Conduct independent due diligence before any investment decision.
Backtested and similar-setup statistics may be affected by survivorship bias, look-ahead bias, overfitting, transaction costs, liquidity constraints, and data limitations. Probability estimates are anchored heuristics — not validated forecasts — until the walk-forward backtest pipeline is in place.
Prism Score
Composite 49/100. Strongest contribution from quality; weakest from valuation.
Composite
49
/ 100
Deep valueval.
0/ 100
P/B 10.71×
Margin of safetyval.
0/ 100
116% above fair value
Bull · base · bear scenarios
Three plausible paths over a 5-year horizon.
Indicative only. Probabilities are model-implied weights for stress-testing — not forecasts.
Bull
~20%$48.15
-9.7% / yr (5y)
A turnaround takes hold: margin recovers toward peer averages, revenue stabilises, and the market re-prices the asset value rather than the running earnings.
Drivers
- • Margin expands by 200–400 bps from 27%
- • Stranded asset value crystallises
- • Multiple re-rates one full turn higher
Base
~45%$37.04
-14.3% / yr (5y)
No deterioration, no surprise re-acceleration. 27% operating margin and 12% top-line growth chug along; the multiple slowly converges to the central fair-value estimate.
Global value comparison
Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV vs sector medians — GCC, MENA, and Global ex-US.
Sector: Consumer Defensive. MENA-aware investors can sanity-check whether the US name is offering value relative to regional peers.
| Metric | BUD | GCC median | MENA median | Global ex-US |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (TTM) | — | 18.0× | 15.0× | 17.0× |
| P/B | 10.71× | 3.50× | 2.80× | 3.20× |
| Dividend yield | 1.69% | 3.20% | 2.80% | 2.60% |
| ROE | — |
Earnings reaction explainer
BUD missed materially — -13.8% below consensus.
Reported EPS $0.97 vs $1.13 expected — a material miss. The bar of the next two prints will be lower, but the multiple that was bid up to today's level usually does not survive an unexplained shortfall this size. Trailing operating margin: 26.7%.
- Quality investorsNegative
A material miss is incompatible with a quality-compounder narrative until proven otherwise. Two more prints needed before that label is restored.
- Growth investorsNegative
Multiple compression typically follows. The risk is not the miss itself, it's that consensus needs to re-rate forward estimates lower.
- Value investorsNegative
Even cheap stocks get cheaper after this kind of print — wait for capitulation rather than catching the falling knife.
News & events
Next earnings
Thu, Jul 30 · consensus EPS $1.13 · last actual $0.97
Key Metrics at a Glance
P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/A
PEG Ratio
1.92
P/B Ratio
10.71
EPS Growth
20.3%
Revenue Growth
12.0%
Debt / Equity
0.75
Net Cash / Share
$-35.80
Return on Equity
N/A
Gross Margin
56.2%
Operating Margin
26.7%
FCF / Share
N/A
Current Ratio
N/A