
A steady large-cap growth-at-a-reasonable-price pick trading near fair value. Frameworks sharply disagree on it.
Mkt Cap
$20.16B
P/E
—
PEG
0.98
P/B
1.86
Dividend
—
ROE
6.6%
About the business
SoFi Technologies, Inc. provides various financial services in the United States, Latin America, Canada, and Hong Kong. The company operates through three segments: Lending, Technology Platform, and Financial Services. It offers lending and financial services and products that allows its members to borrow, save, spend, invest, and protect money; and personal loans, student loans, home loans, and related services. The company also operates Galileo, a technology platform that offers services to financial and non-financial institution; and Technisys, a cloud-native digital and core banking platform that provides software licenses and associated services, including implementation and maintenance. In addition, it provides SoFi Money offers checking and savings accounts, and cash management products; SoFi Invest, a mobile-first investment platform that offers access to trading and advisory solutions, such as investing and robo-advisory; and SoFI Crypto, a new digital asset trading platform. Further, the company offers SoFi Credit Card that provides cash back rewards on every purchase; Sofi Relay, a personal finance management product that allows to track all of their financial accounts comprising credit score and spending behaviors; SoFi Protect which offers insurance product; SoFi Travel, an application that manages travel search and booking experience; SoFi At Work provides financial benefits to employees, including student loan payments made on their employees' behalf; Lantern Credit, a financial services marketplace platform for seeking alternative products and provide product comparisons; and other lending as a service that offers pre-qualified borrower referrals and offers loans to third-party partner. The company was founded in 2011 and is based in San Francisco, California.
Who would buy SOFI?
Consensus 33/100 · Mixed · Investors are split.
Endorses
· 3 frameworksPEG < 1 (growth at a discount) 0.98× clears "< 1.00×".
Net Cash > 0 $1.28 clears "> $0.00".
Debt/Equity < 0.5 0.18 clears "< 0.50".
4 insiders sold $8.5M on a discretionary basis. Discretionary selling carries more signal than planned disposals, but insiders sell for many non-thesis reasons (taxes, diversification, life events) — do not over-read it. Over the 6M window, insiders are net buyers by 2,470,572 shares.
In Prism's context
Insider selling is worth flagging but insiders sell for many non-thesis reasons. Read alongside the framework verdict (Weak match).
| Insider | Role | Type | Date | Shares | Avg price | Value | Own |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOTO ANTHONY J. | Chief Executive Officer | Open-market buy | May 8, 2026 | 15,878 | $15.73 | $250K | Direct |
| KEOUGH KELLI ALLEN | Officer | Open-market sell | Apr 21, 2026 | 9,742 | $19.25 | $188K | Direct |
| KEOUGH KELLI ALLEN | Officer | Open-market sell | Mar 20, 2026 | 9,742 | $16.94 | $165K | Direct |
| RISHEL JEREMY DYLAN | Chief Technology Officer | Open-market sell | Mar 18, 2026 | 94,958 | $17.43 | $1.66M | Direct |
| NOTO ANTHONY J. | Chief Executive Officer | Open-market buy | Mar 17, 2026 | 28,900 | $17.32 | $501K | Direct |
| RISHEL JEREMY DYLAN | Chief Technology Officer | Transaction | Mar 16, 2026 | 300,500 | — | — | Direct |
| PINTO ARUN | Officer | Transaction | Mar 16, 2026 | 11,434 | — | — | Direct |
| KEOUGH KELLI ALLEN | Officer | Transaction | Mar 16, 2026 | 122,188 | — | — | Direct |
| NOTO ANTHONY J. | Chief Executive Officer | Transaction | Mar 16, 2026 | 459,848 | — | — | Direct |
| LAPOINTE CHRISTOPHER | Chief Financial Officer | Transaction | Mar 16, 2026 | 155,907 | — | — | Direct |
| LAVET ROBERT S | General Counsel | Transaction | Mar 16, 2026 | 36,057 | — | — | Direct |
| NOTO ANTHONY J. | Chief Executive Officer | Open-market buy | Mar 2, 2026 | 56,000 | $17.88 | $1.00M | Direct |
| KEOUGH KELLI ALLEN | Officer | Open-market sell | Feb 20, 2026 | 9,755 | $18.87 | $184K | Direct |
| PINTO ARUN | Officer | Transaction | Feb 17, 2026 | 45,389 | — | — | Direct |
| SCHUPPENHAUER ERIC | Officer | Transaction | Feb 17, 2026 | 55,731 | — | — | Direct |
| FREIBERG STEVEN J | Director | Open-market sell | Feb 6, 2026 | 94,225 | $20.31 | $1.91M | Direct |
| FREIBERG STEVEN J | Director | Option exercise | Feb 6, 2026 | 250,000 | $7.33 | $1.83M | Direct |
| LAVET ROBERT S | General Counsel | Open-market buy | Feb 6, 2026 | 5,000 | $21.04 | $105K | Indirect |
| SCHUPPENHAUER ERIC | Officer | Open-market buy | Feb 5, 2026 | 5,000 | $19.93 | $100K | Direct |
| KEOUGH KELLI ALLEN | Officer | Open-market sell | Jan 20, 2026 | 9,468 | $25.75 | $244K | Direct |
| KEOUGH KELLI ALLEN | Officer | Open-market sell | Dec 23, 2025 | 9,468 | $27.14 | $257K | Direct |
