
A steady large-cap growth-at-a-reasonable-price pick trading at a discounted valuation.
Mkt Cap
$36.52B
P/E
—
PEG
0.70
P/B
1.18
Dividend
1.23%
ROE
8.8%
About the business
PG&E Corporation, through its subsidiary, Pacific Gas and Electric Company, engages in the sale and delivery of electricity and natural gas to customers in northern and central California, the United States. It generates electricity using nuclear, hydroelectric, fossil fuel-fired, fuel cells, and photovoltaic sources. The company owns and operates interconnected transmission lines; electric transmission substations, distribution lines, switching and distribution substations; and natural gas transmission, storage, and distribution systems consisting of distribution pipelines, backbone and local transmission pipelines, and various storage facilities. It serves residential, commercial, industrial, and agricultural customers, as well as natural gas-fired electric generation facilities. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Oakland, California.
Who would buy PCG?
Consensus 9/100 · Mixed · Investors are split.
Endorses
· 2 frameworksP/B < 1.5 1.18× clears "< 1.50×".
PEG < 1 (growth at a discount) 0.70× clears "< 1.00×".
Rejects
· 3 frameworks6 insiders sold $4.4M on a discretionary basis. Discretionary selling carries more signal than planned disposals, but insiders sell for many non-thesis reasons (taxes, diversification, life events) — do not over-read it. Over the 6M window, insiders are net buyers by 2,799,544 shares.
In Prism's context
Insider selling is worth flagging but insiders sell for many non-thesis reasons. Read alongside the framework verdict (Fails criteria).
| Insider | Role | Type | Date | Shares | Avg price | Value | Own |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GLICKMAN JASON M. | Officer | Open-market sell | Apr 28, 2026 | 47,264 | $16.35 | $773K | Direct |
| POPPE PATRICIA K. | Chief Executive Officer | Open-market sell | Apr 28, 2026 | 31,250 | $16.39 | $512K | Indirect |
| COOPER KERRY WHORTON | Director | Open-market sell | Mar 17, 2026 | 2,500 | $18.68 | $47K | Direct |
| BURKE CAROLYN JEANNE | Chief Financial Officer | Award / grant | Mar 16, 2026 | 144,806 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| PETERMAN CARLA J | Officer | Open-market sell | Mar 16, 2026 | 31,786 | $18.31 | $582K | Direct |
| SINGH SUMEET | Officer | Open-market sell | Mar 5, 2026 | 55,698 | $18.32 | $1.02M | Direct |
| POPPE PATRICIA K. | Chief Executive Officer | Award / grant | Mar 4, 2026 | 236,465 | $0.00 | $0 | — |
| POPPE PATRICIA K. | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Gift at price 0.00 per share. | Mar 3, 2026 | 32,335 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| SINGH SUMEET | Chief Executive Officer | Award / grant | Mar 2, 2026 | 40,817 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| WAGHRAY AJAY | Chief Technology Officer | Award / grant | Mar 2, 2026 | 15,699 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| SANTOS MARLENE | Divisional Officer | Award / grant | Mar 2, 2026 | 40,817 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| GLICKMAN JASON M. | Officer | Award / grant | Mar 2, 2026 | 27,473 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| PETERMAN CARLA J | President | Award / grant | Mar 2, 2026 | 31,398 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| WILLIAMS STEPHANIE N. | Officer | Award / grant | Mar 2, 2026 | 7,379 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| VALLEJO ALEJANDRO T | Officer | Award / grant | Mar 2, 2026 | 11,774 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| SIMON JOHN R | General Counsel | Award / grant | Mar 2, 2026 | 36,549 | $0.00 | $0 | — |
| BURKE CAROLYN JEANNE | Chief Financial Officer | Award / grant | Mar 2, 2026 | 40,817 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| SIMON JOHN R | General Counsel | Stock Gift at price 0.00 per share. | Mar 2, 2026 | 5,151 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| SINGH SUMEET | Officer | Award / grant | Feb 27, 2026 | 216,528 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| WAGHRAY AJAY | Chief Technology Officer | Award / grant | Feb 27, 2026 | 83,284 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| SANTOS MARLENE | Divisional Officer | Award / grant | Feb 27, 2026 | 216,528 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| GLICKMAN JASON M. | Officer | Award / grant | Feb 27, 2026 | 145,742 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| PETERMAN CARLA J | Officer | Award / grant | Feb 27, 2026 | 124,924 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| WILLIAMS STEPHANIE N. | Officer | Award / grant | Feb 27, 2026 | 37,478 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| VALLEJO ALEJANDRO T | Officer | Award / grant | Feb 27, 2026 | 14,994 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| POPPE PATRICIA K. | Chief Executive Officer | Award / grant | Feb 27, 2026 | 895,264 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| SIMON JOHN R | General Counsel | Award / grant | Feb 27, 2026 | 145,742 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| POPPE PATRICIA K. | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Gift at price 0.00 per share. | Feb 27, 2026 | 408,223 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| SIMON JOHN R | General Counsel | Stock Gift at price 0.00 per share. | Feb 27, 2026 | 89,105 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| SIMON JOHN R | General Counsel | Open-market sell | Feb 19, 2026 | 50,000 | $18.00 | $900K | Indirect |
| POPPE PATRICIA K. | Chief Executive Officer | Open-market sell | Feb 18, 2026 | 31,250 | $17.90 | $559K | Indirect |
Insider activity from Yahoo Finance (quoteSummary: insiderTransactions + netSharePurchaseActivity). Cached 6 hours. · Insiders hold 0.3% of shares outstanding.
