
A high-quality mid-cap income stock trading near fair value. Frameworks sharply disagree on it.
Mkt Cap
$5.06B
P/E
—
PEG
1.93
P/B
1.10
Dividend
—
ROE
28.1%
About the business
CNX Resources Corporation, an independent natural gas and midstream company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of natural gas properties in the Appalachian Basin. The company operates in two segments, Shale and Coalbed Methane (CBM). It produces and sells pipeline quality natural gas primarily for gas wholesalers. The company owns rights to extract natural gas from shale formations in Pennsylvania, West Virginia, and Ohio, as well as rights to extract natural gas from other Shale and shallow oil and gas formations primarily in Illinois, Indiana, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and West Virginia. In addition, the company designs, builds, and operates natural gas gathering systems to move natural gas from the wellhead to interstate pipelines or other local sales points; owns or operates approximately 2,600 miles of natural gas gathering pipelines as well as various natural gas processing facilities. Further, it offers turn-key solutions for water sourcing, delivery and disposal for its natural gas operations and supplies solutions for water sourcing as well as delivery and disposal for third parties. The company was formerly known as CONSOL Energy Inc. and changed its name to CNX Resources Corporation in November 2017. CNX Resources Corporation was founded in 1860 and is based in Canonsburg, Pennsylvania.
Who would buy CNX?
Consensus 44/100 · Polarized · Investors strongly disagree — this is where Prism is most useful.
Endorses
· 3 frameworksROE > 20% 28.1% clears "> 20.0%".
P/B < 1.5 1.10× clears "< 1.50×".
Payout Ratio < 70% 0.0% clears "< 70.0%".
3 insiders sold $3.9M on a discretionary basis. Discretionary selling carries more signal than planned disposals, but insiders sell for many non-thesis reasons (taxes, diversification, life events) — do not over-read it. Over the 6M window, insiders are net buyers by 443,236 shares.
In Prism's context
Insider selling is worth flagging but insiders sell for many non-thesis reasons. Read alongside the framework verdict (Weak match).
| Insider | Role | Type | Date | Shares | Avg price | Value | Own |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LANIGAN BERNARD JR | Director | Award / grant | May 7, 2026 | 5,568 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| THORNDIKE WILLIAM N JR | Director | Open-market sell | May 4, 2026 | 28,800 | $38.25 | $1.10M | Direct |
| THORNDIKE WILLIAM N JR | Director | Option exercise | May 4, 2026 | 83,097 | $13.19 | $1.10M | Direct |
| LALLY-GREEN MAUREEN E | Director | Open-market sell | Mar 23, 2026 | 23,631 | $39.52 | $934K | Direct |
| LALLY-GREEN MAUREEN E | Director | Option exercise | Mar 23, 2026 | 29,915 | $13.19 | $394K | Direct |
| LANIGAN BERNARD JR | Director | Open-market sell | Feb 19, 2026 | 46,119 | $40.60 | $1.87M | Direct |
| LANIGAN BERNARD JR | Director | Option exercise | Feb 19, 2026 | 46,119 | $13.19 | $608K | Direct |
| DEIULIIS NICHOLAS J | Director | Award / grant | Jan 30, 2026 | 112,693 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| SHEPARD ALAN K | Chief Executive Officer | Award / grant | Jan 30, 2026 | 65,153 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| BEHL NAVNEET | Chief Operating Officer | Award / grant | Jan 30, 2026 | 61,961 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| BEDARD TIMOTHY SCOTT | General Counsel | Award / grant | Jan 30, 2026 | 3,230 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| GOOD EVERETT W | Chief Financial Officer | Award / grant | Jan 30, 2026 | 2,306 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| SHEPARD ALAN K | Chief Executive Officer | Award / grant | Jan 5, 2026 | 41,506 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| BEHL NAVNEET | Chief Operating Officer | Award / grant | Jan 5, 2026 | 38,047 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| BEDARD TIMOTHY SCOTT | General Counsel | Award / grant | Jan 5, 2026 | 27,671 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| GOOD EVERETT W | Chief Financial Officer | Award / grant | Jan 5, 2026 | 23,520 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| CLARKSON J PALMER | Director | Stock Gift at price 0.00 per share. | Nov 18, 2025 | 1,000 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
Insider activity from Yahoo Finance (quoteSummary: insiderTransactions + netSharePurchaseActivity). Cached 6 hours. · Insiders hold 4.9% of shares outstanding.
