MAR
Marriott International, Inc.Consumer CyclicalLodgingQuality
$351.45 · 15min delay
β 1.11A steady large-cap compounder trading at a premium valuation. Frameworks sharply disagree on it.
52-wk low $253.5652-wk high $380.00
Mkt Cap
$92.67B
P/E
—
PEG
2.14
P/B
-24.78
Dividend
0.83%
ROE
—
About the business
Marriott International, Inc. engages in the operation, franchise, and licensing of hotel, residential, timeshare, and other lodging properties in the U.S. & Canada, Europe, Middle East & Africa, Greater China, and Asia Pacific, and internationally. It operates properties under JW Marriott, The Ritz-Carlton, The Luxury Collection, W Hotels, St. Regis, EDITION, Bvlgari, Marriott Hotels, Sheraton, Westin, Autograph Collection, Renaissance Hotels, Le Méridien, Delta Hotels by Marriott, MGM Collection with Marriott Bonvoy, Tribute Portfolio, Gaylord Hotels, Design Hotels, Marriott Executive Apartments, Apartments by Marriott Bonvoy, Courtyard by Marriott, Fairfield by Marriott, Residence Inn by Marriott, SpringHill Suites by Marriott, Four Points by Sheraton, TownePlace Suites by Marriott, Aloft Hotels, AC Hotels by Marriott, Moxy Hotels, Element Hotels, Protea Hotels by Marriott, citizen, City Express by Marriott, and Four Points Flex by Sheraton brand names, as well as operates residences, timeshares, and yachts. The company was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.
Who would buy MAR?
Consensus 36/100 · Mixed · Investors are split.
5 4 6
Endorses
· 3 frameworks- Warren Buffett· Buffett Quality100/100
Operating Margin > 20% 59.0% clears "> 20.0%".
- Joel Greenblatt· Magic Formula100/100
Operating Margin > 15% 59.0% clears "> 15.0%".
- Benjamin Graham· Graham Defensive80/100
P/B < 1.5 -24.78× clears "< 1.50×".
Insider activity · Negative
Insider selling outweighs buying
Strength 70/100
8 insiders sold $35.0M on a discretionary basis. Discretionary selling carries more signal than planned disposals, but insiders sell for many non-thesis reasons (taxes, diversification, life events) — do not over-read it. Over the 6M window, insiders are net buyers by 131,026 shares.
In Prism's context
Insider selling on a mature quality name is often compensation-driven and should not over-rotate a thesis built on durable cash flows — though concentrated discretionary selling is always worth flagging.
| Insider | Role | Type | Date | Shares | Avg price | Value | Own |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEWIS AYLWIN B | Director | Award / grant | Mar 31, 2026 | 11 | $329.55 | $4K | Direct |
| MENON RAJEEV | Officer | Open-market sell | Feb 19, 2026 | 3,492 | $354.00 | $1.24M | Direct |
| BROWN WILLIAM P | Officer | Open-market sell | Feb 18, 2026 | 9,456 | $358.25 | $3.39M | Direct |
| BRELAND BENJAMIN T | Officer | Open-market sell | Feb 18, 2026 | 2,000 | $358.03 | $716K | Direct |
| MENON RAJEEV | Officer | Open-market sell | Feb 18, 2026 | 6,333 | $356.61 | $2.26M | Direct |
| MENON RAJEEV | Officer | Option exercise | Feb 18, 2026 | 8,530 | $209.95 | $1.79M | Direct |
| MARRIOTT DAVID SHEETS | Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security | Open-market sell | Feb 17, 2026 | 4,747 | $360.00 | $1.71M | Direct |
| PINTO DREW | Chief Technology Officer | Open-market sell | Feb 17, 2026 | 4,000 | $359.81 | $1.44M | Direct |
| CAPUANO ANTHONY G | Chief Executive Officer | Open-market sell | Feb 17, 2026 | 63,000 | $359.22 | $22.63M | Direct |
| REISS RENA HOZORE | General Counsel | Open-market sell | Feb 13, 2026 | 2,512 | $357.00 | $897K | Direct |
| REISS RENA HOZORE | General Counsel | Award / grant | Feb 13, 2026 | 2,244 | $354.63 | $796K | Direct |
| CAPUANO ANTHONY G | Chief Executive Officer | Award / grant | Feb 13, 2026 | 13,044 | $354.63 | $4.63M | Direct |
| HILL DAVID SHAWN | Officer | Award / grant | Feb 13, 2026 | 846 | $354.63 | $300K | Direct |
| HILL DAVID SHAWN | Officer | Award / grant | Feb 13, 2026 | 676 | $354.63 | $240K | Direct |
