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LEN logo

LEN

Lennar Corporation
Consumer CyclicalResidential ConstructionValue
$86.22 · 15min delay
β 1.42

A steady large-cap business trading at a discounted valuation. Frameworks sharply disagree on it.

Download report

52-wk low $83.0352-wk high $144.24

Mkt Cap

$21.23B

P/E

—

PEG

0.74

P/B

0.97

Dividend

2.30%

ROE

8.1%

About the business

Lennar Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a homebuilder primarily under the Lennar brand in the United States. It operates through Homebuilding East, Homebuilding Central, Homebuilding South Central, Homebuilding West, Financial Services, Multifamily, and Lennar Other segments. The company's homebuilding operations include the construction and sale of single-family attached and detached homes, as well as the purchase, development, and sale of residential land; and development, construction, and management of multifamily rental properties. It also offers residential mortgage financing, title insurance, and closing services for home buyers and others, as well as originating and selling securitization commercial mortgage loans. In addition, the company is involved in fund investment activities. It primarily serves first-time, move-up, active adult, and luxury homebuyers. The company was founded in 1954 and is based in Miami, Florida.

Who would buy LEN?

Consensus 45/100 · Polarized · Investors strongly disagree — this is where Prism is most useful.

6 3 6

Endorses

· 3 frameworks
  • Benjamin Graham· Graham Defensive100/100

    P/B < 1.5 0.97× clears "< 1.50×".

  • Seth Klarman· Klarman Margin of Safety100/100

    FCF Yield > 7% 16.2% clears "> 7.0%".

  • Fama / French· Pure Value Factor100/100

    P/B < 1.5 0.97× clears "< 1.50×".

Insider activity · Routine

Activity is dominated by option exercises

Strength 15/100

Recent filings are almost entirely option exercises and awards. These are compensation-driven and do not represent an active view on the stock.

In Prism's context

Prism treats insider activity here as a low-weight input. It neither strengthens nor materially weakens the framework read (Weak match).

InsiderRoleTypeDateSharesAvg priceValueOwn
WOLFE SERENADirectorAward / grantApr 22, 202612$94.42$1KDirect
SMITH DACONADirectorAward / grantApr 22, 202612$94.42$1KDirect
MCCLURE TERI PLUMMERDirectorAward / grantApr 22, 202612$94.42$1KDirect
GILLIAM THERON I JRDirectorAward / grantApr 22, 202612$94.42$1KDirect
SONNENFELD JEFFREY ALANDirectorAward / grantApr 22, 202613$94.46$1KDirect
OLIVERA ARMANDO JDirectorAward / grantApr 22, 202614$94.43$1KDirect
BANSE AMY LDirectorAward / grantApr 22, 202612$94.42$1KDirect
HUDSON SHERRILL WDirectorAward / grantApr 22, 202612$94.42$1KDirect
WOLFE SERENADirectorAward / grantApr 8, 20262,313$0.00$0Direct
SMITH DACONADirectorAward / grantApr 8, 20262,313$0.00$0Direct
MCCLURE TERI PLUMMERDirectorAward / grantApr 8, 20262,313$0.00$0Direct
GILLIAM THERON I JRDirectorAward / grantApr 8, 20262,313$0.00$0Direct
SONNENFELD JEFFREY ALANDirectorAward / grantApr 8, 20262,312$0.00$0Direct
OLIVERA ARMANDO JDirectorAward / grantApr 8, 20262,312$0.00$0Direct
BANSE AMY LDirectorAward / grantApr 8, 20262,313$0.00$0Direct
HUDSON SHERRILL WDirectorAward / grantApr 8, 20262,313$0.00$0Direct
SONNENFELD JEFFREY ALANDirectorAward / grantFeb 27, 2026251$114.36$29KDirect
OLIVERA ARMANDO JDirectorAward / grantFeb 27, 2026393$114.36$45KDirect
MILLER STUART A.Chief Executive OfficerAward / grantJan 20, 2026230,118$0.00$0Direct
LEE MARTIN KATHERINEOfficerAward / grantJan 20, 202617,366$0.00$0Direct
COLLINS DAVID MOfficerAward / grantJan 20, 20268,687$0.00$0Direct
BESSETTE DIANE JChief Financial OfficerAward / grantJan 20, 202641,250$0.00$0Direct
WOLFE SERENADirectorAward / grantNov 28, 2025133$0.00$0Direct
SMITH DACONADirectorAward / grantNov 28, 2025133$0.00$0Direct
MCCLURE TERI PLUMMERDirectorAward / grantNov 28, 2025133$0.00$0Direct
BANSE AMY LDirectorAward / grantNov 28, 2025133$0.00$0Direct
MILLER STUART A.Chief Executive OfficerStock Gift at price 0.00 per share.Nov 26, 20257,750$0.00$0Direct

Insider activity from Yahoo Finance (quoteSummary: insiderTransactions + netSharePurchaseActivity). Cached 6 hours. · Insiders hold 5.2% of shares outstanding.