Net 6M: +443,236 sh
Price history
Drag across the chart to select a custom period — all analysis below refocuses to that window.
Add CNX Resources Corporation at a hypothetical weight and Prism recalculates your whole book:
Sharpe, Sortino, volatility, max drawdown, beta — before and after.
How much this shifts your top sector weight and overall diversification.
Whether this leans your book more toward Quality, Value, Growth, Deep Value, Income, or Momentum.
Portfolio analytics are part of the member experience.
Sign in to run this simulationCNX: 63% estimated probability of outperforming over the next 12M window. 3 of 6 signal families positive (medium confidence). Strongest support: 73% below fair value. Main risk to monitor: CR 0.49 (tight).
Probabilistic research output, not financial advice. Prism recommendations are based on available data, historical relationships, and model assumptions. They do not guarantee future returns. Conduct independent due diligence before any investment decision.
Backtested and similar-setup statistics may be affected by survivorship bias, look-ahead bias, overfitting, transaction costs, liquidity constraints, and data limitations. Probability estimates are anchored heuristics — not validated forecasts — until the walk-forward backtest pipeline is in place.
P/B 1.10× · FCF yield 8.1%
73% below fair value
Indicative only. Probabilities are model-implied weights for stress-testing — not forecasts.
Operating leverage kicks in or a new product line scales — margins inflect higher, growth steps up by 200–400 bps, and the multiple re-rates as the durability becomes obvious to a wider audience.
Business continues to compound at recent rates — 61% operating margin holds, 28% top-line growth persists, capital allocation stays disciplined. Multiple stays roughly where it is.
Sector: Energy. MENA-aware investors can sanity-check whether the US name is offering value relative to regional peers.
| Metric | CNX | GCC median | MENA median | Global ex-US |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (TTM) | — | 14.8× | — | 9.0× |
| P/B | 1.10× | 2.60× | — | 1.20× |
| Dividend yield | — | 5.20% | — | 5.50% |
| ROE | 28.1% |
Reported EPS $1.20 vs $0.57 expected — well outside the normal beat-and-raise band. The market typically rewards a print this size only if it is read as durable, not one-off. Trailing operating margin: 60.7%.
Confirms operating leverage — 0% trailing EPS growth + a beat of this size is the pattern that drives multi-year re-rates.
If ROE (28%) and operating margin (61%) are stable or rising, the beat is consistent with compounding rather than one-off.
A blow-out can pull future quarters forward — value investors will look for sustained margin, not a single-quarter spike.
Next earnings
Thu, Jul 23 · consensus EPS $0.57 · last actual $1.20
P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/A
PEG Ratio
1.93
P/B Ratio
1.10
EPS Growth
N/A
Revenue Growth
28.2%
Debt / Equity
0.55
Net Cash / Share
$-17.90
Return on Equity
28.1%
Gross Margin
74.8%
Operating Margin
60.7%
FCF / Share
$2.89
Current Ratio
0.49
Rejects
· 3 frameworksNet Cash Positive (NCAV proxy) is $-17.90 — fails "> $0.00".
P/B < 1.0 (below book) is 1.10× — fails "< 1.00×".
PEG < 1 (growth at a discount) is 1.93× — fails "< 1.00×".
Trades materially below the fair-value range — historically a tailwind for forward returns.
Returns and margins are healthy and consistent.
Leverage is high relative to coverage — balance-sheet risk on the table.
Price trend is unremarkable — neither tailwind nor headwind.
Behavioural read is mixed — some accumulation, some distribution.
Recent print + capital-return signal lean positive.
Among 109 historical setups with similar Prism Score and signal-agreement profiles, 59% beat the benchmark over the next 12 months, with average excess return of +5.3% / yr.
ROE 28% · Op margin 61%
D/E 0.55 · CR 0.49
2 insiders buying
1 tracked holder · peak 14.1%
Buyback runway via FCF
51% through 52w range
EPS — · Rev 28%
A growth-rate scare or a quarter of margin compression resets the multiple. The business is still fine, but the price was assuming a level of compounding that takes 12–24 months to re-prove.
| — |
| 13.0% |
Institutional Own.
97.2%
Insider Own.
4.9%
Dividend Yield
N/A
Book Value / Share
$32.59
Superinvestor ownership
Held by 1 tracked superinvestor · peak weight 7.4%
Weights reflect each investor's latest 13F or factsheet snapshot. Data lags real time by 45+ days.