Net 6M: +2,799,544 sh
Price history
Drag across the chart to select a custom period — all analysis below refocuses to that window.
Add PG&E Corporation at a hypothetical weight and Prism recalculates your whole book:
Sharpe, Sortino, volatility, max drawdown, beta — before and after.
How much this shifts your top sector weight and overall diversification.
Whether this leans your book more toward Quality, Value, Growth, Deep Value, Income, or Momentum.
Portfolio analytics are part of the member experience.
Sign in to run this simulationPCG: 48% estimated probability of outperforming over the next 12M window. 2 of 6 signal families mixed (low confidence). Strongest support: 38% below fair value. Main risk to monitor: D/E 1.88 (heavy).
Probabilistic research output, not financial advice. Prism recommendations are based on available data, historical relationships, and model assumptions. They do not guarantee future returns. Conduct independent due diligence before any investment decision.
Backtested and similar-setup statistics may be affected by survivorship bias, look-ahead bias, overfitting, transaction costs, liquidity constraints, and data limitations. Probability estimates are anchored heuristics — not validated forecasts — until the walk-forward backtest pipeline is in place.
P/B 1.18× · FCF yield -15.3%
38% below fair value
Indicative only. Probabilities are model-implied weights for stress-testing — not forecasts.
A turnaround takes hold: margin recovers toward peer averages, revenue stabilises, and the market re-prices the asset value rather than the running earnings.
No deterioration, no surprise re-acceleration. 24% operating margin and 15% top-line growth chug along; the multiple slowly converges to the central fair-value estimate.
Sector: Utilities. MENA-aware investors can sanity-check whether the US name is offering value relative to regional peers.
| Metric | PCG | GCC median | MENA median | Global ex-US |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (TTM) | — | 13.0× | — | 14.0× |
| P/B | 1.18× | 1.60× | — | 1.60× |
| Dividend yield | 1.23% | 4.80% | — | 4.60% |
| ROE | 8.8% |
Reported EPS $0.43 vs $0.36 expected — well outside the normal beat-and-raise band. The market typically rewards a print this size only if it is read as durable, not one-off. Trailing operating margin: 23.9%.
Confirms operating leverage — 40% trailing EPS growth + a beat of this size is the pattern that drives multi-year re-rates.
If ROE (9%) and operating margin (24%) are stable or rising, the beat is consistent with compounding rather than one-off.
Outsized beats on thin trailing quality often invite multiple expansion that doesn't survive the next print.
Next earnings
Thu, Apr 23 · consensus EPS $0.36 · last actual $0.43
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P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/A
PEG Ratio
0.70
P/B Ratio
1.18
EPS Growth
39.8%
Revenue Growth
15.0%
Debt / Equity
1.88
Net Cash / Share
$-28.07
Return on Equity
8.8%
Gross Margin
39.4%
Operating Margin
23.9%
FCF / Share
$-2.53
Current Ratio
1.20
ROE > 25% (elite) is 8.8% — fails "> 25.0%".
P/B < 1.0 (below book) is 1.18× — fails "< 1.00×".
Net Cash Positive (NCAV proxy) is $-28.07 — fails "> $0.00".
Trades materially below the fair-value range — historically a tailwind for forward returns.
Returns and margins are healthy and consistent.
Leverage is high relative to coverage — balance-sheet risk on the table.
Price trend is unremarkable — neither tailwind nor headwind.
Behavioural read is mixed — some accumulation, some distribution.
Recent miss and / or risk patterns weigh on the catalyst path.
Among 99 historical setups with similar Prism Score and signal-agreement profiles, 52% beat the benchmark over the next 12 months, with average excess return of +1.0% / yr.
ROE 9% · Op margin 24%
D/E 1.88 · CR 1.20
2 insiders buying
1 tracked holder · peak 8.9%
1.23% yield
58% through 52w range
EPS 40% · Rev 15%
Cyclical earnings prove to be at peak; revenue stalls and the multiple, already low, drifts lower as estimates re-rate down.
| — |
| 9.0% |
Institutional Own.
99.8%
Insider Own.
0.3%
Dividend Yield
1.23%
Book Value / Share
$14.09
Superinvestor ownership
Held by 1 tracked superinvestor · peak weight 4.8%
Weights reflect each investor's latest 13F or factsheet snapshot. Data lags real time by 45+ days.