
A high-quality mega-cap compounder trading near fair value. Frameworks sharply disagree on it.
Mkt Cap
$1.53T
P/E
—
PEG
0.89
P/B
6.26
Dividend
0.35%
ROE
32.9%
About the business
Meta Platforms, Inc. engages in the development of products that enable people to connect and share with friends and family through mobile devices, personal computers, virtual reality (VR) headsets, and AI glasses in the United States, Canada, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Family of Apps (FoA) and Reality Labs (RL). The FoA segment offers Facebook, which enables people to build community through feed, reels, stories, groups, marketplace, and other; Instagram that brings people closer through Instagram feed, stories, reels, live, and messaging; Messenger, a messaging application for people to connect with friends, family, communities, and businesses across platforms and devices through text, audio, and video calls; Meta AI, an assistant that's available across apps, as a stand-alone app, on AI glasses, and on the web; Threads, an application for text-based updates and public conversations; and WhatsApp, a messaging application that is used by people and businesses to communicate and transact. The RL segment provides virtual and augmented reality products, including consumer hardware, software, and content that help people feel connected, as well as Meta Quest devices that enable social experiences across gaming, fitness, entertainment, and more. The segment also includes wearables such as AI glasses like Ray Ban Meta and Oakley Meta glasses; and the Meta Ray Ban Display, which combines AI glasses with an integrated lens display and the Meta Neural Band, a wrist worn device using electromyography that lets people control their AI glasses through neuromuscular signals. Meta Platforms, Inc. has a collaboration with Microsoft Corporation, NVIDIA Corporation, Advanced Micro Devices, Inc., Broadcom Inc., and OpenAI, L.L.C. The company was formerly known as Facebook, Inc. and changed its name to Meta Platforms, Inc. in October 2021. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, California.
Who would buy META?
Consensus 49/100 · Mixed · Investors are split.
Endorses
· 3 frameworksROE > 15% 32.9% clears "> 15.0%".
ROE > 20% 32.9% clears "> 20.0%".
Revenue Growth > 15% 33.1% clears "> 15.0%".
6 insiders sold $113.3M on a discretionary basis. Discretionary selling carries more signal than planned disposals, but insiders sell for many non-thesis reasons (taxes, diversification, life events) — do not over-read it.
In Prism's context
Insider selling on a mature quality name is often compensation-driven and should not over-rotate a thesis built on durable cash flows — though concentrated discretionary selling is always worth flagging.
| Insider | Role | Type | Date | Shares | Avg price | Value | Own |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OLIVAN JAVIER | Chief Operating Officer | Open-market sell | May 4, 2026 | 1,555 | $607.74 | $945K | — |
| ALFORD PEGGY | Director | Open-market sell | May 1, 2026 | 409 | $614.53 | $251K | Indirect |
| OLIVAN JAVIER | Chief Operating Officer | Open-market sell | Apr 27, 2026 | 1,555 | $670.84 | $1.04M | — |
| OLIVAN JAVIER | Chief Operating Officer | Open-market sell | Apr 20, 2026 | 1,555 | $680.09 | $1.06M | — |
| KIMMITT ROBERT M | Director | Open-market sell | Apr 15, 2026 | 580 | $667.00 | $387K | Direct |
| OLIVAN JAVIER | Chief Operating Officer | Open-market sell | Apr 13, 2026 | 4,665 | $629.49 | $2.94M | — |
| OLIVAN JAVIER | Chief Operating Officer | Open-market sell | Mar 23, 2026 | 1,555 | $605.38 | $941K | — |
| OLIVAN JAVIER | Chief Operating Officer | Open-market sell | Mar 16, 2026 | 1,555 | $632.02 | $983K | — |
| KIMMITT ROBERT M | Director | Open-market sell | Mar 16, 2026 | 580 | $632.02 | $367K | Direct |
