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CNX

CNX Resources Corporation
EnergyOil & Gas E&PIncome
$35.77 · 15min delay
β 0.64

A high-quality mid-cap income stock trading near fair value. Frameworks sharply disagree on it.

Download report

52-wk low $27.7252-wk high $43.62

Mkt Cap

$5.06B

P/E

—

PEG

1.93

P/B

1.10

Dividend

—

ROE

28.1%

About the business

CNX Resources Corporation, an independent natural gas and midstream company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of natural gas properties in the Appalachian Basin. The company operates in two segments, Shale and Coalbed Methane (CBM). It produces and sells pipeline quality natural gas primarily for gas wholesalers. The company owns rights to extract natural gas from shale formations in Pennsylvania, West Virginia, and Ohio, as well as rights to extract natural gas from other Shale and shallow oil and gas formations primarily in Illinois, Indiana, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and West Virginia. In addition, the company designs, builds, and operates natural gas gathering systems to move natural gas from the wellhead to interstate pipelines or other local sales points; owns or operates approximately 2,600 miles of natural gas gathering pipelines as well as various natural gas processing facilities. Further, it offers turn-key solutions for water sourcing, delivery and disposal for its natural gas operations and supplies solutions for water sourcing as well as delivery and disposal for third parties. The company was formerly known as CONSOL Energy Inc. and changed its name to CNX Resources Corporation in November 2017. CNX Resources Corporation was founded in 1860 and is based in Canonsburg, Pennsylvania.

Who would buy CNX?

Consensus 44/100 · Polarized · Investors strongly disagree — this is where Prism is most useful.

5 6 4

Endorses

· 3 frameworks
  • AQR / Asness· Quality Factor100/100

    ROE > 20% 28.1% clears "> 20.0%".

  • Fama / French· Pure Value Factor100/100

    P/B < 1.5 1.10× clears "< 1.50×".

  • Dividend Growth School· Dividend Income100/100

    Payout Ratio < 70% 0.0% clears "< 70.0%".

Insider activity · Negative

Insider selling outweighs buying

Strength 50/100

3 insiders sold $3.9M on a discretionary basis. Discretionary selling carries more signal than planned disposals, but insiders sell for many non-thesis reasons (taxes, diversification, life events) — do not over-read it. Over the 6M window, insiders are net buyers by 443,236 shares.

In Prism's context

Insider selling is worth flagging but insiders sell for many non-thesis reasons. Read alongside the framework verdict (Weak match).

InsiderRoleTypeDateSharesAvg priceValueOwn
LANIGAN BERNARD JRDirectorAward / grantMay 7, 20265,568$0.00$0Direct
THORNDIKE WILLIAM N JRDirectorOpen-market sellMay 4, 202628,800$38.25$1.10MDirect
THORNDIKE WILLIAM N JRDirectorOption exerciseMay 4, 202683,097$13.19$1.10MDirect
LALLY-GREEN MAUREEN EDirectorOpen-market sellMar 23, 202623,631$39.52$934KDirect
LALLY-GREEN MAUREEN EDirectorOption exerciseMar 23, 202629,915$13.19$394KDirect
LANIGAN BERNARD JRDirectorOpen-market sellFeb 19, 202646,119$40.60$1.87MDirect
LANIGAN BERNARD JRDirectorOption exerciseFeb 19, 202646,119$13.19$608KDirect
DEIULIIS NICHOLAS JDirectorAward / grantJan 30, 2026112,693$0.00$0Direct
SHEPARD ALAN KChief Executive OfficerAward / grantJan 30, 202665,153$0.00$0Direct
BEHL NAVNEETChief Operating OfficerAward / grantJan 30, 202661,961$0.00$0Direct
BEDARD TIMOTHY SCOTTGeneral CounselAward / grantJan 30, 20263,230$0.00$0Direct
GOOD EVERETT WChief Financial OfficerAward / grantJan 30, 20262,306$0.00$0Direct
SHEPARD ALAN KChief Executive OfficerAward / grantJan 5, 202641,506$0.00$0Direct
BEHL NAVNEETChief Operating OfficerAward / grantJan 5, 202638,047$0.00$0Direct
BEDARD TIMOTHY SCOTTGeneral CounselAward / grantJan 5, 202627,671$0.00$0Direct
GOOD EVERETT WChief Financial OfficerAward / grantJan 5, 202623,520$0.00$0Direct
CLARKSON J PALMERDirectorStock Gift at price 0.00 per share.Nov 18, 20251,000$0.00$0Direct

Insider activity from Yahoo Finance (quoteSummary: insiderTransactions + netSharePurchaseActivity). Cached 6 hours. · Insiders hold 4.9% of shares outstanding.

