DNN
Denison Mines Corp.EnergyUraniumUnclassified
$3.62 · 15min delay
β 1.65A challenged mid-cap business trading at a premium valuation. Most frameworks reject it today.
52-wk low $1.3952-wk high $4.43
Mkt Cap
$3.27B
P/E
—
PEG
106.92
P/B
12.11
Dividend
—
ROE
-46.6%
About the business
Denison Mines Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of uranium bearing properties in Canada. It holds 95% interest in its flagship project Wheeler River uranium project located in the Athabasca Basin region in northern Saskatchewan. The company was formerly known as International Uranium Corporation and changed its name to Denison Mines Corp. in December 2006. The company was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
Who would buy DNN?
Consensus 0/100 · Aligned · Investors mostly agree.
0 0 15
Endorses
· 0 frameworksNo framework reaches a strong endorsement at current metrics.
Rejects
· 3 frameworks- Peter Lynch· Lynch GARP0/100
PEG < 1 (growth at a discount) is 106.92× — fails "< 1.00×".
- Warren Buffett· Buffett Quality0/100
ROE > 15% is -46.6% — fails "> 15.0%".
Insider activity · Negative
Insider selling outweighs buying
Strength 70/100
9 insiders sold $4.5M on a discretionary basis. Discretionary selling carries more signal than planned disposals, but insiders sell for many non-thesis reasons (taxes, diversification, life events) — do not over-read it.
In Prism's context
Insider selling is worth flagging but insiders sell for many non-thesis reasons. Read alongside the framework verdict (Fails criteria).
| Insider | Role | Type | Date | Shares | Avg price | Value | Own |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Traub (Jennifer June) | Director of Issuer | Option exercise | Mar 24, 2026 | 147,000 | $1.04 | $153K | Direct |
| Traub (Jennifer June) | Director of Issuer | Open-market sell | Mar 24, 2026 | 76,281 | $3.43 | $262K | Direct |
| Cates (David Daniel CPA) | Director of Issuer | Option exercise | Jan 30, 2026 | 120,000 | $1.92 | $230K | Direct |
| Cates (David Daniel CPA) | Director of Issuer | Option exercise | Jan 30, 2026 | 240,000 | $1.09 | $263K | Direct |
| Smith, Mary Joanne | Senior Officer of Issuer | Transaction | Jan 29, 2026 | 10,000 | — | — | Direct |
| Smith, Mary Joanne | Senior Officer of Issuer | Open-market sell | Jan 29, 2026 | 10,000 | $4.35 | $43K | Direct |
| Smith, Mary Joanne | Senior Officer of Issuer | Transaction | Jan 28, 2026 | 5,000 | — | — | Direct |
| Smith, Mary Joanne | Senior Officer of Issuer | Open-market sell | Jan 28, 2026 | 5,000 | $4.18 | $21K | Direct |
| Cates (David Daniel CPA) | Director of Issuer | Open-market sell | Jan 28, 2026 | 360,000 | $4.29 | $1.55M | Direct |
| Neuburger, David Mark | Director of Issuer | Option exercise | Jan 26, 2026 | 69,500 | $1.04 | $72K | Direct |
| Neuburger, David Mark | Director of Issuer | Open-market sell | Jan 26, 2026 | 69,500 | $3.96 | $275K | Direct |
| Neuburger, David Mark | Director of Issuer | Option exercise | Jan 22, 2026 | 4,000 | $1.04 | $4K | Direct |
| Neuburger, David Mark | Director of Issuer | Open-market sell | Jan 22, 2026 | 4,000 | $3.92 | $16K | Direct |
| Sidle (Elizabeth) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Option exercise | Jan 22, 2026 | 65,334 | $1.08 | $71K | Direct |
| Sidle (Elizabeth) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Open-market sell | Jan 22, 2026 | 32,334 | $3.90 | $126K | Direct |
| Sidle (Elizabeth) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Open-market sell | Jan 19, 2026 | 747 | $3.74 | $3K | Direct |
| Sorba (Chad) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Option exercise | Jan 19, 2026 | 13,000 | $1.33 | $17K | Direct |
| Sorba (Chad) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Option exercise | Jan 19, 2026 | 22,666 | $1.07 | $24K | Direct |
| Sorba (Chad) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Option exercise | Jan 19, 2026 | 24,000 | $1.88 | $45K | Direct |
| Sorba (Chad) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Open-market sell | Jan 19, 2026 | 59,666 | $3.74 | $223K | Direct |
| Switzer (Janna) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Option exercise | Jan 19, 2026 | 30,000 | $0.91 | $27K | Direct |
| Switzer (Janna) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Open-market sell | Jan 19, 2026 | 30,000 | $3.71 | $111K | Direct |
| Willett (Amanda) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Option exercise | Jan 19, 2026 | 29,667 | $1.88 | $56K | Direct |
| Willett (Amanda) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Option exercise | Jan 19, 2026 | 27,000 | $1.33 | $36K | Direct |
| Willett (Amanda) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Open-market sell | Jan 19, 2026 | 56,667 | $3.66 | $207K | Direct |
| Cates (David Daniel CPA) | Director of Issuer | Option exercise | Jan 16, 2026 | 315,000 | $1.32 | $416K | Direct |
| Sidle (Elizabeth) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Option exercise | Jan 16, 2026 | 69,000 | $1.32 | $91K | Direct |
| Sidle (Elizabeth) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Open-market sell | Jan 16, 2026 | 64,000 | $3.49 | $224K | Direct |
| Cates (David Daniel CPA) | Director of Issuer | Open-market sell | Jan 14, 2026 | 315,000 | $3.47 | $1.09M | Direct |
| Smith, Mary Joanne | Senior Officer of Issuer | Option exercise | Jan 14, 2026 | 21,667 | $1.88 | $41K | Direct |
| Smith, Mary Joanne | Senior Officer of Issuer | Open-market sell | Jan 14, 2026 | 21,667 | $3.50 | $76K | Direct |
| Sterritt (Laurie) | Director of Issuer | Option exercise | Jan 2, 2026 | 56,000 | $1.34 | $75K | Direct |
| Sterritt (Laurie) | Director of Issuer | Option exercise | Jan 2, 2026 | 40,000 | $1.09 | $43K | Direct |
| Sterritt (Laurie) | Director of Issuer | Open-market sell | Jan 2, 2026 | 96,000 | $2.98 | $287K | Direct |
Insider activity from Yahoo Finance (quoteSummary: insiderTransactions + netSharePurchaseActivity). Cached 6 hours. · Insiders hold 0.3% of shares outstanding.
