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ROKU logo

ROKU

Roku, Inc.
Communication ServicesEntertainmentGrowth at a Reasonable Price
$125.99 · 15min delay
β 2.04

A steady large-cap growth-at-a-reasonable-price pick trading near fair value. Frameworks sharply disagree on it.

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52-wk low $67.6752-wk high $131.39

Mkt Cap

$18.61B

P/E

—

PEG

0.93

P/B

6.96

Dividend

—

ROE

7.8%

About the business

Roku, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates a TV streaming platform in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Platform and Devices. Its streaming platform allows users to find and access TV shows, movies, news, sports, and others, as well as offers digital advertising services. The company also sells streaming players, Roku-branded TVs, smart home products and services, audio products, and related accessories. Roku, Inc. was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.

Who would buy ROKU?

Consensus 34/100 · Mixed · Investors are split.

4 8 3

Endorses

· 3 frameworks
  • Peter Lynch· Lynch GARP83/100

    PEG < 1 (growth at a discount) 0.93× clears "< 1.00×".

  • Howard Marks· Marks Risk-First83/100

    Debt/Equity < 0.5 0.19 clears "< 0.50".

  • William O'Neil· Momentum / CAN SLIM83/100

    Within 15% of 52-wk high -4.1% clears "> -15.0%".

Insider activity · Negative

Insider selling outweighs buying

Strength 70/100

7 insiders sold $80.0M on a discretionary basis. Discretionary selling carries more signal than planned disposals, but insiders sell for many non-thesis reasons (taxes, diversification, life events) — do not over-read it. Over the 6M window, insiders are net buyers by 685,426 shares.

In Prism's context

Insider selling is worth flagging but insiders sell for many non-thesis reasons. Read alongside the framework verdict (Weak match).

InsiderRoleTypeDateSharesAvg priceValueOwn
COLLIER CHARLESOfficerOpen-market sellMay 4, 202620,538$124.23$2.55MDirect
COLLIER CHARLESOfficerOption exerciseMay 4, 202620,538$49.59$1.02MDirect
HUNT NEIL DDirectorOpen-market sellMay 1, 20262,000$122.11$244KDirect
HUNT NEIL DDirectorTransactionMay 1, 20262,000——Direct
FUCHSBERG GILBERTOfficerOpen-market sellMay 1, 20269,593$125.52$1.20MDirect
BANKS MATTHEW C.OfficerOpen-market sellMay 1, 2026725$125.52$91KDirect
COLLIER CHARLESOfficerOpen-market sellApr 17, 2026205,807$115.00$23.67MDirect
COLLIER CHARLESOfficerOption exerciseApr 17, 2026205,807$52.15$10.73MDirect
WOOD ANTHONY JChief Executive OfficerOpen-market sellApr 16, 202625,000$110.19$2.75MIndirect
WOOD ANTHONY JChief Executive OfficerTransactionApr 16, 202625,000——Indirect
COLLIER CHARLESOfficerOpen-market sellApr 16, 20263,431$110.17$378KDirect
JEDDA DANIELChief Operating OfficerOpen-market sellApr 15, 20267,000$107.00$749KDirect
WOOD ANTHONY JChief Executive OfficerOpen-market sellApr 10, 202650,000$100.88$5.04MIndirect
WOOD ANTHONY JChief Executive OfficerTransactionApr 10, 202650,000——Indirect
COLLIER CHARLESOfficerOpen-market sellApr 8, 2026205,821$105.00$21.61MDirect
COLLIER CHARLESOfficerOption exerciseApr 8, 2026205,821$52.16$10.73MDirect
HUNT NEIL DDirectorOpen-market sellApr 1, 20262,000$95.54$191KDirect
HUNT NEIL DDirectorTransactionApr 1, 20262,000——Direct
BANKS MATTHEW C.OfficerOpen-market sellApr 1, 2026728$96.02$70KDirect
JEDDA DANIELChief Operating OfficerOpen-market sellMar 16, 202615,000$94.23$1.41MDirect
WOOD ANTHONY JChief Executive OfficerOpen-market sellMar 10, 202650,000$99.68$4.98MIndirect
WOOD ANTHONY JChief Executive OfficerTransactionMar 10, 202650,000——Indirect
COLLIER CHARLESOfficerOpen-market sellMar 5, 20261,715$100.00$172KDirect
HANDMAN CHRISTOPHER TODDGeneral CounselOpen-market sellMar 3, 20262,999$95.57$287KDirect
WOOD ANTHONY JChief Executive OfficerStock Gift at price 0.00 per share.Mar 3, 2026403,351$0.00$0Indirect
FUCHSBERG GILBERTOfficerOpen-market sellMar 3, 20263,250$95.57$311KDirect
COLLIER CHARLESOfficerOpen-market sellMar 3, 20261,715$95.57$164KDirect
BANKS MATTHEW C.OfficerOpen-market sellMar 3, 2026716$95.57$68KDirect
HUNT NEIL DDirectorOpen-market sellMar 2, 20262,000$97.70$195KDirect
HUNT NEIL DDirectorTransactionMar 2, 20262,000——Direct
HANDMAN CHRISTOPHER TODDGeneral CounselTransactionMar 2, 202611,898——Direct
WOOD ANTHONY JChief Executive OfficerTransactionMar 2, 202620,939——Direct
OZGEN MUSTAFAOfficerTransactionMar 2, 202616,150——Direct
JEDDA DANIELChief Operating OfficerTransactionMar 2, 202626,133——Direct
FUCHSBERG GILBERTOfficerTransactionMar 2, 202610,322——Direct
COLLIER CHARLESOfficerTransactionMar 2, 202629,339——Direct
BANKS MATTHEW C.OfficerTransactionMar 2, 20265,116——Direct
WOOD ANTHONY JChief Executive OfficerStock Gift at price 0.00 per share.Feb 17, 202672,699$0.00$0—
WOOD ANTHONY JChief Executive OfficerTransactionFeb 17, 202660,000——Indirect
JEDDA DANIELChief Operating OfficerOpen-market sellFeb 17, 20263,000$88.88$267KDirect