Net 6M: +443,236 sh

Price history

—
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AI summaries

Members get a plain-English 'what matters now' brief plus an explanation of why the price is moving, grounded in Prism's framework scores.

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Full framework decision report

See how Lynch, Buffett, Graham, Greenblatt, Fisher and more each score this stock — with every rule, threshold, and reason exposed.

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Peer comparison + AI read-through

See how this stock stacks up against its closest peers on valuation, growth, and returns — with a written peer summary.

What would CNX do to your portfolio?

Add CNX Resources Corporation at a hypothetical weight and Prism recalculates your whole book:

Risk metrics

Sharpe, Sortino, volatility, max drawdown, beta — before and after.

Sector concentration

How much this shifts your top sector weight and overall diversification.

Archetype tilt

Whether this leans your book more toward Quality, Value, Growth, Deep Value, Income, or Momentum.

CNX is currently tagged:IncomeWeak match (44/100)

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Probabilistic recommendation· rec-v1.0.0-2026-04

CNX Resources Corporation · CNX

CNX: 63% estimated probability of outperforming over the next 12M window. 3 of 6 signal families positive (medium confidence). Strongest support: 73% below fair value. Main risk to monitor: CR 0.49 (tight).

Outperform prob.
63%
vs S&P 500 · 12M
medium confidence
Expected return
+2.3% → +26.3%
mid +14.3% / yr
Downside (p20)
-7.7%
stress -15.4%
Data quality
95/100
Excellent

Probabilistic research output, not financial advice. Prism recommendations are based on available data, historical relationships, and model assumptions. They do not guarantee future returns. Conduct independent due diligence before any investment decision.

Backtested and similar-setup statistics may be affected by survivorship bias, look-ahead bias, overfitting, transaction costs, liquidity constraints, and data limitations. Probability estimates are anchored heuristics — not validated forecasts — until the walk-forward backtest pipeline is in place.

Prism Score

Composite 89/100. Strongest contribution from quality; weakest from ownership.

Composite
89
/ 100
Highly attractive
Deep valueval.
93/ 100

P/B 1.10× · FCF yield 8.1%

Margin of safetyval.
100/ 100

73% below fair value

Bull · base · bear scenarios

Three plausible paths over a 5-year horizon.

Indicative only. Probabilities are model-implied weights for stress-testing — not forecasts.

Bull
~25%
$172.25
+36.9% / yr (5y)

Operating leverage kicks in or a new product line scales — margins inflect higher, growth steps up by 200–400 bps, and the multiple re-rates as the durability becomes obvious to a wider audience.

Drivers
  • • Margin expands by 200–400 bps from 61%
  • • Top-line accelerates 300–500 bps above current
  • • Multiple re-rates one full turn higher
Base
~55%
$132.50
+29.9% / yr (5y)

Business continues to compound at recent rates — 61% operating margin holds, 28% top-line growth persists, capital allocation stays disciplined. Multiple stays roughly where it is.

Global value comparison

CNX Resources Corporation vs sector medians — GCC, MENA, and Global ex-US.

Sector: Energy. MENA-aware investors can sanity-check whether the US name is offering value relative to regional peers.

MetricCNXGCC medianMENA medianGlobal ex-US
P/E (TTM)—14.8×—9.0×
P/B1.10×2.60×—1.20×
Dividend yield—5.20%—5.50%
ROE28.1%
Earnings reaction explainer

CNX blew past estimates by 110.8%.

Big beat· +110.8%

Reported EPS $1.20 vs $0.57 expected — well outside the normal beat-and-raise band. The market typically rewards a print this size only if it is read as durable, not one-off. Trailing operating margin: 60.7%.

  • Growth investorsPositive

    Confirms operating leverage — 0% trailing EPS growth + a beat of this size is the pattern that drives multi-year re-rates.

  • Quality investorsPositive

    If ROE (28%) and operating margin (61%) are stable or rising, the beat is consistent with compounding rather than one-off.

  • Value investorsNeutral

    A blow-out can pull future quarters forward — value investors will look for sustained margin, not a single-quarter spike.