| LEE FELITIA | Officer | Award / grant | Feb 13, 2026 | 891 | $354.63 | $316K | Direct |
| MAO YIBING | Officer | Award / grant | Feb 13, 2026 | 1,059 | $354.63 | $376K | Direct |
| BRELAND BENJAMIN T | Officer | Award / grant | Feb 13, 2026 | 2,793 | $354.63 | $990K | Direct |
| ROE PEGGY FANG | Officer | Award / grant | Feb 13, 2026 | 1,524 | $354.63 | $540K | Direct |
| MASON JENNIFER | Chief Financial Officer | Award / grant | Feb 13, 2026 | 2,538 | $354.63 | $900K | Direct |
| ANAND SATYAJIT | Officer | Award / grant | Feb 13, 2026 | 2,538 | $354.63 | $900K | Direct |
| MENON RAJEEV | Officer | Award / grant | Feb 13, 2026 | 1,185 | $354.63 | $420K | Direct |
| PINTO DREW | Chief Technology Officer | Award / grant | Feb 13, 2026 | 1,524 | $354.63 | $540K | Direct |
| CAPUANO ANTHONY G | Chief Executive Officer | Award / grant | Feb 12, 2026 | 84,484 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| BROWN WILLIAM P | Officer | Award / grant | Feb 11, 2026 | 13,518 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| REISS RENA HOZORE | General Counsel | Award / grant | Feb 11, 2026 | 11,266 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| OBERG KATHLEEN K | Chief Financial Officer | Award / grant | Feb 11, 2026 | 19,150 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| MAO YIBING | Officer | Award / grant | Feb 11, 2026 | 4,712 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| BRELAND BENJAMIN T | Officer | Award / grant | Feb 11, 2026 | 13,518 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| ROE PEGGY FANG | Officer | Award / grant | Feb 11, 2026 | 6,760 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| ANAND SATYAJIT | Officer | Award / grant | Feb 11, 2026 | 4,506 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| MENON RAJEEV | Officer | Award / grant | Feb 11, 2026 | 4,506 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| PINTO DREW | Chief Technology Officer | Award / grant | Feb 11, 2026 | 6,760 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| MAO YIBING | Officer | Option exercise | Dec 31, 2025 | 3,921 | $310.24 | $1.22M | Direct |
| LEWIS AYLWIN B | Director | Award / grant | Dec 31, 2025 | 11 | $329.55 | $4K | Direct |
| MAO YIBING | Officer | Award / grant | Dec 31, 2025 | 1,865 | $310.24 | $579K | Direct |
| LEE FELITIA | Officer | Open-market sell | Dec 15, 2025 | 1,617 | $305.98 | $495K | Direct |
| HARRISON DEBORAH MARRIOTT | Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security | Stock Gift at price 0.00 per share. | Dec 12, 2025 | 5,514 | $0.00 | $0 | — |
| MARRIOTT DAVID SHEETS | Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security | Stock Gift at price 0.00 per share. | Dec 4, 2025 | 488 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| HARRISON DEBORAH MARRIOTT | Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security | Stock Gift at price 0.00 per share. | Dec 3, 2025 | 2,162 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| MARRIOTT JOHN WILLARD JR | Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security | Stock Gift at price 0.00 per share. | Dec 3, 2025 | 123 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
Showing 40 of 42 matching transactions.
Insider activity from Yahoo Finance (quoteSummary: insiderTransactions + netSharePurchaseActivity). Cached 6 hours. · Insiders hold 17.9% of shares outstanding.
Net 6M: +131,026 sh
Price history
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Drag across the chart to select a custom period — all analysis below refocuses to that window.
What this means: A significant rerating — the valuation-sensitive frameworks below will have tightened since this move.
What would MAR do to your portfolio?
Add Marriott International, Inc. at a hypothetical weight and Prism recalculates your whole book:
Risk metrics
Sharpe, Sortino, volatility, max drawdown, beta — before and after.