Net 6M: +0 sh

Price history

—
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Drag across the chart to select a custom period — all analysis below refocuses to that window.

What this means: A notable drawdown — worth re-reading the framework verdicts below with the cheaper price in mind.

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AI summaries

Members get a plain-English 'what matters now' brief plus an explanation of why the price is moving, grounded in Prism's framework scores.

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Full framework decision report

See how Lynch, Buffett, Graham, Greenblatt, Fisher and more each score this stock — with every rule, threshold, and reason exposed.

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Peer comparison + AI read-through

See how this stock stacks up against its closest peers on valuation, growth, and returns — with a written peer summary.

What would LEN do to your portfolio?

Add Lennar Corporation at a hypothetical weight and Prism recalculates your whole book:

Risk metrics

Sharpe, Sortino, volatility, max drawdown, beta — before and after.

Sector concentration

How much this shifts your top sector weight and overall diversification.

Archetype tilt

Whether this leans your book more toward Quality, Value, Growth, Deep Value, Income, or Momentum.

LEN is currently tagged:ValueWeak match (45/100)

Portfolio analytics are part of the member experience.

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Probabilistic recommendation· rec-v1.0.0-2026-04

Lennar Corporation · LEN

LEN: 51% estimated probability of outperforming over the next 12M window. 2 of 6 signal families negative (low confidence). Strongest support: 45% below fair value. Main risk to monitor: Op margin 4% (thin).

Outperform prob.
51%
vs S&P 500 · 12M
low confidence
Expected return
-5.9% → +30.1%
mid +12.1% / yr
Downside (p20)
-22.1%
stress -44.1%
Data quality
98/100
Excellent

Probabilistic research output, not financial advice. Prism recommendations are based on available data, historical relationships, and model assumptions. They do not guarantee future returns. Conduct independent due diligence before any investment decision.

Backtested and similar-setup statistics may be affected by survivorship bias, look-ahead bias, overfitting, transaction costs, liquidity constraints, and data limitations. Probability estimates are anchored heuristics — not validated forecasts — until the walk-forward backtest pipeline is in place.

Prism Score

Composite 66/100. Strongest contribution from valuation; weakest from quality. Risk patterns shaved 4 points off the composite.

Composite
66
/ 100
Attractive
Deep valueval.
99/ 100

P/B 0.97× · FCF yield 16.2%

Margin of safetyval.
100/ 100

45% below fair value

Bull · base · bear scenarios

Three plausible paths over a 5-year horizon.

Indicative only. Probabilities are model-implied weights for stress-testing — not forecasts.

Bull
~20%
$203.87
+18.8% / yr (5y)

A turnaround takes hold: margin recovers toward peer averages, revenue stabilises, and the market re-prices the asset value rather than the running earnings.

Drivers
  • • Margin expands by 200–400 bps from 4%
  • • Stranded asset value crystallises
  • • Multiple re-rates one full turn higher
Base
~45%
$156.83
+12.7% / yr (5y)

No deterioration, no surprise re-acceleration. 4% operating margin and -13% top-line growth chug along; the multiple slowly converges to the central fair-value estimate.

Global value comparison

Lennar Corporation vs sector medians — GCC, MENA, and Global ex-US.

Sector: Consumer Cyclical. MENA-aware investors can sanity-check whether the US name is offering value relative to regional peers.

MetricLENGCC medianMENA medianGlobal ex-US
P/E (TTM)—17.5×—14.0×
P/B0.97×2.40×—2.00×
Dividend yield2.30%2.40%—2.40%
ROE8.1%
Earnings reaction explainer

LEN missed materially — -29.5% below consensus.

Big miss· -29.5%

Reported EPS $0.88 vs $1.25 expected — a material miss. The bar of the next two prints will be lower, but the multiple that was bid up to today's level usually does not survive an unexplained shortfall this size. Trailing operating margin: 3.6%.

  • Quality investorsNegative

    A material miss is incompatible with a quality-compounder narrative until proven otherwise. Two more prints needed before that label is restored.

  • Growth investorsNegative

    Multiple compression typically follows. The risk is not the miss itself, it's that consensus needs to re-rate forward estimates lower.

  • Value investorsNegative

    Even cheap stocks get cheaper after this kind of print — wait for capitulation rather than catching the falling knife.