News & events

Next earnings

Thu, Jul 23 · consensus EPS $0.57 · last actual $1.20

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Key Metrics at a Glance

P/E Ratio (TTM)

N/A

PEG Ratio

1.93

P/B Ratio

1.10

EPS Growth

N/A

Revenue Growth

28.2%

Debt / Equity

0.55

Net Cash / Share

$-17.90

Return on Equity

28.1%

Gross Margin

74.8%

Operating Margin

60.7%

FCF / Share

$2.89

Current Ratio

0.49

Rejects

· 3 frameworks
  • Benjamin Graham· Graham Net-Net13/100

    Net Cash Positive (NCAV proxy) is $-17.90 — fails "> $0.00".

  • Walter Schloss· Schloss Deep Value14/100

    P/B < 1.0 (below book) is 1.10× — fails "< 1.00×".

  • Peter Lynch· Lynch GARP17/100

    PEG < 1 (growth at a discount) is 1.93× — fails "< 1.00×".

See the full rule-by-rule drill-down below
Prism Score
89/100
Medium agreement
Signal families · 3 of 6 signal families positive
Agreement: Medium
  • Valuationpositive

    Trades materially below the fair-value range — historically a tailwind for forward returns.

    73% below fair valueReverse DCF: low expectations bar8.1% FCF yield
    91
    /100
  • Qualitypositive

    Returns and margins are healthy and consistent.

    ROE 28%Op margin 61%Gross 75%
    81
    /100
  • Balance sheetnegative

    Leverage is high relative to coverage — balance-sheet risk on the table.

    CR 0.49 (tight)Thin interest coverage
    30
    /100
  • Momentumneutral

    Price trend is unremarkable — neither tailwind nor headwind.

    50
    /100
  • Behaviouralneutral

    Behavioural read is mixed — some accumulation, some distribution.

    Insider buying ($4.3M)Net insider selling ($37.3M)1 tracked holders · peak 14.1%Short ratio 8.3d (elevated)
    44
    /100
  • Catalysts & eventspositive

    Recent print + capital-return signal lean positive.

    Big EPS beat (+111%)
    62
    /100
Positive drivers
  • • 73% below fair value
  • • Reverse DCF: low expectations bar
  • • 8.1% FCF yield
  • • ROE 28%
  • • Op margin 61%
Key risks
  • • CR 0.49 (tight)
  • • Thin interest coverage
Suggested diligence questions
  • 1. Is the valuation discount durable, or is the market pricing in deteriorating fundamentals?
Similar historical setups[MOCK DATA]

Among 109 historical setups with similar Prism Score and signal-agreement profiles, 59% beat the benchmark over the next 12 months, with average excess return of +5.3% / yr.

Probabilistic research output — not financial advice.
View full thesis
Quality20%
100/ 100

ROE 28% · Op margin 61%

Balance sheet15%
63/ 100

D/E 0.55 · CR 0.49

Insider convictionown.
74/ 100

2 insiders buying

Superinvestorown.
79/ 100

1 tracked holder · peak 14.1%

Shareholder yield10%
97/ 100

Buyback runway via FCF

Momentum5%
61/ 100

51% through 52w range

Growth5%
100/ 100

EPS — · Rev 28%

Designed to surface potentially attractive characteristics — descriptive, not prescriptive. For research and educational purposes only.

Customise weights
Drivers
  • • Revenue growth holds near 28%
  • • Operating margin stays around 61%
  • • Capital returns continue at current cadence
Bear
~20%
$99.38
+22.7% / yr (5y)

A growth-rate scare or a quarter of margin compression resets the multiple. The business is still fine, but the price was assuming a level of compounding that takes 12–24 months to re-prove.

Drivers
  • • Growth decelerates by ~300 bps for two consecutive quarters
  • • Multiple compresses as estimates roll back
  • • Sentiment de-rates the name to a deeper-value multiple
Indicative weights
18.0%
—
13.0%

Editorial dataset · as of 2024-12-31. Sector medians are hand-maintained from public Tadawul / ADX / DFM / QSE / EGX disclosures and indicative Global ex-US references. Live licensed data is on the roadmap. For research and educational purposes only.

What to watch on the next print
  • • Whether margin expansion sustains into next quarter
  • • Forward guidance update — beats without raises tend to fade
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  • Institutional Own.

    97.2%

    Insider Own.

    4.9%

    Dividend Yield

    N/A

    Book Value / Share

    $32.59

    Superinvestor ownership

    Held by 1 tracked superinvestor · peak weight 7.4%

    Grand Portfolio
    • David Einhorn

      Greenlight Capital · Q4 2025

      7.4%

    Weights reflect each investor's latest 13F or factsheet snapshot. Data lags real time by 45+ days.