Sector concentration
How much this shifts your top sector weight and overall diversification.
Archetype tilt
Whether this leans your book more toward Quality, Value, Growth, Deep Value, Income, or Momentum.
MAR is currently tagged:QualityWeak match (36/100)
Portfolio analytics are part of the member experience.
Sign in to run this simulationProbabilistic recommendation· rec-v1.0.0-2026-04
Marriott International, Inc. · MAR
MAR: 50% estimated probability of outperforming over the next 12M window. 1 of 6 signal families negative (medium confidence). Strongest support: Op margin 59%. Main risk to monitor: 268% above fair value.
Outperform prob.
50%
vs S&P 500 · 12M
Expected return
-6.8% → +17.2%
mid +5.2% / yr
Downside (p20)
-13.3%
stress -26.6%
Data quality
93/100
Excellent
Probabilistic research output, not financial advice. Prism recommendations are based on available data, historical relationships, and model assumptions. They do not guarantee future returns. Conduct independent due diligence before any investment decision.
Backtested and similar-setup statistics may be affected by survivorship bias, look-ahead bias, overfitting, transaction costs, liquidity constraints, and data limitations. Probability estimates are anchored heuristics — not validated forecasts — until the walk-forward backtest pipeline is in place.
Prism Score
Composite 54/100. Strongest contribution from quality; weakest from valuation.
Composite
54
/ 100
Deep valueval.
52/ 100
FCF yield 1.9%
Margin of safetyval.
0/ 100
268% above fair value
Bull · base · bear scenarios
Three plausible paths over a 5-year horizon.
Indicative only. Probabilities are model-implied weights for stress-testing — not forecasts.
Bull
~20%$124.13
-18.8% / yr (5y)
A turnaround takes hold: margin recovers toward peer averages, revenue stabilises, and the market re-prices the asset value rather than the running earnings.
Drivers
- • Margin expands by 200–400 bps from 59%
- • Stranded asset value crystallises
- • Multiple re-rates one full turn higher
Base
~45%$95.49
-22.9% / yr (5y)
No deterioration, no surprise re-acceleration. 59% operating margin and 13% top-line growth chug along; the multiple slowly converges to the central fair-value estimate.
Global value comparison
Marriott International, Inc. vs sector medians — GCC, MENA, and Global ex-US.
Sector: Consumer Cyclical. MENA-aware investors can sanity-check whether the US name is offering value relative to regional peers.
| Metric | MAR | GCC median | MENA median | Global ex-US |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (TTM) | — | 17.5× | — | 14.0× |
| P/B | -24.78× | 2.40× | — | 2.00× |
| Dividend yield | 0.83% | 2.40% | — | 2.40% |
| ROE | — |
Earnings reaction explainer
MAR missed materially — -10.9% below consensus.
Reported EPS $2.72 vs $3.05 expected — a material miss. The bar of the next two prints will be lower, but the multiple that was bid up to today's level usually does not survive an unexplained shortfall this size. Trailing operating margin: 59.0%.
- Quality investorsNegative
A material miss is incompatible with a quality-compounder narrative until proven otherwise. Two more prints needed before that label is restored.
- Growth investorsNegative
Multiple compression typically follows. The risk is not the miss itself, it's that consensus needs to re-rate forward estimates lower.
- Value investorsNegative
Even cheap stocks get cheaper after this kind of print — wait for capitulation rather than catching the falling knife.
News & events
Next earnings
Tue, Aug 4 · consensus EPS $3.05 · last actual $2.72
Mars Unveils Bold Innovations and Shopper Insights at Sweets & Snacks
PR Newswire · just now
Video reveals heavy years of wear on Mars rover's wheels
USA TODAY · just now
Broward Sheriff's Advisory Council Celebrates Honorees at 6th Annual Tribute to Bravery Medal of Valor Awards Ceremony and Luncheon
PR Newswire · just now
Key Metrics at a Glance
P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/A
PEG Ratio
2.14
P/B Ratio
-24.78
EPS Growth
1.7%
Revenue Growth
12.6%
Debt / Equity
N/A
Net Cash / Share
$-64.29
Return on Equity
N/A
Gross Margin
79.0%
Operating Margin
59.0%
FCF / Share
$6.81
Current Ratio
0.46