HPE
Hewlett Packard Enterprise CompanyTechnologyCommunication EquipmentMomentum
$29.78 · 15min delay
β 1.29A steady large-cap momentum story trading near fair value. Most frameworks reject it today.
52-wk low $17.0252-wk high $31.64
Mkt Cap
$39.51B
P/E
—
PEG
0.85
P/B
1.60
Dividend
1.85%
ROE
-0.5%
About the business
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company, together with its subsidiaries, develops intelligent solutions in the United States, the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, Japan, and internationally. It operates in five segments: Server, Hybrid Cloud, Networking, Financial Services, and Corporate Investments and Other. The company offers general-purpose servers, workload-optimized servers, and integrated systems, including HPE ProLiant Rack and Tower servers; HPE Synergy; HPE Scale Up servers; HPE Edgeline servers; HPE Cray EX; HPE Cray XD; and HPE NonStop. It also provides cloud-native and hybrid solutions, such as HPE Alletra Storage; HPE InfoSight; HPE CloudPhysics; and HPE GreenLake. In addition, the company develops and sells networking and security products and services comprising hardware products, which include Wi-Fi and private cellular access points, MX and PTX routers, and gateways, as well as QFX, EX, and CX switches; software products, such as Mist and Aruba Central; and services comprising professional, maintenance, support services, management software, and education and training programs. Further, it offers investment solutions, including leasing, financing, IT consumption, utility programs, and asset management services, as well as supports financial solutions for on-premise flexible consumption models. The company serves commercial and large enterprise groups, as well as business and public sector enterprises. It sells its products through resellers, distribution partners, master area partners, original equipment manufacturers, independent software vendors, systems integrators, and advisory firms. The company was founded in 1939 and is headquartered in Spring, Texas.
Who would buy HPE?
Consensus 2/100 · Aligned · Investors mostly agree.
0 2 13
Endorses
· 0 frameworksNo framework reaches a strong endorsement at current metrics.
Rejects
· 3 frameworks- Joel Greenblatt· Magic Formula0/100
ROE > 20% is -0.5% — fails "> 20.0%".
- Walter Schloss· Schloss Deep Value0/100
P/B < 1.0 (below book) is 1.60× — fails "< 1.00×".
Insider activity · Negative
Insider selling outweighs buying
Strength 70/100
9 insiders sold $30.0M on a discretionary basis. Discretionary selling carries more signal than planned disposals, but insiders sell for many non-thesis reasons (taxes, diversification, life events) — do not over-read it. Over the 6M window, insiders are net buyers by 1,534,276 shares.
In Prism's context
Insider selling is worth flagging but insiders sell for many non-thesis reasons. Read alongside the framework verdict (Fails criteria).
| Insider | Role | Type | Date | Shares | Avg price | Value | Own |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MYERS MARIE ELIZABETH | Chief Financial Officer | Open-market sell | May 5, 2026 | 93,583 | $30.01 | $2.81M | Direct |
| MAYER BETHANY J | Director | Open-market sell | May 5, 2026 | 6,482 | $29.10 | $189K | Direct |
| RUSSO FIDELMA | Chief Technology Officer | Open-market sell | Apr 21, 2026 | 17,001 | $27.97 | $476K | Direct |
| MACDONALD NEIL B | Officer | Open-market sell | Apr 20, 2026 | 24,251 | $27.01 | $655K | Direct |
| NERI ANTONIO F | Chief Executive Officer | Open-market sell | Apr 17, 2026 | 150,000 | $26.50 | $3.97M | Direct |
| CALDERONI ROBERT | Director | Option exercise | Apr 1, 2026 | 8,008 | $23.98 | $192K | Direct |
| LANE RAYMOND J | Director | Option exercise | Apr 1, 2026 | 14,500 | $23.98 | $348K | Direct |
| REINER GARY M | Director | Transaction | Apr 1, 2026 | 14,500 | — | — | Direct |
