MU
Micron Technology, Inc.TechnologySemiconductorsRisk-First
$736.70 · 15min delay
β 1.92A high-quality mega-cap risk-flagged situation trading at a discounted valuation. Frameworks sharply disagree on it.
52-wk low $90.9352-wk high $818.67
Mkt Cap
$830.80B
P/E
—
PEG
0.26
P/B
11.47
Dividend
0.08%
ROE
39.8%
About the business
Micron Technology, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells memory and storage products in the United States, Taiwan, Japan, Mainland China, Hong Kong, Europe, and internationally. It operates through the Cloud Memory Business Unit; Core Data Center Business Unit; Mobile and Client Business Unit; and Automotive and Embedded Business Unit segments. The company provides memory products, including dynamic random access memory components and modules, CXL-based memory, LPDDR components and modules, graphics memory, high-bandwidth memory, and data center memory products; multichip packages (MCP) comprising embedded multimedia card-based, universal flash storage-based, and NAND-based MCPs; and technology leadership products that include 1y DRAM and G9 NAND technologies. It also offers storage products, such as data center solid-state drives (SSD), client SSD storage, and auto and industrial SSD storage; managed NAND; NAND flash; NOR flash; and memory cards. In addition, the company provides design tools, including FBGA and part decoders; DRAM power calculators; NAND power calculators; simulation models; chipset compatibility guides; serial presence-detection tools; cross-reference tools; UFSparm; SSD firmware; software and drivers; storage executive software; and obsolete part catalogs. It markets its semiconductor memory and storage products under the Micron and Crucial brands. The company serves the data center, PC, graphics, networking, automotive, industrial, and consumer embedded markets, as well as the smartphone and other mobile-device markets. It sells its products through its direct sales force, independent sales representatives, distributors, and retailers; web-based customer direct sales channel; and channel and distribution partners. Micron Technology, Inc. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Boise, Idaho.
Who would buy MU?
Consensus 62/100 · Mixed · Investors are split.
8 6 1
Endorses
· 3 frameworks- Warren Buffett· Buffett Quality100/100
ROE > 15% 39.8% clears "> 15.0%".
- Joel Greenblatt· Magic Formula100/100
ROE > 20% 39.8% clears "> 20.0%".
- Howard Marks· Marks Risk-First100/100
Debt/Equity < 0.5 0.15 clears "< 0.50".
Insider activity · Mixed
Open-market buying concentrated in one insider
Strength 35/100
Buying is limited to a single filer (LIU TEYIN MARK, $7.8M). Single-insider buys are worth noting but carry less weight than broad-based conviction — they can reflect an outlier view rather than a shared read inside the C-suite. Over the 6M window, insiders are net sellers by 180,630 shares.
- Buying concentrated in one filer — lower conviction signal.
In Prism's context
Insider activity is inconclusive here. The stock's case should lean on the framework verdict (Partial match, score 62/100) and the archetype read (Risk-First).
| Insider | Role | Type | Date | Shares | Avg price | Value | Own |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RAY MICHAEL CHARLES | Officer | Open-market sell | May 1, 2026 | 7,601 | $534.30 | $4.06M | Direct |
| MEHROTRA SANJAY | Chief Executive Officer | Open-market sell | May 1, 2026 | 40,000 | $536.26 | $21.45M | Direct |
| CORDANO MICHAEL D | Officer | Open-market sell | Apr 14, 2026 | 3,407 | $435.00 | $1.48M | Direct |
| SADANA SUMIT | Officer | Open-market sell | Apr 10, 2026 | 24,000 | $421.35 | $10.11M | Direct |
| CORDANO MICHAEL D | Officer | Open-market sell | Apr 9, 2026 | 3,407 | $420.81 | $1.43M | Direct |
| ARNZEN APRIL S | Officer | Open-market sell | Apr 1, 2026 | 40,000 | $347.39 | $13.90M | Direct |
| LIU TEYIN MARK | Director | Award / grant | Mar 31, 2026 | 97 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| SADANA SUMIT | Officer | Open-market sell | Feb 2, 2026 | 25,000 | $429.89 | $10.75M | Direct |
| RAY MICHAEL CHARLES | Officer | Open-market sell | Jan 27, 2026 | 12,268 | $409.68 | $5.03M | Direct |
| BHATIA MANISH H | Officer | Open-market sell | Jan 22, 2026 | 26,623 | $391.04 | $10.41M | Direct |
| ALLEN SCOTT R | Officer | Transaction | Jan 16, 2026 | 269 | — | — | Direct |
| LIU TEYIN MARK | Director | Open-market buy | Jan 14, 2026 | 23,200 | $337.14 | $7.82M | Direct |
| ALLEN SCOTT R | Officer | Open-market sell | Jan 6, 2026 | 2,000 | $337.50 | $675K | Direct |
| ARNZEN APRIL S | Officer | Stock Gift at price 0.00 per share. | Dec 22, 2025 | 110 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| ARNZEN APRIL S | Officer | Open-market sell | Dec 22, 2025 | 15,000 | $277.09 | $4.16M | Direct |
| GOMO STEVEN J | Director | Open-market sell | Dec 19, 2025 | 5,000 | $263.63 | $1.32M | Direct |
Insider activity from Yahoo Finance (quoteSummary: insiderTransactions + netSharePurchaseActivity). Cached 6 hours. · Insiders hold 0.3% of shares outstanding.
