GOOGL
Alphabet Inc.Communication ServicesInternet Content & InformationRisk-First
$384.55 · 15min delay
β 1.27A high-quality mega-cap risk-flagged situation trading near fair value. Frameworks sharply disagree on it.
52-wk low $156.1652-wk high $402.00
Mkt Cap
$4.66T
P/E
—
PEG
1.58
P/B
11.19
Dividend
0.23%
ROE
38.9%
About the business
Alphabet Inc. offers various products and platforms in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia-Pacific, Canada, and Latin America. It operates through Google Services, Google Cloud, and Other Bets segments. The Google Services segment provides products and services, including ads, Android, Chrome, devices, Gmail, Google Drive, Google Maps, Google Photos, Google Play, Search, and YouTube. It is also involved in the sale of apps and in-app purchases and digital content in Google Play and YouTube; and devices, as well as the provision of YouTube consumer subscription services, such as YouTube TV, YouTube Music and Premium, NFL Sunday Ticket, and Google One. The Google Cloud segment offers consumption-based fees and subscriptions for AI solutions, including AI infrastructure, Vertex AI platform, and Gemini enterprise. It also provides cybersecurity, and data and analytics services; Google Workspace that include cloud-based communication and collaboration tools for enterprises, such as Calendar, Gmail, Docs, Drive, and Meet; and other enterprise services. The Other Bets segment sells transportation and internet services. Alphabet Inc. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Mountain View, California.
Who would buy GOOGL?
Consensus 56/100 · Mixed · Investors are split.
7 7 1
Endorses
· 3 frameworks- Warren Buffett· Buffett Quality100/100
ROE > 15% 38.9% clears "> 15.0%".
- Joel Greenblatt· Magic Formula100/100
ROE > 20% 38.9% clears "> 20.0%".
- Howard Marks· Marks Risk-First100/100
Debt/Equity < 0.5 0.20 clears "< 0.50".
Insider activity · Negative
Insider selling outweighs buying
Strength 40/100
1 insiders sold $387K on a discretionary basis. Discretionary selling carries more signal than planned disposals, but insiders sell for many non-thesis reasons (taxes, diversification, life events) — do not over-read it. Over the 6M window, insiders are net buyers by 539,308 shares.
In Prism's context
Insider selling is worth flagging but insiders sell for many non-thesis reasons. Read alongside the framework verdict (Partial match).
| Insider | Role | Type | Date | Shares | Avg price | Value | Own |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SERGEY BRIN | Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security | Stock Gift at price 0.00 per share. | Feb 19, 2026 | 437,500 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| HENNESSY JOHN L | Director | Open-market sell | Feb 13, 2026 | 600 | $306.73 | $184K | Indirect |
| HENNESSY JOHN L | Director | Open-market sell | Jan 13, 2026 | 600 | $337.52 | $203K | Indirect |
| SHRIRAM KAVITARK RAM | Director | Stock Gift at price 0.00 per share. | Dec 9, 2025 | 39,200 | $0.00 | $0 | Indirect |
Insider activity from Yahoo Finance (quoteSummary: insiderTransactions + netSharePurchaseActivity). Cached 6 hours. · Insiders hold 0.6% of shares outstanding.
Net 6M: +539,308 sh
Price history
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Drag across the chart to select a custom period — all analysis below refocuses to that window.
What this means: A significant rerating — the valuation-sensitive frameworks below will have tightened since this move.
What would GOOGL do to your portfolio?
Add Alphabet Inc. at a hypothetical weight and Prism recalculates your whole book:
Risk metrics
Sharpe, Sortino, volatility, max drawdown, beta — before and after.
Sector concentration
How much this shifts your top sector weight and overall diversification.
Archetype tilt
Whether this leans your book more toward Quality, Value, Growth, Deep Value, Income, or Momentum.
GOOGL is currently tagged:Risk-FirstPartial match (56/100)
Portfolio analytics are part of the member experience.
Sign in to run this simulationProbabilistic recommendation· rec-v1.0.0-2026-04
Alphabet Inc. · GOOGL
GOOGL: 53% estimated probability of outperforming over the next 12M window. 3 of 6 signal families positive (medium confidence). Strongest support: ROE 39%. Main risk to monitor: 48% above fair value.
Outperform prob.
53%
vs S&P 500 · 12M
Expected return
-3.3% → +20.7%
mid +8.7% / yr
Downside (p20)
-17.2%
stress -34.4%
Data quality
95/100
Excellent
Prism Score
Probabilistic research output, not financial advice. Prism recommendations are based on available data, historical relationships, and model assumptions. They do not guarantee future returns. Conduct independent due diligence before any investment decision.
Backtested and similar-setup statistics may be affected by survivorship bias, look-ahead bias, overfitting, transaction costs, liquidity constraints, and data limitations. Probability estimates are anchored heuristics — not validated forecasts — until the walk-forward backtest pipeline is in place.
Prism Score
Composite 59/100. Strongest contribution from quality; weakest from valuation. Risk patterns shaved 2 points off the composite.
Composite
59
/ 100
Deep valueval.
22/ 100
P/B 11.19× · FCF yield 0.6%
Margin of safetyval.
12/ 100
48% above fair value
Bull · base · bear scenarios
Three plausible paths over a 5-year horizon.
Indicative only. Probabilities are model-implied weights for stress-testing — not forecasts.
Bull
~25%$336.81
-2.6% / yr (5y)
Operating leverage kicks in or a new product line scales — margins inflect higher, growth steps up by 200–400 bps, and the multiple re-rates as the durability becomes obvious to a wider audience.
Drivers
- • Margin expands by 200–400 bps from 36%
- • Top-line accelerates 300–500 bps above current
- • Multiple re-rates one full turn higher
Base
~55%$259.09
-7.6% / yr (5y)
Business continues to compound at recent rates — 36% operating margin holds, 22% top-line growth persists, capital allocation stays disciplined. Multiple stays roughly where it is.
Global value comparison
Alphabet Inc. vs sector medians — GCC, MENA, and Global ex-US.
Sector: Communication Services. MENA-aware investors can sanity-check whether the US name is offering value relative to regional peers.
| Metric | GOOGL | GCC median | MENA median | Global ex-US |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (TTM) | — | 14.2× | — | 13.5× |
| P/B | 11.19× | 2.10× | — | 2.00× |
| Dividend yield | 0.23% | 4.40% | — | 4.00% |
| ROE | 38.9% |
Earnings reaction explainer
GOOGL blew past estimates by 77.1%.
Reported EPS $5.11 vs $2.88 expected — well outside the normal beat-and-raise band. The market typically rewards a print this size only if it is read as durable, not one-off. Trailing operating margin: 36.1%.
- Growth investorsPositive
Confirms operating leverage — 82% trailing EPS growth + a beat of this size is the pattern that drives multi-year re-rates.
- Quality investorsPositive
If ROE (39%) and operating margin (36%) are stable or rising, the beat is consistent with compounding rather than one-off.
- Value investorsNeutral
A blow-out can pull future quarters forward — value investors will look for sustained margin, not a single-quarter spike.
News & events
Next earnings
Thu, Jul 23 · consensus EPS $2.88 · last actual $5.11
Key Metrics at a Glance
P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/A
PEG Ratio
1.58
P/B Ratio
11.19
EPS Growth
82.0%
Revenue Growth
21.8%
Debt / Equity
0.20
Net Cash / Share
$5.32
Return on Equity
38.9%
Gross Margin
60.4%
Operating Margin
36.1%
FCF / Share
$4.72
Current Ratio
1.92