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META logo

META

Meta Platforms, Inc.
Communication ServicesInternet Content & InformationQuality
$601.15 · 15min delay
β 1.24

A high-quality mega-cap compounder trading near fair value. Frameworks sharply disagree on it.

Download report

52-wk low $520.2652-wk high $796.25

Mkt Cap

$1.53T

P/E

—

PEG

0.89

P/B

6.26

Dividend

0.35%

ROE

32.9%

About the business

Meta Platforms, Inc. engages in the development of products that enable people to connect and share with friends and family through mobile devices, personal computers, virtual reality (VR) headsets, and AI glasses in the United States, Canada, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Family of Apps (FoA) and Reality Labs (RL). The FoA segment offers Facebook, which enables people to build community through feed, reels, stories, groups, marketplace, and other; Instagram that brings people closer through Instagram feed, stories, reels, live, and messaging; Messenger, a messaging application for people to connect with friends, family, communities, and businesses across platforms and devices through text, audio, and video calls; Meta AI, an assistant that's available across apps, as a stand-alone app, on AI glasses, and on the web; Threads, an application for text-based updates and public conversations; and WhatsApp, a messaging application that is used by people and businesses to communicate and transact. The RL segment provides virtual and augmented reality products, including consumer hardware, software, and content that help people feel connected, as well as Meta Quest devices that enable social experiences across gaming, fitness, entertainment, and more. The segment also includes wearables such as AI glasses like Ray Ban Meta and Oakley Meta glasses; and the Meta Ray Ban Display, which combines AI glasses with an integrated lens display and the Meta Neural Band, a wrist worn device using electromyography that lets people control their AI glasses through neuromuscular signals. Meta Platforms, Inc. has a collaboration with Microsoft Corporation, NVIDIA Corporation, Advanced Micro Devices, Inc., Broadcom Inc., and OpenAI, L.L.C. The company was formerly known as Facebook, Inc. and changed its name to Meta Platforms, Inc. in October 2021. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, California.

Who would buy META?

Consensus 49/100 · Mixed · Investors are split.

5 7 3

Endorses

· 3 frameworks
  • Warren Buffett· Buffett Quality100/100

    ROE > 15% 32.9% clears "> 15.0%".

  • Joel Greenblatt· Magic Formula100/100

    ROE > 20% 32.9% clears "> 20.0%".

  • Philip Fisher· Fisher Growth88/100

    Revenue Growth > 15% 33.1% clears "> 15.0%".

Insider activity · Negative

Insider selling outweighs buying

Strength 65/100

6 insiders sold $113.3M on a discretionary basis. Discretionary selling carries more signal than planned disposals, but insiders sell for many non-thesis reasons (taxes, diversification, life events) — do not over-read it.

In Prism's context

Insider selling on a mature quality name is often compensation-driven and should not over-rotate a thesis built on durable cash flows — though concentrated discretionary selling is always worth flagging.