Net 6M: -180,630 sh
Price history
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Drag across the chart to select a custom period — all analysis below refocuses to that window.
What this means: A significant rerating — the valuation-sensitive frameworks below will have tightened since this move.
What would MU do to your portfolio?
Add Micron Technology, Inc. at a hypothetical weight and Prism recalculates your whole book:
Risk metrics
Sharpe, Sortino, volatility, max drawdown, beta — before and after.
Sector concentration
How much this shifts your top sector weight and overall diversification.
Archetype tilt
Whether this leans your book more toward Quality, Value, Growth, Deep Value, Income, or Momentum.
MU is currently tagged:Risk-FirstPartial match (62/100)
Portfolio analytics are part of the member experience.
Sign in to run this simulationProbabilistic recommendation· rec-v1.0.0-2026-04
Micron Technology, Inc. · MU
MU: 50% estimated probability of outperforming over the next 12M window. 3 of 6 signal families positive (medium confidence). Strongest support: ROE 40%. Main risk to monitor: 96% above fair value.
Outperform prob.
50%
vs S&P 500 · 12M
Expected return
-3.3% → +20.7%
mid +8.7% / yr
Downside (p20)
-25.0%
stress -50.1%
Data quality
95/100
Excellent
Prism Score
Probabilistic research output, not financial advice. Prism recommendations are based on available data, historical relationships, and model assumptions. They do not guarantee future returns. Conduct independent due diligence before any investment decision.
Backtested and similar-setup statistics may be affected by survivorship bias, look-ahead bias, overfitting, transaction costs, liquidity constraints, and data limitations. Probability estimates are anchored heuristics — not validated forecasts — until the walk-forward backtest pipeline is in place.
Prism Score
Composite 53/100. Strongest contribution from quality; weakest from valuation. Risk patterns shaved 2 points off the composite.
Composite
53
/ 100
Deep valueval.
21/ 100
P/B 11.47× · FCF yield 0.3%
Margin of safetyval.
0/ 100
96% above fair value
Bull · base · bear scenarios
Three plausible paths over a 5-year horizon.
Indicative only. Probabilities are model-implied weights for stress-testing — not forecasts.
Bull
~25%$488.32
-7.9% / yr (5y)
Operating leverage kicks in or a new product line scales — margins inflect higher, growth steps up by 200–400 bps, and the multiple re-rates as the durability becomes obvious to a wider audience.
Drivers
- • Margin expands by 200–400 bps from 68%
- • Top-line accelerates 300–500 bps above current
- • Multiple re-rates one full turn higher
Base
~55%$375.63
-12.6% / yr (5y)
Business continues to compound at recent rates — 68% operating margin holds, 196% top-line growth persists, capital allocation stays disciplined. Multiple stays roughly where it is.
Global value comparison
Micron Technology, Inc. vs sector medians — GCC, MENA, and Global ex-US.
Sector: Technology. MENA-aware investors can sanity-check whether the US name is offering value relative to regional peers.
| Metric | MU | GCC median | MENA median | Global ex-US |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (TTM) | — | 22.0× | — | 23.0× |
| P/B | 11.47× | 4.00× | — | 4.50× |
| Dividend yield | 0.08% | 1.00% | — | 1.40% |
| ROE | 39.8% |
Earnings reaction explainer
MU missed materially — -35.7% below consensus.
Reported EPS $12.20 vs $18.97 expected — a material miss. The bar of the next two prints will be lower, but the multiple that was bid up to today's level usually does not survive an unexplained shortfall this size. Trailing operating margin: 67.6%.
- Quality investorsNegative
A material miss is incompatible with a quality-compounder narrative until proven otherwise. Two more prints needed before that label is restored.
- Growth investorsNegative
Multiple compression typically follows. The risk is not the miss itself, it's that consensus needs to re-rate forward estimates lower.
- Value investorsNegative
Even cheap stocks get cheaper after this kind of print — wait for capitulation rather than catching the falling knife.
News & events
Next earnings
Wed, Jun 24 · consensus EPS $18.97 · last actual $12.20
Key Metrics at a Glance
P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/A
PEG Ratio
0.26
P/B Ratio
11.47
EPS Growth
756.0%
Revenue Growth
196.3%
Debt / Equity
0.15
Net Cash / Share
$3.36
Return on Equity
39.8%
Gross Margin
58.4%
Operating Margin
67.6%
FCF / Share
$2.57
Current Ratio
2.90