| LIVERMORE ANN M | Director | Option exercise | Apr 1, 2026 | 14,500 | $23.98 | $348K | Direct |
| CARTER PAMELA LYNN | Director | Option exercise | Apr 1, 2026 | 14,500 | $23.98 | $348K | Direct |
| NOSKI CHARLES HOWARD | Director | Option exercise | Apr 1, 2026 | 14,499 | $23.98 | $348K | Indirect |
| RUSSO PATRICIA F | Director | Option exercise | Apr 1, 2026 | 14,499 | $23.98 | $348K | Indirect |
| MAYER BETHANY J | Director | Option exercise | Apr 1, 2026 | 14,500 | $23.98 | $348K | Direct |
| OZZIE RAYMOND E | Director | Option exercise | Apr 1, 2026 | 14,500 | $23.98 | $348K | Direct |
| D AMELIO FRANK A | Director | Option exercise | Apr 1, 2026 | 14,499 | $23.98 | $348K | Indirect |
| DUGAN REGINA E | Director | Transaction | Apr 1, 2026 | 14,500 | — | — | Direct |
| HOBBY JEAN M | Director | Option exercise | Apr 1, 2026 | 14,499 | $23.98 | $348K | Indirect |
| LANE RAYMOND J | Director | Award / grant | Mar 31, 2026 | 1,585 | $23.81 | $38K | Direct |
| REINER GARY M | Director | Award / grant | Mar 31, 2026 | 1,795 | $23.81 | $43K | Direct |
| RUSSO PATRICIA F | Director | Award / grant | Mar 31, 2026 | 1,822 | $23.81 | $43K | Indirect |
| NERI ANTONIO F | Chief Executive Officer | Open-market sell | Mar 25, 2026 | 264,432 | $25.18 | $6.66M | Direct |
| MACDONALD NEIL B | Officer | Open-market sell | Mar 25, 2026 | 112,652 | $25.09 | $2.83M | Direct |
| RUSSO FIDELMA | Chief Technology Officer | Open-market sell | Mar 25, 2026 | 34,001 | $25.08 | $853K | Direct |
| RAHIM RAMI | Officer | Transaction | Feb 20, 2026 | 177,858 | — | — | Direct |
| MYERS MARIE ELIZABETH | Chief Financial Officer | Option exercise | Jan 20, 2026 | 158,391 | $20.39 | $3.23M | Direct |
| NERI ANTONIO F | Chief Executive Officer | Open-market sell | Dec 29, 2025 | 26,457 | $24.49 | $648K | Direct |
| KARROS KIRT P | Officer and Treasurer | Open-market sell | Dec 24, 2025 | 36,460 | $24.61 | $897K | Direct |
| MACDONALD NEIL B | Officer | Option exercise | Dec 15, 2025 | 4,176 | $24.05 | $100K | Direct |
| NERI ANTONIO F | Chief Executive Officer | Option exercise | Dec 15, 2025 | 10,142 | $24.05 | $244K | Direct |
| SCHULTZ JOHN F. J.D. | Officer | Option exercise | Dec 15, 2025 | 4,305 | $24.05 | $104K | Direct |
| LANE RAYMOND J | Director | Award / grant | Dec 15, 2025 | 1,195 | $24.05 | $29K | Direct |
| RUSSO PATRICIA F | Director | Award / grant | Dec 15, 2025 | 1,637 | $24.05 | $39K | Indirect |
| REINER GARY M | Director | Award / grant | Dec 15, 2025 | 1,403 | $24.05 | $34K | Direct |
| CULLOTY MAEVE C | Officer | Open-market sell | Dec 11, 2025 | 35,958 | $24.66 | $887K | Direct |
| COX JEREMY K. | Chief Technology Officer | Open-market sell | Dec 11, 2025 | 13,463 | $24.68 | $332K | Direct |
| RUSSO FIDELMA | Chief Technology Officer | Open-market sell | Dec 11, 2025 | 126,512 | $24.61 | $3.11M | Direct |
| COX JEREMY K. | Chief Technology Officer | Open-market sell | Dec 10, 2025 | 63,503 | $23.92 | $1.52M | Direct |
| SCHULTZ JOHN F. J.D. | Chief Operating Officer | Open-market sell | Dec 10, 2025 | 169,508 | $24.83 | $4.21M | Direct |
| COX JEREMY K. | Chief Technology Officer | Transaction | Dec 9, 2025 | 22,200 | — | — | Direct |
| MYERS MARIE ELIZABETH | Chief Financial Officer | Transaction | Dec 9, 2025 | 65,673 | — | — | Direct |
Showing 40 of 50 matching transactions.
Insider activity from Yahoo Finance (quoteSummary: insiderTransactions + netSharePurchaseActivity). Cached 6 hours. · Insiders hold 0.4% of shares outstanding.
Net 6M: +1,534,276 sh
Price history
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Drag across the chart to select a custom period — all analysis below refocuses to that window.
What this means: A significant rerating — the valuation-sensitive frameworks below will have tightened since this move.