InsiderRoleTypeDateSharesAvg priceValueOwn
OLIVAN JAVIERChief Operating OfficerOpen-market sellMay 4, 20261,555$607.74$945K—
ALFORD PEGGYDirectorOpen-market sellMay 1, 2026409$614.53$251KIndirect
OLIVAN JAVIERChief Operating OfficerOpen-market sellApr 27, 20261,555$670.84$1.04M—
OLIVAN JAVIERChief Operating OfficerOpen-market sellApr 20, 20261,555$680.09$1.06M—
KIMMITT ROBERT MDirectorOpen-market sellApr 15, 2026580$667.00$387KDirect
OLIVAN JAVIERChief Operating OfficerOpen-market sellApr 13, 20264,665$629.49$2.94M—
OLIVAN JAVIERChief Operating OfficerOpen-market sellMar 23, 20261,555$605.38$941K—
OLIVAN JAVIERChief Operating OfficerOpen-market sellMar 16, 20261,555$632.02$983K—
KIMMITT ROBERT MDirectorOpen-market sellMar 16, 2026580$632.02$367KDirect
OLIVAN JAVIERChief Operating OfficerOpen-market sellMar 9, 20261,555$634.94$987K—
OLIVAN JAVIERChief Operating OfficerOpen-market sellMar 2, 20261,555$637.21$991K—
LI SUSAN J.Chief Financial OfficerOpen-market sellFeb 27, 202656,571$644.70$36.47MIndirect
ALFORD PEGGYDirectorOpen-market sellFeb 25, 2026392$643.00$252KIndirect
LI SUSAN J.Chief Financial OfficerOpen-market sellFeb 24, 202655,702$633.61$35.29MIndirect
OLIVAN JAVIERChief Operating OfficerOpen-market sellFeb 23, 20261,555$652.68$1.01M—
LI SUSAN J.Chief Financial OfficerOpen-market sellFeb 20, 202618,789$650.00$12.21MIndirect
BOSWORTH ANDREWChief Technology OfficerOpen-market sellFeb 18, 20268,089$631.24$5.11MDirect
ANDERSON AARONOfficerStock Gift at price 0.00 per share.Feb 18, 2026167$0.00$0Direct
OLIVAN JAVIERChief Operating OfficerOpen-market sellFeb 17, 20263,262$639.63$2.09M—
KIMMITT ROBERT MDirectorOpen-market sellFeb 17, 2026580$639.18$371KDirect
XU TONYDirectorTransactionFeb 13, 2026189——Direct
BOSWORTH ANDREWChief Technology OfficerTransactionFeb 13, 202616,902——Direct
LI SUSAN J.Chief Financial OfficerOpen-market sellFeb 13, 20266,418$639.77$4.11MIndirect
LI SUSAN J.Chief Financial OfficerTransactionFeb 13, 202636,367——Indirect
POWELL DINA HPresidentTransactionFeb 13, 20262,024——Direct
ARNOLD JOHN DOUGLASDirectorTransactionFeb 13, 2026167——Direct
SONGHURST CHARLESDirectorTransactionFeb 13, 2026110——Direct
WHITE DANADirectorTransactionFeb 13, 2026110——Direct
COLLISON PATRICKDirectorTransactionFeb 13, 2026102——Direct
COX CHRISTOPHER KOfficerTransactionFeb 13, 202616,903——Indirect
ANDERSON AARONOfficerTransactionFeb 13, 20262,114——Direct
OLIVAN JAVIERChief Operating OfficerTransactionFeb 13, 202616,903——Direct
ELKANN JOHN PHILIPPDirectorTransactionFeb 13, 2026110——Direct
TAN HOCK EDirectorTransactionFeb 13, 2026167——Direct
OLIVAN JAVIERChief Operating OfficerOpen-market sellFeb 9, 2026517$663.19$343KDirect
OLIVAN JAVIERChief Operating OfficerOpen-market sellFeb 2, 2026517$714.60$369KDirect
OLIVAN JAVIERChief Operating OfficerOpen-market sellJan 26, 2026517$665.00$344KDirect
OLIVAN JAVIERChief Operating OfficerOpen-market sellJan 20, 2026517$608.35$315KDirect
KIMMITT ROBERT MDirectorOpen-market sellJan 15, 2026580$618.28$359KDirect
OLIVAN JAVIERChief Operating OfficerOpen-market sellJan 12, 2026517$653.00$338KDirect

Showing 40 of 50 matching transactions.

Insider activity from Yahoo Finance (quoteSummary: insiderTransactions + netSharePurchaseActivity). Cached 6 hours. · Insiders hold 0.1% of shares outstanding.

Net 6M: +0 sh

Price history

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AI summaries

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Full framework decision report

See how Lynch, Buffett, Graham, Greenblatt, Fisher and more each score this stock — with every rule, threshold, and reason exposed.

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Peer comparison + AI read-through

See how this stock stacks up against its closest peers on valuation, growth, and returns — with a written peer summary.

What would META do to your portfolio?

Add Meta Platforms, Inc. at a hypothetical weight and Prism recalculates your whole book:

Risk metrics

Sharpe, Sortino, volatility, max drawdown, beta — before and after.

Sector concentration

How much this shifts your top sector weight and overall diversification.

Archetype tilt

Whether this leans your book more toward Quality, Value, Growth, Deep Value, Income, or Momentum.

META is currently tagged:QualityWeak match (49/100)

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Probabilistic recommendation· rec-v1.0.0-2026-04

Meta Platforms, Inc. · META

META: 58% estimated probability of outperforming over the next 12M window. 3 of 6 signal families positive (high confidence). Strongest support: ROE 33%.

