LYFT
Lyft, Inc.TechnologySoftware - ApplicationIncome
$13.62 · 15min delay
β 1.85A high-quality mid-cap income stock trading at a discounted valuation.
52-wk low $12.4652-wk high $25.54
Mkt Cap
$5.17B
P/E
—
PEG
0.15
P/B
1.72
Dividend
—
ROE
147.8%
About the business
Lyft, Inc. operates multimodal transportation networks that offer access to various transportation options through platform and mobile based applications in the United States and internationally. The company facilitates peer-to-peer ridesharing by connecting drivers who have vehicles with riders who need a ride. It also operates Lyft Platform that provides a marketplace where drivers can be matched with riders via the Lyft mobile application. The company's platform provides a ridesharing marketplace that connects drivers with riders; Express Drive, a car rental program for drivers; and a network of shared bikes and scooters in various cities to address the needs of riders for short trips. In addition, it offers licensing and data access agreements; sells bikes and bike station software and hardware; and provides advertising services. The company was formerly known as Zimride, Inc. and changed its name to Lyft, Inc. in April 2013. Lyft, Inc. was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
Who would buy LYFT?
Consensus 40/100 · Mixed · Investors are split.
4 8 3
Endorses
· 3 frameworks- Dividend Growth School· Dividend Income100/100
Payout Ratio < 70% 0.0% clears "< 70.0%".
- Peter Lynch· Lynch GARP88/100
PEG < 1 (growth at a discount) 0.15× clears "< 1.00×".
- Seth Klarman· Klarman Margin of Safety86/100
FCF Yield > 7% 23.5% clears "> 7.0%".
Insider activity · Mixed
Open-market buying concentrated in one insider
Strength 35/100
Buying is limited to a single filer (RISHER JOHN DAVID, $200K). Single-insider buys are worth noting but carry less weight than broad-based conviction — they can reflect an outlier view rather than a shared read inside the C-suite. Over the 6M window, insiders are net buyers by 520,722 shares.
- Buying concentrated in one filer — lower conviction signal.
In Prism's context
Insider activity is inconclusive here. The stock's case should lean on the framework verdict (Weak match, score 40/100) and the archetype read (Income).
| Insider | Role | Type | Date | Shares | Avg price | Value | Own |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STEPHENSON DAVID ELIOT | Director | Award / grant | Apr 20, 2026 | 1,127 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| WHITESIDE JANEY | Director | Award / grant | Apr 20, 2026 | 928 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| LLEWELLYN LINDSAY CATHERINE | Officer | Open-market sell | Apr 17, 2026 | 23,661 | $15.00 | $355K | Direct |
| HOPE STEPHEN W. | Officer | Award / grant | Feb 27, 2026 | 47,789 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| HOPE STEPHEN W. | Officer | Open-market sell | Feb 27, 2026 | 5,284 | $13.83 | $73K | Direct |
| BREWER ERIN | Chief Financial Officer | Award / grant | Feb 27, 2026 | 311,136 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| BEGGS JILL | Director | Open-market sell | Feb 27, 2026 | 2,093 | $13.89 | $29K | Direct |
| LLEWELLYN LINDSAY CATHERINE | Officer | Award / grant | Feb 27, 2026 | 242,833 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| LLEWELLYN LINDSAY CATHERINE | Officer | Open-market sell | Feb 25, 2026 | 23,661 | $13.30 | $315K | Direct |
| BREWER ERIN | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Gift at price 0.00 per share. | Feb 20, 2026 | 76,190 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| RISHER JOHN DAVID | Chief Executive Officer | Open-market buy | Feb 13, 2026 | 7,490 | $13.38 | $100K | Direct |
| HERSMAN DEBORAH A. P. | Director | Award / grant | Jan 23, 2026 | 4,842 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| LAWEE DAVID | Director | Award / grant | Jan 20, 2026 | 824 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| STEPHENSON DAVID ELIOT | Director | Award / grant | Jan 20, 2026 | 893 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| WHITESIDE JANEY | Director | Award / grant | Jan 20, 2026 | 735 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| BREWER ERIN | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Gift at price 0.00 per share. | Dec 19, 2025 | 11,744 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| RISHER JOHN DAVID | Chief Executive Officer | Open-market buy | Dec 10, 2025 | 5,030 | $19.80 | $100K | Direct |
| HOPE STEPHEN W. | Officer | Open-market sell | Dec 4, 2025 | 4,800 | $22.30 | $107K | Direct |
| AGGARWAL PRASHANT K | Director | Open-market sell | Dec 4, 2025 | 174,599 | $22.30 | $3.89M | — |
| LAWEE DAVID | Director | Open-market sell | Dec 3, 2025 | 6,578 | $22.55 | $148K | Direct |
| BEGGS JILL | Director | Open-market sell | Nov 28, 2025 | 1,466 | $20.25 | $30K | Direct |
| BREWER ERIN | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Gift at price 0.00 per share. | Nov 20, 2025 | 51,303 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
Insider activity from Yahoo Finance (quoteSummary: insiderTransactions + netSharePurchaseActivity). Cached 6 hours. · Insiders hold 1.4% of shares outstanding.