| OLIVAN JAVIER | Chief Operating Officer | Open-market sell | Mar 9, 2026 | 1,555 | $634.94 | $987K | — |
| OLIVAN JAVIER | Chief Operating Officer | Open-market sell | Mar 2, 2026 | 1,555 | $637.21 | $991K | — |
| LI SUSAN J. | Chief Financial Officer | Open-market sell | Feb 27, 2026 | 56,571 | $644.70 | $36.47M | Indirect |
| ALFORD PEGGY | Director | Open-market sell | Feb 25, 2026 | 392 | $643.00 | $252K | Indirect |
| LI SUSAN J. | Chief Financial Officer | Open-market sell | Feb 24, 2026 | 55,702 | $633.61 | $35.29M | Indirect |
| OLIVAN JAVIER | Chief Operating Officer | Open-market sell | Feb 23, 2026 | 1,555 | $652.68 | $1.01M | — |
| LI SUSAN J. | Chief Financial Officer | Open-market sell | Feb 20, 2026 | 18,789 | $650.00 | $12.21M | Indirect |
| BOSWORTH ANDREW | Chief Technology Officer | Open-market sell | Feb 18, 2026 | 8,089 | $631.24 | $5.11M | Direct |
| ANDERSON AARON | Officer | Stock Gift at price 0.00 per share. | Feb 18, 2026 | 167 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| OLIVAN JAVIER | Chief Operating Officer | Open-market sell | Feb 17, 2026 | 3,262 | $639.63 | $2.09M | — |
| KIMMITT ROBERT M | Director | Open-market sell | Feb 17, 2026 | 580 | $639.18 | $371K | Direct |
| XU TONY | Director | Transaction | Feb 13, 2026 | 189 | — | — | Direct |
| BOSWORTH ANDREW | Chief Technology Officer | Transaction | Feb 13, 2026 | 16,902 | — | — | Direct |
| LI SUSAN J. | Chief Financial Officer | Open-market sell | Feb 13, 2026 | 6,418 | $639.77 | $4.11M | Indirect |
| LI SUSAN J. | Chief Financial Officer | Transaction | Feb 13, 2026 | 36,367 | — | — | Indirect |
| POWELL DINA H | President | Transaction | Feb 13, 2026 | 2,024 | — | — | Direct |
| ARNOLD JOHN DOUGLAS | Director | Transaction | Feb 13, 2026 | 167 | — | — | Direct |
| SONGHURST CHARLES | Director | Transaction | Feb 13, 2026 | 110 | — | — | Direct |
| WHITE DANA | Director | Transaction | Feb 13, 2026 | 110 | — | — | Direct |
| COLLISON PATRICK | Director | Transaction | Feb 13, 2026 | 102 | — | — | Direct |
| COX CHRISTOPHER K | Officer | Transaction | Feb 13, 2026 | 16,903 | — | — | Indirect |
| ANDERSON AARON | Officer | Transaction | Feb 13, 2026 | 2,114 | — | — | Direct |
| OLIVAN JAVIER | Chief Operating Officer | Transaction | Feb 13, 2026 | 16,903 | — | — | Direct |
| ELKANN JOHN PHILIPP | Director | Transaction | Feb 13, 2026 | 110 | — | — | Direct |
| TAN HOCK E | Director | Transaction | Feb 13, 2026 | 167 | — | — | Direct |
| OLIVAN JAVIER | Chief Operating Officer | Open-market sell | Feb 9, 2026 | 517 | $663.19 | $343K | Direct |
| OLIVAN JAVIER | Chief Operating Officer | Open-market sell | Feb 2, 2026 | 517 | $714.60 | $369K | Direct |
| OLIVAN JAVIER | Chief Operating Officer | Open-market sell | Jan 26, 2026 | 517 | $665.00 | $344K | Direct |
| OLIVAN JAVIER | Chief Operating Officer | Open-market sell | Jan 20, 2026 | 517 | $608.35 | $315K | Direct |
| KIMMITT ROBERT M | Director | Open-market sell | Jan 15, 2026 | 580 | $618.28 | $359K | Direct |
| OLIVAN JAVIER | Chief Operating Officer | Open-market sell | Jan 12, 2026 | 517 | $653.00 | $338K | Direct |
Showing 40 of 50 matching transactions.
Insider activity from Yahoo Finance (quoteSummary: insiderTransactions + netSharePurchaseActivity). Cached 6 hours. · Insiders hold 0.1% of shares outstanding.
Net 6M: +0 sh
Price history
Drag across the chart to select a custom period — all analysis below refocuses to that window.
Add Meta Platforms, Inc. at a hypothetical weight and Prism recalculates your whole book:
Sharpe, Sortino, volatility, max drawdown, beta — before and after.
How much this shifts your top sector weight and overall diversification.
Whether this leans your book more toward Quality, Value, Growth, Deep Value, Income, or Momentum.
Portfolio analytics are part of the member experience.