Outperform prob.
58%
vs S&P 500 · 12M
high confidence
Expected return
-2.0% → +22.0%
mid +10.0% / yr
Downside (p20)
-14.9%
stress -29.8%
Data quality
95/100
Excellent
Prism Score

Probabilistic research output, not financial advice. Prism recommendations are based on available data, historical relationships, and model assumptions. They do not guarantee future returns. Conduct independent due diligence before any investment decision.

Backtested and similar-setup statistics may be affected by survivorship bias, look-ahead bias, overfitting, transaction costs, liquidity constraints, and data limitations. Probability estimates are anchored heuristics — not validated forecasts — until the walk-forward backtest pipeline is in place.

Prism Score

Composite 68/100. Strongest contribution from quality; weakest from valuation.

Composite
68
/ 100
Attractive
Deep valueval.
42/ 100

P/B 6.26× · FCF yield 1.7%

Margin of safetyval.
54/ 100

6% above fair value

Bull · base · bear scenarios

Three plausible paths over a 5-year horizon.

Indicative only. Probabilities are model-implied weights for stress-testing — not forecasts.

Bull
~25%
$736.47
+4.1% / yr (5y)

Operating leverage kicks in or a new product line scales — margins inflect higher, growth steps up by 200–400 bps, and the multiple re-rates as the durability becomes obvious to a wider audience.

Drivers
  • • Margin expands by 200–400 bps from 41%
  • • Top-line accelerates 300–500 bps above current
  • • Multiple re-rates one full turn higher
Base
~55%
$566.52
-1.2% / yr (5y)

Business continues to compound at recent rates — 41% operating margin holds, 33% top-line growth persists, capital allocation stays disciplined. Multiple stays roughly where it is.

Global value comparison

Meta Platforms, Inc. vs sector medians — GCC, MENA, and Global ex-US.

Sector: Communication Services. MENA-aware investors can sanity-check whether the US name is offering value relative to regional peers.

MetricMETAGCC medianMENA medianGlobal ex-US
P/E (TTM)—14.2×—13.5×
P/B6.26×2.10×—2.00×
Dividend yield0.35%4.40%—4.00%
ROE32.9%
Earnings reaction explainer

META blew past estimates by 39.5%.

Big beat· +39.5%

Reported EPS $10.44 vs $7.48 expected — well outside the normal beat-and-raise band. The market typically rewards a print this size only if it is read as durable, not one-off. Trailing operating margin: 40.6%.

  • Growth investorsPositive

    Confirms operating leverage — 62% trailing EPS growth + a beat of this size is the pattern that drives multi-year re-rates.

  • Quality investorsPositive

    If ROE (33%) and operating margin (41%) are stable or rising, the beat is consistent with compounding rather than one-off.

  • Value investorsNeutral

    A blow-out can pull future quarters forward — value investors will look for sustained margin, not a single-quarter spike.

News & events

Next earnings

Wed, Jul 29 · consensus EPS $7.48 · last actual $10.44

  • Meta Platforms, TikTok, X in EU Crosshairs Over Child Safety

    MT Newswires · just now

  • Meta Platforms Loses Court Battle Against Italy's Communications Regulator

    MT Newswires · just now

  • Meta’s AI crisis deepens: Inside the fight against Mark Zuckerberg

    TheStreet · just now

Key Metrics at a Glance

P/E Ratio (TTM)

N/A

PEG Ratio

0.89

P/B Ratio

6.26

EPS Growth

62.4%

Revenue Growth

33.1%

Debt / Equity

0.36

Net Cash / Share

$-2.55

Return on Equity

32.9%

Gross Margin

81.9%

Operating Margin

40.6%

FCF / Share

$11.64

Current Ratio

2.35

Rejects

· 3 frameworks
  • Fama / French· Pure Value Factor0/100

    P/B < 1.5 is 6.26× — fails "< 1.50×".

  • Benjamin Graham· Graham Net-Net25/100

    Net Cash Positive (NCAV proxy) is $-2.55 — fails "> $0.00".

  • Seth Klarman· Klarman Margin of Safety29/100

    FCF Yield > 7% is 1.7% — fails "> 7.0%".

See the full rule-by-rule drill-down below
68/100
Medium-High agreement
Signal families · 3 of 6 signal families positive
Agreement: Medium-High
  • Valuationneutral

    Roughly fairly valued; valuation is a neutral input.

