
A high-quality mega-cap compounder trading near fair value. Frameworks sharply disagree on it.
Mkt Cap
$202.48B
P/E
—
PEG
1.81
P/B
11.40
Dividend
4.09%
ROE
29.5%
About the business
Blackstone Inc. is an alternative asset management firm specializing in private equity, venture capital, real estate, hedge fund solutions, credit, secondary funds of funds, public debt and equity and multi-asset class strategies. The firm typically invests in early-stage, seed, middle market, mature, late venture, growth capital, emerging growth, turnaround, and later stage companies. It also provide capital markets services. The real estate segment specializes in opportunistic, core+ investments as well as debt investment opportunities collateralized by commercial real estate, and stabilized income-oriented commercial real estate across North America, Europe and Asia. Within fund of fund investments, it seeks to invest in private equity funds, venture capital funds, mezzanine funds, distressed debt/turnaround funds, secondary investment funds & real estate funds. The firm's corporate private equity business pursues transactions throughout the world across a variety of transaction types, including large buyouts, recapitalization, special situations, distressed mortgage loans, mid-cap buyouts, buy and build platforms, which involves multiple acquisitions behind a single management team and platform, and growth equity/development projects involving significant majority stakes in portfolio companies and minority investments in operating companies, shipping, real estate, corporate or consumer loans, and alternative energy greenfield development projects in energy and power, property, dislocated markets, shipping opportunities, financial institution breakups, re-insurance, and improving freight mobility, financial services, cargo, data processing, oil & gas production, oil & gas refining, oil & gas storage, building products, home entertainment, B2B, consumer electronics, home supply store, lodging, commercial services & supplies, metal & mineral mining machinery, coal, hazardous waste collection, solid waste collection, waste water treatment, renewable electricity, equity REITs, power generation by nuclear & fossil fuels, personal loan services, chemicals, other specialty retail, biotech, pharmaceuticals, metal, aerospace, healthcare, cable, entertainment services, infrastructure services, transportation infrastructure, exhaust, life sciences, alternative carriers, infrastructure, system software, manufacturing services, enterprise tech and consumer, enterprise software & application, as well as consumer technologies. The firm considers investment in Asia, Latin America, Japan, Australia, South Korea, Singapore, Hong Kong, Africa, Middle East, Beijing, Shanghai, India, Belgium, France, Ireland, Luxembourg, Monaco, Netherlands, United Kingdom, North America and South America. It seeks to invest between $0.25 million and $900 million per transaction. It invests in companies with enterprise value between $500 million and $5000 million. It makes equity investments up to $300 million through fund of fund investments. It has a three year investment period. The firm prefers to take majority and minority stakes. Its hedge fund business manages a broad range of commingled and customized fund solutions and its credit business focuses on loans, and securities of non-investment grade companies spread across the capital structure including senior debt, subordinated debt, preferred stock and common equity. Blackstone Inc. through its subsidiary South City Projects (Kolkata) Limited offers residential and commercial real estate development services that include development of township, residential towers, malls, IT parks, stadiums, resorts, hospitals, and schools. Blackstone Inc. was founded in 1985 and is based in New York, New York with additional offices across Asia, Europe, North America and Central America.
Who would buy BX?
Consensus 24/100 · Polarized · Investors strongly disagree — this is where Prism is most useful.
Endorses
· 1 frameworkROE > 20% 29.5% clears "> 20.0%".
Rejects
· 3 frameworksPEG < 1 (growth at a discount) is 1.81× — fails "< 1.00×".
Buying is limited to a single filer (PORAT RUTH M, $69K). Single-insider buys are worth noting but carry less weight than broad-based conviction — they can reflect an outlier view rather than a shared read inside the C-suite. Over the 6M window, insiders are net buyers by 1,060,814 shares.
In Prism's context
Insider activity is inconclusive here. The stock's case should lean on the framework verdict (Fails criteria, score 24/100) and the archetype read (Quality).
| Insider | Role | Type | Date | Shares | Avg price | Value | Own |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAWHNEY VIKRANT | Officer | Open-market sell | May 1, 2026 | 30,014 | $125.79 | $3.78M | Direct |
| LAZARUS ROCHELLE B | Director | Award / grant | Apr 1, 2026 | 1,961 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| BREYER JAMES W | Director | Award / grant | Apr 1, 2026 | 1,961 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| CHAE MICHAEL S. | Chief Financial Officer | Award / grant | Apr 1, 2026 | 152,667 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| GRAY JONATHAN D. | President | Award / grant | Apr 1, 2026 | 302,662 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| BROWN REGINALD J. | Director | Award / grant | Apr 1, 2026 | 1,961 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| PAYNE DAVID | Officer | Award / grant | Apr 1, 2026 | 17,804 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| PARRETT WILLIAM G | Director | Award / grant | Apr 1, 2026 | 2,048 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| PORAT RUTH M | Director | Award / grant | Apr 1, 2026 | 1,961 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| SAWHNEY VIKRANT | Officer | Award / grant | Apr 1, 2026 | 129,077 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| FINLEY JOHN G | Officer | Award / grant | Apr 1, 2026 | 152,222 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| BARATTA JOSEPH P | Director | Award / grant | Apr 1, 2026 | 124,626 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| FINLEY JOHN G | Officer | Stock Gift at price 0.00 per share. | Mar 10, 2026 | 7,500 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| PORAT RUTH M | Director | Open-market buy | Feb 17, 2026 | 524 | $130.83 | $69K | — |
| CHAE MICHAEL S. | Chief Financial Officer | Award / grant | Jan 12, 2026 | 41,174 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| GRAY JONATHAN D. | President | Award / grant | Jan 12, 2026 | 51,216 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| PAYNE DAVID | Officer | Award / grant | Jan 12, 2026 | 1,656 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| SAWHNEY VIKRANT | Officer | Award / grant | Jan 12, 2026 | 29,458 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| FINLEY JOHN G | Officer | Award / grant | Jan 12, 2026 | 14,959 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| BARATTA JOSEPH P | Director | Award / grant | Jan 12, 2026 | 51,216 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
Insider activity from Yahoo Finance (quoteSummary: insiderTransactions + netSharePurchaseActivity). Cached 6 hours. · Insiders hold 1.1% of shares outstanding.
