CP
Canadian Pacific Kansas City LimitedIndustrialsRailroadsIncome
$86.09 · 15min delay
β 1.22A steady large-cap income stock trading at a premium valuation.
52-wk low $68.4252-wk high $89.42
Mkt Cap
$76.43B
P/E
—
PEG
2.22
P/B
2.26
Dividend
0.82%
ROE
8.4%
About the business
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited, together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates a transcontinental freight railway in Canada, the United States, and Mexico. The transports bulk commodities, including grain, coal, potash, fertilizers, and sulphur; merchandise freight consists of industrial and consumer products, such as forest products, energy, chemicals and plastics, metals, minerals, consumer products, and automotive; and intermodal traffic comprising retail goods in overseas containers. The company also provides rail and intermodal transportation services through a network of approximately 20,000 miles serving business centers. The company was formerly known as Canadian Pacific Railway Limited and changed its name to Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited in April 2023. Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited was founded in 1881 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
Who would buy CP?
Consensus 5/100 · Mixed · Investors are split.
0 5 10
Endorses
· 0 frameworksNo framework reaches a strong endorsement at current metrics.
Rejects
· 3 frameworks- Peter Lynch· Lynch GARP0/100
PEG < 1 (growth at a discount) is 2.22× — fails "< 1.00×".
- Walter Schloss· Schloss Deep Value0/100
P/B < 1.0 (below book) is 2.26× — fails "< 1.00×".
Insider activity · Sparse
No recent insider transactions
Strength 10/100
No Form 4 filings in the last 6 months. Insider inactivity is itself weak evidence — it usually reflects blackout windows or compensation cycles rather than a view on the stock.
- Sparse data — read with caution
No transactions match the selected filters.
Insider activity from Yahoo Finance (quoteSummary: insiderTransactions + netSharePurchaseActivity). Cached 6 hours. · Insiders hold 0.0% of shares outstanding.
Net 6M: +0 sh
Price history
—
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Drag across the chart to select a custom period — all analysis below refocuses to that window.
What this means: Price near 52-week highs despite weak framework scores — market enthusiasm is running ahead of the fundamentals most legends look at.
What would CP do to your portfolio?
Add Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited at a hypothetical weight and Prism recalculates your whole book:
Risk metrics
Sharpe, Sortino, volatility, max drawdown, beta — before and after.
Sector concentration
How much this shifts your top sector weight and overall diversification.
Archetype tilt
Whether this leans your book more toward Quality, Value, Growth, Deep Value, Income, or Momentum.
CP is currently tagged:IncomeFails criteria (5/100)
Portfolio analytics are part of the member experience.
Sign in to run this simulationProbabilistic recommendation· rec-v1.0.0-2026-04
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited · CP
CP: 46% estimated probability of outperforming over the next 12M window. 1 of 6 signal families negative (medium confidence). Strongest support: Op margin 38%. Main risk to monitor: 142% above fair value.
Outperform prob.
46%
vs S&P 500 · 12M
Expected return
-6.4% → +17.6%
mid +5.6% / yr
Downside (p20)
-18.6%
stress -37.2%
Data quality
98/100
Excellent
Probabilistic research output, not financial advice. Prism recommendations are based on available data, historical relationships, and model assumptions. They do not guarantee future returns. Conduct independent due diligence before any investment decision.
Backtested and similar-setup statistics may be affected by survivorship bias, look-ahead bias, overfitting, transaction costs, liquidity constraints, and data limitations. Probability estimates are anchored heuristics — not validated forecasts — until the walk-forward backtest pipeline is in place.
Prism Score
Composite 50/100. Strongest contribution from quality; weakest from valuation. Risk patterns shaved 4 points off the composite.
Composite
50
/ 100
Deep valueval.
69/ 100
P/B 2.26× · FCF yield 2.5%
Margin of safetyval.
0/ 100
142% above fair value
Bull · base · bear scenarios
Three plausible paths over a 5-year horizon.
Indicative only. Probabilities are model-implied weights for stress-testing — not forecasts.
Bull
~20%$46.27
-11.7% / yr (5y)
A turnaround takes hold: margin recovers toward peer averages, revenue stabilises, and the market re-prices the asset value rather than the running earnings.
Drivers
- • Margin expands by 200–400 bps from 38%
- • Stranded asset value crystallises
- • Multiple re-rates one full turn higher
Base
~45%$35.59
-16.2% / yr (5y)
No deterioration, no surprise re-acceleration. 38% operating margin and -3% top-line growth chug along; the multiple slowly converges to the central fair-value estimate.
Global value comparison
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited vs sector medians — GCC, MENA, and Global ex-US.
Sector: Industrials. MENA-aware investors can sanity-check whether the US name is offering value relative to regional peers.
| Metric | CP | GCC median | MENA median | Global ex-US |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (TTM) | — | 15.5× | 13.0× | 16.0× |
| P/B | 2.26× | 2.00× | 1.70× | 2.40× |
| Dividend yield | 0.82% | 3.00% | 2.60% | 2.20% |
| ROE | 8.4% |
Earnings reaction explainer
CP missed materially — -16.2% below consensus.
Reported EPS $1.04 vs $1.24 expected — a material miss. The bar of the next two prints will be lower, but the multiple that was bid up to today's level usually does not survive an unexplained shortfall this size. Trailing operating margin: 37.6%.
- Quality investorsNegative
A material miss is incompatible with a quality-compounder narrative until proven otherwise. Two more prints needed before that label is restored.
- Growth investorsNegative
Multiple compression typically follows. The risk is not the miss itself, it's that consensus needs to re-rate forward estimates lower.
- Value investorsNegative
Even cheap stocks get cheaper after this kind of print — wait for capitulation rather than catching the falling knife.
News & events
Next earnings
Wed, Jul 29 · consensus EPS $1.24 · last actual $1.04
CPKC CEO Keith Creel statement on UP-NS merger application refiling
CNW Group · just now
CPKC President and CEO Keith Creel to address 2026 Wolfe Research Global Transportation & Industrials Conference
PR Newswire · just now
Assessing Canadian Pacific Kansas City (TSX:CP) Valuation After Recent 3% Daily Gain And Double Digit Annual Returns
Simply Wall St. · just now
Key Metrics at a Glance
P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/A
PEG Ratio
2.22
P/B Ratio
2.26
EPS Growth
-3.1%
Revenue Growth
-2.5%
Debt / Equity
0.51
Net Cash / Share
$-26.93
Return on Equity
8.4%
Gross Margin
53.9%
Operating Margin
37.6%
FCF / Share
$2.14
Current Ratio
0.67