    6% above fair valueReverse DCF: low expectations bar1.7% FCF yield (thin)
    44
    /100
  • Qualitypositive

    Returns and margins are healthy and consistent.

    ROE 33%Op margin 41%Gross 82%EPS growth 62%
    89
    /100
  • Balance sheetpositive

    Capital structure is conservative and well-covered.

    D/E 0.36CR 2.35
    68
    /100
  • Momentumneutral

    Price trend is unremarkable — neither tailwind nor headwind.

    46
    /100
  • Behaviouralneutral

    Behavioural read is mixed — some accumulation, some distribution.

    Net insider selling ($113.3M)10 tracked holders · peak 36.5%
    53
    /100
  • Catalysts & eventspositive

    Recent print + capital-return signal lean positive.

    Big EPS beat (+40%)
    62
    /100
Positive drivers
  • • ROE 33%
  • • Op margin 41%
  • • Gross 82%
  • • EPS growth 62%
  • • D/E 0.36
Key risks

No structural risks flagged.

Suggested diligence questions
  • 1. What would invalidate the thesis if it appeared in the next earnings print?
Similar historical setups[MOCK DATA]

Among 102 historical setups with similar Prism Score and signal-agreement profiles, 56% beat the benchmark over the next 12 months, with average excess return of +3.2% / yr.

Probabilistic research output — not financial advice.
View full thesis
Quality20%
100/ 100

ROE 33% · Op margin 41%

Balance sheet15%
94/ 100

D/E 0.36 · CR 2.35

Insider convictionown.
25/ 100

Net selling — 6 insiders

Superinvestorown.
100/ 100

10 tracked holders · peak 36.5%

Shareholder yield10%
41/ 100

0.35% yield + buyback runway

Momentum5%
43/ 100

29% through 52w range

Growth5%
100/ 100

EPS 62% · Rev 33%

Designed to surface potentially attractive characteristics — descriptive, not prescriptive. For research and educational purposes only.

Customise weights
Drivers
  • • Revenue growth holds near 33%
  • • Operating margin stays around 41%
  • • Capital returns continue at current cadence
Bear
~20%
$424.89
-6.7% / yr (5y)

A growth-rate scare or a quarter of margin compression resets the multiple. The business is still fine, but the price was assuming a level of compounding that takes 12–24 months to re-prove.

Drivers
  • • Growth decelerates by ~300 bps for two consecutive quarters
  • • Multiple compresses as estimates roll back
  • • Sentiment de-rates the name to a deeper-value multiple
Indicative weights
14.0%
—
13.0%

Editorial dataset · as of 2024-12-31. Sector medians are hand-maintained from public Tadawul / ADX / DFM / QSE / EGX disclosures and indicative Global ex-US references. Live licensed data is on the roadmap. For research and educational purposes only.

What to watch on the next print
  • • Whether margin expansion sustains into next quarter
  • • Forward guidance update — beats without raises tend to fade
  • Meta loses court fight over compensation to Italian publishers

    Reuters · just now

  • Meta's Scam Ad Lawsuit Adds Fresh Risk for Investors

    GuruFocus.com · just now

  • Meta Sued by California County Over ‘Scam’ Advertisements

    Bloomberg · just now

  • Institutional Own.

    78.5%

    Insider Own.

    0.1%

    Dividend Yield

    0.35%

    Book Value / Share

    $96.01

    Superinvestor ownership

    Held by 10 tracked superinvestors · peak weight 13.1%

    Grand Portfolio
    • David Abrams

      Abrams Capital Management · Q4 2025

      13.1%
    • Stephen Mandel

      Lone Pine Capital · Q4 2025

      9.1%
    • David Tepper

      Appaloosa Management · Q4 2025

      8.9%
    • Dan Loeb

      Third Point LLC · Q4 2025

      8.9%
    • François Rochon

      Giverny Capital · Q4 2025

      7.6%
    • Seth Klarman

      The Baupost Group · Q4 2025

      7.4%
    • Terry Smith

      Fundsmith LLP · Q4 2025

      7.4%
    • Li Lu

      Himalaya Capital Management · Q4 2025

      5.1%
    • Wally Weitz

      Weitz Investment Management · Q4 2025

      4.8%
    • Joel Greenblatt

      Gotham Asset Management · Q4 2025

      2.4%

    Weights reflect each investor's latest 13F or factsheet snapshot. Data lags real time by 45+ days.