Net 6M: +1,060,814 sh
Price history
Drag across the chart to select a custom period — all analysis below refocuses to that window.
What this means: Recent price weakness has improved the value appeal — value and quality frameworks read the drawdown as a cheaper entry rather than a broken thesis.
Add Blackstone Inc. at a hypothetical weight and Prism recalculates your whole book:
Sharpe, Sortino, volatility, max drawdown, beta — before and after.
How much this shifts your top sector weight and overall diversification.
Whether this leans your book more toward Quality, Value, Growth, Deep Value, Income, or Momentum.
Portfolio analytics are part of the member experience.
Sign in to run this simulationBX: 47% estimated probability of outperforming over the next 12M window. 1 of 6 signal families negative (medium confidence). Strongest support: ROE 30%. Main risk to monitor: 76% above fair value.
Probabilistic research output, not financial advice. Prism recommendations are based on available data, historical relationships, and model assumptions. They do not guarantee future returns. Conduct independent due diligence before any investment decision.
Backtested and similar-setup statistics may be affected by survivorship bias, look-ahead bias, overfitting, transaction costs, liquidity constraints, and data limitations. Probability estimates are anchored heuristics — not validated forecasts — until the walk-forward backtest pipeline is in place.
P/B 11.40×
76% above fair value
Indicative only. Probabilities are model-implied weights for stress-testing — not forecasts.
Operating leverage kicks in or a new product line scales — margins inflect higher, growth steps up by 200–400 bps, and the multiple re-rates as the durability becomes obvious to a wider audience.
Business continues to compound at recent rates — 38% operating margin holds, 6% top-line growth persists, capital allocation stays disciplined. Multiple stays roughly where it is.
Sector: Financial Services. MENA-aware investors can sanity-check whether the US name is offering value relative to regional peers.
| Metric | BX | GCC median | MENA median | Global ex-US |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (TTM) | — | 11.2× | 8.5× | 11.5× |
| P/B | 11.40× | 1.70× | 1.20× | 1.30× |
| Dividend yield | 4.09% | 4.60% | 4.20% | 4.00% |
| ROE | 29.5% |
Reported EPS $1.36 vs $1.35 expected. With no surprise on the headline, the share-price reaction is usually driven by guidance, KPIs, or commentary on demand. Trailing operating margin: 38.0%.
In-line prints transfer the conversation from the headline to the guidance, the segment mix, and management commentary on the demand environment.
Next earnings
Thu, Jul 23 · consensus EPS $1.35 · last actual $1.36
P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/A
PEG Ratio
1.81
P/B Ratio
11.40
EPS Growth
3.9%
Revenue Growth
5.7%
Debt / Equity
0.72
Net Cash / Share
$-17.26
Return on Equity
29.5%
Gross Margin
100.0%
Operating Margin
38.0%
FCF / Share
N/A
Current Ratio
0.90
P/B < 1.0 (below book) is 11.40× — fails "< 1.00×".
Net Cash > 0 is $-17.26 — fails "> $0.00".
Trades meaningfully above the fair-value range — limited margin of safety.
Returns and margins are healthy and consistent.
Leverage is high relative to coverage — balance-sheet risk on the table.
Price trend is unremarkable — neither tailwind nor headwind.
Behavioural read is mixed — some accumulation, some distribution.
Mixed catalyst picture.
Among 95 historical setups with similar Prism Score and signal-agreement profiles, 48% beat the benchmark over the next 12 months, with average excess return of -0.8% / yr.
ROE 30% · Op margin 38%
D/E 0.72 · CR 0.90
2 insiders buying
1 tracked holder · peak 11.8%
4.09% yield
22% through 52w range
EPS 4% · Rev 6%
A growth-rate scare or a quarter of margin compression resets the multiple. The business is still fine, but the price was assuming a level of compounding that takes 12–24 months to re-prove.
| 15.0% |
| 17.0% |
| 12.0% |
Institutional Own.
71.1%
Insider Own.
1.1%
Dividend Yield
4.09%
Book Value / Share
$10.66
Superinvestor ownership
Held by 1 tracked superinvestor · peak weight 6.6%
Weights reflect each investor's latest 13F or factsheet snapshot. Data lags real time by 45+ days.