Sign in to run this simulationMETA: 58% estimated probability of outperforming over the next 12M window. 3 of 6 signal families positive (high confidence). Strongest support: ROE 33%.
Probabilistic research output, not financial advice. Prism recommendations are based on available data, historical relationships, and model assumptions. They do not guarantee future returns. Conduct independent due diligence before any investment decision.
Backtested and similar-setup statistics may be affected by survivorship bias, look-ahead bias, overfitting, transaction costs, liquidity constraints, and data limitations. Probability estimates are anchored heuristics — not validated forecasts — until the walk-forward backtest pipeline is in place.
P/B 6.26× · FCF yield 1.7%
6% above fair value
Indicative only. Probabilities are model-implied weights for stress-testing — not forecasts.
Operating leverage kicks in or a new product line scales — margins inflect higher, growth steps up by 200–400 bps, and the multiple re-rates as the durability becomes obvious to a wider audience.
Business continues to compound at recent rates — 41% operating margin holds, 33% top-line growth persists, capital allocation stays disciplined. Multiple stays roughly where it is.
Sector: Communication Services. MENA-aware investors can sanity-check whether the US name is offering value relative to regional peers.
| Metric | META | GCC median | MENA median | Global ex-US |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (TTM) | — | 14.2× | — | 13.5× |
| P/B | 6.26× | 2.10× | — | 2.00× |
| Dividend yield | 0.35% | 4.40% | — | 4.00% |
| ROE | 32.9% |
Reported EPS $10.44 vs $7.48 expected — well outside the normal beat-and-raise band. The market typically rewards a print this size only if it is read as durable, not one-off. Trailing operating margin: 40.6%.
Confirms operating leverage — 62% trailing EPS growth + a beat of this size is the pattern that drives multi-year re-rates.
If ROE (33%) and operating margin (41%) are stable or rising, the beat is consistent with compounding rather than one-off.
A blow-out can pull future quarters forward — value investors will look for sustained margin, not a single-quarter spike.
Next earnings
Wed, Jul 29 · consensus EPS $7.48 · last actual $10.44
P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/A
PEG Ratio
0.89
P/B Ratio
6.26
EPS Growth
62.4%
Revenue Growth
33.1%
Debt / Equity
0.36
Net Cash / Share
$-2.55
Return on Equity
32.9%
Gross Margin
81.9%
Operating Margin
40.6%
FCF / Share
$11.64
Current Ratio
2.35
Rejects
· 3 frameworksP/B < 1.5 is 6.26× — fails "< 1.50×".
Net Cash Positive (NCAV proxy) is $-2.55 — fails "> $0.00".
FCF Yield > 7% is 1.7% — fails "> 7.0%".
Roughly fairly valued; valuation is a neutral input.
Returns and margins are healthy and consistent.
Capital structure is conservative and well-covered.
Price trend is unremarkable — neither tailwind nor headwind.
Behavioural read is mixed — some accumulation, some distribution.
Recent print + capital-return signal lean positive.
No structural risks flagged.
Among 102 historical setups with similar Prism Score and signal-agreement profiles, 56% beat the benchmark over the next 12 months, with average excess return of +3.2% / yr.
ROE 33% · Op margin 41%
D/E 0.36 · CR 2.35
Net selling — 6 insiders
10 tracked holders · peak 36.5%
0.35% yield + buyback runway
29% through 52w range
EPS 62% · Rev 33%
A growth-rate scare or a quarter of margin compression resets the multiple. The business is still fine, but the price was assuming a level of compounding that takes 12–24 months to re-prove.
| — |
| 13.0% |
Institutional Own.
78.5%
Insider Own.
0.1%
Dividend Yield
0.35%
Book Value / Share
$96.01
Superinvestor ownership
Held by 10 tracked superinvestors · peak weight 13.1%
David Abrams
Abrams Capital Management · Q4 2025
Stephen Mandel
Lone Pine Capital · Q4 2025
David Tepper
Appaloosa Management · Q4 2025
Dan Loeb
Third Point LLC · Q4 2025
François Rochon
Giverny Capital · Q4 2025
Seth Klarman
The Baupost Group · Q4 2025
Terry Smith
Fundsmith LLP · Q4 2025
Li Lu
Himalaya Capital Management · Q4 2025
Wally Weitz
Weitz Investment Management · Q4 2025
Joel Greenblatt
Gotham Asset Management · Q4 2025
Weights reflect each investor's latest 13F or factsheet snapshot. Data lags real time by 45+ days.