Net 6M: +0 sh
Price history
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Drag across the chart to select a custom period — all analysis below refocuses to that window.
What this means: A significant rerating — the valuation-sensitive frameworks below will have tightened since this move.
What would DNN do to your portfolio?
Add Denison Mines Corp. at a hypothetical weight and Prism recalculates your whole book:
Risk metrics
Sharpe, Sortino, volatility, max drawdown, beta — before and after.
Sector concentration
How much this shifts your top sector weight and overall diversification.
Archetype tilt
Whether this leans your book more toward Quality, Value, Growth, Deep Value, Income, or Momentum.
DNN is currently tagged:Fails criteria (0/100)
Portfolio analytics are part of the member experience.
Sign in to run this simulationProbabilistic recommendation· rec-v1.0.0-2026-04
Denison Mines Corp. · DNN
DNN: 40% estimated probability of outperforming over the next 12M window. 0 of 6 signal families negative (low confidence). Main risk to monitor: 1111% above fair value.
Outperform prob.
40%
vs S&P 500 · 12M
Expected return
-12.5% → +23.5%
mid +5.5% / yr
Downside (p20)
-19.8%
stress -39.6%
Data quality
75/100
Good
Prism Score
Probabilistic research output, not financial advice. Prism recommendations are based on available data, historical relationships, and model assumptions. They do not guarantee future returns. Conduct independent due diligence before any investment decision.
Backtested and similar-setup statistics may be affected by survivorship bias, look-ahead bias, overfitting, transaction costs, liquidity constraints, and data limitations. Probability estimates are anchored heuristics — not validated forecasts — until the walk-forward backtest pipeline is in place.
Prism Score
Composite 27/100. Strongest contribution from ownership; weakest from quality.
Composite
27
/ 100
Deep valueval.
13/ 100
P/B 12.11× · FCF yield -2.4%
Margin of safetyval.
0/ 100
1111% above fair value
Bull · base · bear scenarios
Three plausible paths over a 5-year horizon.
Indicative only. Probabilities are model-implied weights for stress-testing — not forecasts.
Bull
~20%$0.39
-36.0% / yr (5y)
A turnaround takes hold: margin recovers toward peer averages, revenue stabilises, and the market re-prices the asset value rather than the running earnings.
Drivers
- • Margin expands by 200–400 bps from -1553%
- • Stranded asset value crystallises
- • Multiple re-rates one full turn higher
Base
~45%$0.30
-39.3% / yr (5y)
No deterioration, no surprise re-acceleration. -1553% operating margin and 4% top-line growth chug along; the multiple slowly converges to the central fair-value estimate.
Global value comparison
Denison Mines Corp. vs sector medians — GCC, MENA, and Global ex-US.
Sector: Energy. MENA-aware investors can sanity-check whether the US name is offering value relative to regional peers.
| Metric | DNN | GCC median | MENA median | Global ex-US |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (TTM) | — | 14.8× | — | 9.0× |
| P/B | 12.11× | 2.60× | — | 1.20× |
| Dividend yield | — | 5.20% | — | 5.50% |
| ROE | -46.6% |
Earnings reaction explainer
DNN missed materially — -56.4% below consensus.
Reported EPS $-0.03 vs $-0.02 expected — a material miss. The bar of the next two prints will be lower, but the multiple that was bid up to today's level usually does not survive an unexplained shortfall this size. Trailing operating margin: -1552.7%.
- Quality investorsNegative
A material miss is incompatible with a quality-compounder narrative until proven otherwise. Two more prints needed before that label is restored.
- Growth investorsNegative
Multiple compression typically follows. The risk is not the miss itself, it's that consensus needs to re-rate forward estimates lower.
- Value investorsNegative
Even cheap stocks get cheaper after this kind of print — wait for capitulation rather than catching the falling knife.
News & events
Next earnings
Tue, May 12 · consensus EPS $-0.02 · last actual $-0.03
Key Metrics at a Glance
P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/A
PEG Ratio
106.92
P/B Ratio
12.11
EPS Growth
N/A
Revenue Growth
4.4%
Debt / Equity
1.67
Net Cash / Share
$-0.08
Return on Equity
-46.6%
Gross Margin
-15.1%
Operating Margin
-1552.7%
FCF / Share
$-0.09
Current Ratio
10.75