Showing 40 of 50 matching transactions.

Insider activity from Yahoo Finance (quoteSummary: insiderTransactions + netSharePurchaseActivity). Cached 6 hours. · Insiders hold 0.6% of shares outstanding.

Net 6M: +685,426 sh

Price history

—
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Drag across the chart to select a custom period — all analysis below refocuses to that window.

What this means: A significant rerating — the valuation-sensitive frameworks below will have tightened since this move.

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AI summaries

Members get a plain-English 'what matters now' brief plus an explanation of why the price is moving, grounded in Prism's framework scores.

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Full framework decision report

See how Lynch, Buffett, Graham, Greenblatt, Fisher and more each score this stock — with every rule, threshold, and reason exposed.

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Peer comparison + AI read-through

See how this stock stacks up against its closest peers on valuation, growth, and returns — with a written peer summary.

What would ROKU do to your portfolio?

Add Roku, Inc. at a hypothetical weight and Prism recalculates your whole book:

Risk metrics

Sharpe, Sortino, volatility, max drawdown, beta — before and after.

Sector concentration

How much this shifts your top sector weight and overall diversification.

Archetype tilt

Whether this leans your book more toward Quality, Value, Growth, Deep Value, Income, or Momentum.

ROKU is currently tagged:Growth at a Reasonable PriceWeak match (34/100)

Portfolio analytics are part of the member experience.

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Probabilistic recommendation· rec-v1.0.0-2026-04

Roku, Inc. · ROKU

ROKU: 47% estimated probability of outperforming over the next 12M window. 2 of 6 signal families negative (medium confidence). Strongest support: D/E 0.19. Main risk to monitor: 167% above fair value.