News & events

Next earnings

Thu, Mar 12 · consensus EPS $1.25 · last actual $0.88

Key Metrics at a Glance

P/E Ratio (TTM)

N/A

PEG Ratio

0.74

P/B Ratio

0.97

EPS Growth

-52.6%

Revenue Growth

-13.3%

Debt / Equity

0.25

Net Cash / Share

$16.12

Return on Equity

8.1%

Gross Margin

16.9%

Operating Margin

3.6%

FCF / Share

$16.00

Current Ratio

8.33

Rejects

· 3 frameworks
  • Joel Greenblatt· Magic Formula0/100

    ROE > 20% is 8.1% — fails "> 20.0%".

  • William O'Neil· Momentum / CAN SLIM13/100

    Within 15% of 52-wk high is -40.2% — fails "> -15.0%".

  • Philip Fisher· Fisher Growth25/100

    Revenue Growth > 15% is -13.3% — fails "> 15.0%".

See the full rule-by-rule drill-down below
Prism Score
66/100
Low agreement
Signal families · 2 of 6 signal families negative
Agreement: Low
  • Valuationpositive

    Trades materially below the fair-value range — historically a tailwind for forward returns.

    45% below fair valueReverse DCF: low expectations bar16.2% FCF yield
    91
    /100
  • Qualitynegative

    Returns are sub-cost-of-capital; quality bar not met.

    Op margin 4% (thin)EPS shrinking -53%
    24
    /100
  • Balance sheetpositive

    Capital structure is conservative and well-covered.

    D/E 0.25CR 8.33Net cash position
    76
    /100
  • Momentumnegative

    Price has been weak — momentum is a headwind.

    Near 52w lows (5%)40% off 52w high
    40
    /100
  • Behaviouralneutral

    Behavioural read is mixed — some accumulation, some distribution.

    1 tracked holders · peak 8.1%
    54
    /100
  • Catalysts & eventsnegative

    Recent miss and / or risk patterns weigh on the catalyst path.

    Big EPS miss (-29%)1 high-severity flag
    22
    /100
Positive drivers
  • • 45% below fair value
  • • Reverse DCF: low expectations bar
  • • 16.2% FCF yield
  • • D/E 0.25
  • • CR 8.33
Key risks
  • • Op margin 4% (thin)
  • • EPS shrinking -53%
  • • Near 52w lows (5%)
  • • 40% off 52w high
  • • Big EPS miss (-29%)
  • • Possible value trap
Suggested diligence questions
  • 1. Is the valuation discount durable, or is the market pricing in deteriorating fundamentals?
  • 2. Sequential revenue trend
Similar historical setups[MOCK DATA]

Among 102 historical setups with similar Prism Score and signal-agreement profiles, 52% beat the benchmark over the next 12 months, with average excess return of +1.6% / yr.

Probabilistic research output — not financial advice.
View full thesis
Quality20%
16/ 100

ROE 8% · Op margin 4%

Balance sheet15%
96/ 100

D/E 0.25 · CR 8.33

Insider convictionown.
50/ 100

Quiet

Superinvestorown.
77/ 100

1 tracked holder · peak 8.1%

Shareholder yield10%
100/ 100

2.30% yield + buyback runway

Momentum5%
24/ 100

5% through 52w range

Growth5%
0/ 100

EPS -53% · Rev -13%

Risk deduction: 1 pattern flagged · possible value trap. 4 points removed from composite.

Designed to surface potentially attractive characteristics — descriptive, not prescriptive. For research and educational purposes only.

Customise weights
Drivers
  • • Revenue growth holds near -13%
  • • Operating margin stays around 4%
  • • No major balance-sheet surprises
Bear
~35%
$117.62
+6.4% / yr (5y)

Already-thin margins compress further on input-cost or pricing pressure; revenue softens; the market questions whether the current earnings power is structural or one-off. Multi-year drawdown plausible.

Drivers
  • • Operating margin compresses 200–400 bps
  • • Multiple compresses as estimates roll back
  • • Sentiment de-rates the name to a deeper-value multiple
Indicative weights
13.0%
—
11.0%

Editorial dataset · as of 2024-12-31. Sector medians are hand-maintained from public Tadawul / ADX / DFM / QSE / EGX disclosures and indicative Global ex-US references. Live licensed data is on the roadmap. For research and educational purposes only.

What to watch on the next print
  • • Management explanation of cause — one-off vs structural
  • • Analyst-revision direction over the next 1-2 weeks

Institutional Own.

94.5%

Insider Own.

5.2%

Dividend Yield

2.30%

Book Value / Share

$88.83

Superinvestor ownership

Held by 1 tracked superinvestor · peak weight 4.8%

Grand Portfolio

  • Mason Hawkins

    Southeastern Asset Management · Q4 2025

    4.8%

Weights reflect each investor's latest 13F or factsheet snapshot. Data lags real time by 45+ days.