What would HPE do to your portfolio?
Add Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company at a hypothetical weight and Prism recalculates your whole book:
Risk metrics
Sharpe, Sortino, volatility, max drawdown, beta — before and after.
Sector concentration
How much this shifts your top sector weight and overall diversification.
Archetype tilt
Whether this leans your book more toward Quality, Value, Growth, Deep Value, Income, or Momentum.
HPE is currently tagged:MomentumFails criteria (2/100)
Portfolio analytics are part of the member experience.
Sign in to run this simulationProbabilistic recommendation· rec-v1.0.0-2026-04
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company · HPE
HPE: 47% estimated probability of outperforming over the next 12M window. 1 of 6 signal families negative (medium confidence). Strongest support: 87% through 52w range. Main risk to monitor: 59% above fair value.
Outperform prob.
47%
vs S&P 500 · 12M
Expected return
-11.9% → +24.1%
mid +6.1% / yr
Downside (p20)
-17.5%
stress -35.1%
Data quality
98/100
Excellent
Probabilistic research output, not financial advice. Prism recommendations are based on available data, historical relationships, and model assumptions. They do not guarantee future returns. Conduct independent due diligence before any investment decision.
Backtested and similar-setup statistics may be affected by survivorship bias, look-ahead bias, overfitting, transaction costs, liquidity constraints, and data limitations. Probability estimates are anchored heuristics — not validated forecasts — until the walk-forward backtest pipeline is in place.
Prism Score
Composite 49/100. Strongest contribution from ownership; weakest from quality. Risk patterns shaved 2 points off the composite.
Composite
49
/ 100
Deep valueval.
85/ 100
P/B 1.60× · FCF yield 6.5%
Margin of safetyval.
1/ 100
59% above fair value
Bull · base · bear scenarios
Three plausible paths over a 5-year horizon.
Indicative only. Probabilities are model-implied weights for stress-testing — not forecasts.
Bull
~20%$24.40
-3.9% / yr (5y)
A turnaround takes hold: margin recovers toward peer averages, revenue stabilises, and the market re-prices the asset value rather than the running earnings.
Drivers
- • Margin expands by 200–400 bps from 8%
- • Stranded asset value crystallises
- • Multiple re-rates one full turn higher
Base
~45%$18.77
-8.8% / yr (5y)
No deterioration, no surprise re-acceleration. 8% operating margin and 18% top-line growth chug along; the multiple slowly converges to the central fair-value estimate.
Global value comparison
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company vs sector medians — GCC, MENA, and Global ex-US.
Sector: Technology. MENA-aware investors can sanity-check whether the US name is offering value relative to regional peers.
| Metric | HPE | GCC median | MENA median | Global ex-US |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (TTM) | — | 22.0× | — | 23.0× |
| P/B | 1.60× | 4.00× | — | 4.50× |
| Dividend yield | 1.85% | 1.00% | — | 1.40% |
| ROE | -0.5% |
Earnings reaction explainer
HPE blew past estimates by 21.8%.
Reported EPS $0.65 vs $0.53 expected — well outside the normal beat-and-raise band. The market typically rewards a print this size only if it is read as durable, not one-off. Trailing operating margin: 7.6%.
- Growth investorsPositive
Confirms operating leverage — -30% trailing EPS growth + a beat of this size is the pattern that drives multi-year re-rates.
- Quality investorsPositive
If ROE (-0%) and operating margin (8%) are stable or rising, the beat is consistent with compounding rather than one-off.
- Value investorsNegative
Outsized beats on thin trailing quality often invite multiple expansion that doesn't survive the next print.
News & events
Next earnings
Mon, Jun 1 · consensus EPS $0.53 · last actual $0.65
HPE Delivers Unified Private Clouds and Data Platforms to Accelerate Enterprise Modernization and AI Data Readiness
Business Wire · just now
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Launches Private Cloud, Data Protection Upgrades for GreenLake Platform
MT Newswires · just now
HPE Introduces Industry-First 64 TB Memory Server for SAP Cloud ERP and Business-Critical Workloads
Key Metrics at a Glance
P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/A
PEG Ratio
0.85
P/B Ratio
1.60
EPS Growth
-30.3%
Revenue Growth
18.4%
Debt / Equity
0.87
Net Cash / Share
$-12.68
Return on Equity
-0.5%
Gross Margin
32.1%
Operating Margin
7.6%
FCF / Share
$1.92
Current Ratio
1.03