Outperform prob.
47%
vs S&P 500 · 12M
medium confidence
Expected return
-10.9% → +25.1%
mid +7.1% / yr
Downside (p20)
-26.5%
stress -53.0%
Data quality
93/100
Excellent
Prism Score

Probabilistic research output, not financial advice. Prism recommendations are based on available data, historical relationships, and model assumptions. They do not guarantee future returns. Conduct independent due diligence before any investment decision.

Backtested and similar-setup statistics may be affected by survivorship bias, look-ahead bias, overfitting, transaction costs, liquidity constraints, and data limitations. Probability estimates are anchored heuristics — not validated forecasts — until the walk-forward backtest pipeline is in place.

Prism Score

Composite 47/100. Strongest contribution from ownership; weakest from valuation. Risk patterns shaved 2 points off the composite.

Composite
47
/ 100
Stretched
Deep valueval.
44/ 100

P/B 6.96× · FCF yield 3.6%

Margin of safetyval.
0/ 100

167% above fair value

Bull · base · bear scenarios

Three plausible paths over a 5-year horizon.

Indicative only. Probabilities are model-implied weights for stress-testing — not forecasts.

Bull
~20%
$61.37
-13.4% / yr (5y)

A turnaround takes hold: margin recovers toward peer averages, revenue stabilises, and the market re-prices the asset value rather than the running earnings.

Drivers
  • • Margin expands by 200–400 bps from 4%
  • • Stranded asset value crystallises
  • • Multiple re-rates one full turn higher
Base
~45%
$47.21
-17.8% / yr (5y)

No deterioration, no surprise re-acceleration. 4% operating margin and 22% top-line growth chug along; the multiple slowly converges to the central fair-value estimate.

Global value comparison

Roku, Inc. vs sector medians — GCC, MENA, and Global ex-US.

Sector: Communication Services. MENA-aware investors can sanity-check whether the US name is offering value relative to regional peers.

MetricROKUGCC medianMENA medianGlobal ex-US
P/E (TTM)—14.2×—13.5×
P/B6.96×2.10×—2.00×
Dividend yield—4.40%—4.00%
ROE7.8%
Earnings reaction explainer

ROKU reported in line with consensus.

In line· +1.1%

Reported EPS $0.57 vs $0.56 expected. With no surprise on the headline, the share-price reaction is usually driven by guidance, KPIs, or commentary on demand. Trailing operating margin: 4.1%.

  • All audiencesNeutral

    In-line prints transfer the conversation from the headline to the guidance, the segment mix, and management commentary on the demand environment.

What to watch on the next print
  • • Segment-level KPIs vs estimates
  • • Guidance vs current consensus for the next quarter

News & events

Next earnings

Thu, Jul 30 · consensus EPS $0.56 · last actual $0.57

  • Roku to Stream Enhanced Games in North America

    MT Newswires · just now

  • ROKU TO SERVE AS THE NORTH AMERICAN STREAMING HOME FOR THE INAUGURAL ENHANCED GAMES

    PR Newswire · just now

  • ENHANCED NAMES ZOOP FOUNDING PARTNER AND OFFICIAL CREATOR PLATFORM OF THE INAUGURAL ENHANCED GAMES IN $10 MILLION DOLLAR PARTNERSHIP DEAL

    PR Newswire · just now

Key Metrics at a Glance

P/E Ratio (TTM)

N/A

PEG Ratio

0.93

P/B Ratio

6.96

EPS Growth

N/A

Revenue Growth

22.4%

Debt / Equity

0.19

Net Cash / Share

$14.32

Return on Equity

7.8%

Gross Margin

44.2%

Operating Margin

4.1%

FCF / Share

$5.16

Current Ratio

2.91

Rejects

· 3 frameworks
  • Joel Greenblatt· Magic Formula0/100

    ROE > 20% is 7.8% — fails "> 20.0%".

  • Fama / French· Pure Value Factor0/100

    P/B < 1.5 is 6.96× — fails "< 1.50×".