Net 6M: +520,722 sh
Price history
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Drag across the chart to select a custom period — all analysis below refocuses to that window.
What this means: A notable drawdown — worth re-reading the framework verdicts below with the cheaper price in mind.
What would LYFT do to your portfolio?
Add Lyft, Inc. at a hypothetical weight and Prism recalculates your whole book:
Risk metrics
Sharpe, Sortino, volatility, max drawdown, beta — before and after.
Sector concentration
How much this shifts your top sector weight and overall diversification.
Archetype tilt
Whether this leans your book more toward Quality, Value, Growth, Deep Value, Income, or Momentum.
LYFT is currently tagged:IncomeWeak match (40/100)
Portfolio analytics are part of the member experience.
Sign in to run this simulationProbabilistic recommendation· rec-v1.0.0-2026-04
Lyft, Inc. · LYFT
LYFT: 54% estimated probability of outperforming over the next 12M window. 2 of 6 signal families negative (medium confidence). Strongest support: 90% below fair value. Main risk to monitor: CR 0.58 (tight).
Outperform prob.
54%
vs S&P 500 · 12M
Expected return
+1.6% → +25.6%
mid +13.6% / yr
Downside (p20)
-24.2%
stress -48.3%
Data quality
95/100
Excellent
Prism Score
Probabilistic research output, not financial advice. Prism recommendations are based on available data, historical relationships, and model assumptions. They do not guarantee future returns. Conduct independent due diligence before any investment decision.
Backtested and similar-setup statistics may be affected by survivorship bias, look-ahead bias, overfitting, transaction costs, liquidity constraints, and data limitations. Probability estimates are anchored heuristics — not validated forecasts — until the walk-forward backtest pipeline is in place.
Prism Score
Composite 73/100. Strongest contribution from valuation; weakest from quality. Risk patterns shaved 2 points off the composite.
Composite
73
/ 100
Deep valueval.
95/ 100
P/B 1.72× · FCF yield 23.5%
Margin of safetyval.
100/ 100
90% below fair value
Bull · base · bear scenarios
Three plausible paths over a 5-year horizon.
Indicative only. Probabilities are model-implied weights for stress-testing — not forecasts.
Bull
~25%$180.65
+67.7% / yr (5y)
Operating leverage kicks in or a new product line scales — margins inflect higher, growth steps up by 200–400 bps, and the multiple re-rates as the durability becomes obvious to a wider audience.
Drivers
- • Margin expands by 200–400 bps from -0%
- • Top-line accelerates 300–500 bps above current
- • Multiple re-rates one full turn higher
Base
~55%$138.97
+59.1% / yr (5y)
Business continues to compound at recent rates — -0% operating margin holds, 14% top-line growth persists, capital allocation stays disciplined. Multiple stays roughly where it is.
Global value comparison
Lyft, Inc. vs sector medians — GCC, MENA, and Global ex-US.
Sector: Technology. MENA-aware investors can sanity-check whether the US name is offering value relative to regional peers.
| Metric | LYFT | GCC median | MENA median | Global ex-US |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (TTM) | — | 22.0× | — | 23.0× |
| P/B | 1.72× | 4.00× | — | 4.50× |
| Dividend yield | — | 1.00% | — | 1.40% |
| ROE | 147.8% |
Earnings reaction explainer
LYFT missed materially — -89.7% below consensus.
Reported EPS $0.04 vs $0.39 expected — a material miss. The bar of the next two prints will be lower, but the multiple that was bid up to today's level usually does not survive an unexplained shortfall this size. Trailing operating margin: -0.3%.
- Quality investorsNegative
A material miss is incompatible with a quality-compounder narrative until proven otherwise. Two more prints needed before that label is restored.
- Growth investorsNegative
Multiple compression typically follows. The risk is not the miss itself, it's that consensus needs to re-rate forward estimates lower.
- Value investorsNegative
Even cheap stocks get cheaper after this kind of print — wait for capitulation rather than catching the falling knife.
News & events
Next earnings
Wed, Aug 5 · consensus EPS $0.39 · last actual $0.04
Lyft’s loyalty partnerships are driving customer acquisition and frequency
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Key Metrics at a Glance
P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/A
PEG Ratio
0.15
P/B Ratio
1.72
EPS Growth
488.9%
Revenue Growth
13.8%
Debt / Equity
0.43
Net Cash / Share
$1.14
Return on Equity
147.8%
Gross Margin
35.6%
Operating Margin
-0.3%
FCF / Share
$3.21
Current Ratio
0.58