  • Charlie Munger· Munger Elite Quality33/100

    ROE > 25% (elite) is 7.8% — fails "> 25.0%".

See the full rule-by-rule drill-down below
47/100
Low agreement
Signal families · 2 of 6 signal families negative
Agreement: Low
  • Valuationnegative

    Trades meaningfully above the fair-value range — limited margin of safety.

    167% above fair valueReverse DCF: low expectations bar
    35
    /100
  • Qualitynegative

    Returns are sub-cost-of-capital; quality bar not met.

    Op margin 4% (thin)
    40
    /100
  • Balance sheetpositive

    Capital structure is conservative and well-covered.

    D/E 0.19CR 2.91Net cash position
    76
    /100
  • Momentumpositive

    Price action is firm and trending higher.

    92% through 52w rangeβ 2.04 (elevated)
    60
    /100
  • Behaviouralnegative

    Informed money is leaning the other way — net selling or thin interest.

    Net insider selling ($80.0M)
    38
    /100
  • Catalysts & eventsneutral

    Mixed catalyst picture.

    1 medium-severity flag
    44
    /100
Positive drivers
  • • D/E 0.19
  • • CR 2.91
  • • Net cash position
  • • 92% through 52w range
  • • β 2.04 (elevated)
Key risks
  • • 167% above fair value
  • • Reverse DCF: low expectations bar
  • • Op margin 4% (thin)
  • • Net insider selling ($80.0M)
  • • Possible momentum-only setup
Suggested diligence questions
  • 1. Next earnings reaction
Similar historical setups[MOCK DATA]

Among 95 historical setups with similar Prism Score and signal-agreement profiles, 49% beat the benchmark over the next 12 months, with average excess return of -0.7% / yr.

Probabilistic research output — not financial advice.
View full thesis
Quality20%
36/ 100

ROE 8% · Op margin 4%

Balance sheet15%
97/ 100

D/E 0.19 · CR 2.91

Insider convictionown.
60/ 100

Net selling — 7 insiders

Superinvestorown.
35/ 100

No tracked superinvestor holds it

Shareholder yield10%
58/ 100

Buyback runway via FCF

Momentum5%
93/ 100

92% through 52w range

Growth5%
94/ 100

EPS — · Rev 22%

Risk deduction: 1 pattern flagged · possible momentum-only setup. 2 points removed from composite.

Designed to surface potentially attractive characteristics — descriptive, not prescriptive. For research and educational purposes only.

Customise weights
Drivers
  • • Revenue growth holds near 22%
  • • Operating margin stays around 4%
  • • No major balance-sheet surprises
Bear
~35%
$35.41
-22.4% / yr (5y)

Already-thin margins compress further on input-cost or pricing pressure; revenue softens; the market questions whether the current earnings power is structural or one-off. Multi-year drawdown plausible.

Drivers
  • • Operating margin compresses 200–400 bps
  • • Multiple compresses as estimates roll back
  • • Sentiment de-rates the name to a deeper-value multiple
Indicative weights
14.0%
—
13.0%

Editorial dataset · as of 2024-12-31. Sector medians are hand-maintained from public Tadawul / ADX / DFM / QSE / EGX disclosures and indicative Global ex-US references. Live licensed data is on the roadmap. For research and educational purposes only.

  • Q1 Consumer Subscription Earnings: Roku (NASDAQ:ROKU) Impresses

    StockStory · just now

  • LiveOne (Nasdaq: LVO) Subsidiary PodcastOne (Nasdaq: PODC) Receives $5.5M Cash Payment from $3 Per Share Warrant Exercise

    GlobeNewswire · just now

  • Video Games Strategic Intelligence Report 2026: A $352 Billion Market by 2030 with Mobile Gaming Accounting for More Than Half of Revenue - Apple, Alphabet, and Valve Control Key Distribution Channels

    GlobeNewswire · just now

  • Institutional Own.

    86.1%

    Insider Own.

    0.6%

    Dividend Yield

    N/A

    Book Value / Share

    $18.10