| RISHEL JEREMY DYLAN | Chief Technology Officer | Open-market sell | Dec 17, 2025 | 91,837 | $26.64 | $2.45M | Direct |
| RISHEL JEREMY DYLAN | Chief Technology Officer | Transaction | Dec 15, 2025 | 276,543 | — | — | Direct |
| PINTO ARUN | Officer | Transaction | Dec 15, 2025 | 11,434 | — | — | Direct |
| SIMCOCK STEPHEN | General Counsel | Transaction | Dec 15, 2025 | 77,887 | — | — | Direct |
| KEOUGH KELLI ALLEN | Officer | Transaction | Dec 15, 2025 | 122,186 | — | — | Direct |
| NOTO ANTHONY J. | Chief Executive Officer | Transaction | Dec 15, 2025 | 576,850 | — | — | Direct |
| LAPOINTE CHRISTOPHER | Chief Financial Officer | Transaction | Dec 15, 2025 | 141,346 | — | — | Direct |
| RISHEL JEREMY DYLAN | Chief Technology Officer | Award / grant | Dec 8, 2025 | 1,042 | $27.64 | $29K | Direct |
| PINTO ARUN | Officer | Open-market sell | Nov 21, 2025 | 46,132 | $24.76 | $1.14M | Direct |
| KEOUGH KELLI ALLEN | Officer | Open-market sell | Nov 20, 2025 | 10,340 | $26.43 | $273K | Direct |
| PINTO ARUN | Officer | Transaction | Nov 14, 2025 | 45,388 | — | — | Direct |
| SCHUPPENHAUER ERIC | Officer | Transaction | Nov 14, 2025 | 55,731 | — | — | Direct |
Insider activity from Yahoo Finance (quoteSummary: insiderTransactions + netSharePurchaseActivity). Cached 6 hours. · Insiders hold 1.5% of shares outstanding.
Net 6M: +2,470,572 sh
Price history
Drag across the chart to select a custom period — all analysis below refocuses to that window.
Add SoFi Technologies, Inc. at a hypothetical weight and Prism recalculates your whole book:
Sharpe, Sortino, volatility, max drawdown, beta — before and after.
How much this shifts your top sector weight and overall diversification.
Whether this leans your book more toward Quality, Value, Growth, Deep Value, Income, or Momentum.
Portfolio analytics are part of the member experience.
Sign in to run this simulationSOFI: 54% estimated probability of outperforming over the next 12M window. 2 of 6 signal families mixed (medium confidence). Strongest support: Gross 84%. Main risk to monitor: 36% above fair value.
Probabilistic research output, not financial advice. Prism recommendations are based on available data, historical relationships, and model assumptions. They do not guarantee future returns. Conduct independent due diligence before any investment decision.
Backtested and similar-setup statistics may be affected by survivorship bias, look-ahead bias, overfitting, transaction costs, liquidity constraints, and data limitations. Probability estimates are anchored heuristics — not validated forecasts — until the walk-forward backtest pipeline is in place.
P/B 1.86×
36% above fair value
Indicative only. Probabilities are model-implied weights for stress-testing — not forecasts.
A turnaround takes hold: margin recovers toward peer averages, revenue stabilises, and the market re-prices the asset value rather than the running earnings.
No deterioration, no surprise re-acceleration. 18% operating margin and 43% top-line growth chug along; the multiple slowly converges to the central fair-value estimate.
Sector: Financial Services. MENA-aware investors can sanity-check whether the US name is offering value relative to regional peers.
| Metric | SOFI | GCC median | MENA median | Global ex-US |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (TTM) | — | 11.2× | 8.5× | 11.5× |
| P/B | 1.86× | 1.70× | 1.20× | 1.30× |
| Dividend yield | — | 4.60% | 4.20% | 4.00% |
| ROE | 6.6% |
Reported EPS $0.12 vs $0.12 expected. With no surprise on the headline, the share-price reaction is usually driven by guidance, KPIs, or commentary on demand. Trailing operating margin: 18.3%.
In-line prints transfer the conversation from the headline to the guidance, the segment mix, and management commentary on the demand environment.
Next earnings
Tue, Jul 28 · consensus EPS $0.12 · last actual $0.12
P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/A
PEG Ratio
0.98
P/B Ratio
1.86
EPS Growth
101.2%
Revenue Growth
42.5%
Debt / Equity
0.18
Net Cash / Share
$1.28
Return on Equity
6.6%
Gross Margin
83.5%
Operating Margin
18.3%
FCF / Share
N/A
Current Ratio
1.12
Rejects
· 3 frameworksP/B < 1.5 is 1.86× — fails "< 1.50×".
ROE > 20% is 6.6% — fails "> 20.0%".
P/B < 1.0 (below book) is 1.86× — fails "< 1.00×".
Trades meaningfully above the fair-value range — limited margin of safety.
Quality is mixed — some strengths, some softness.
Capital structure is unremarkable — neither a stress nor a tailwind.
Price has been weak — momentum is a headwind.
Behavioural read is mixed — some accumulation, some distribution.
Mixed catalyst picture.
Among 101 historical setups with similar Prism Score and signal-agreement profiles, 53% beat the benchmark over the next 12 months, with average excess return of +1.7% / yr.
ROE 7% · Op margin 18%
D/E 0.18 · CR 1.12
3 insiders buying
No tracked superinvestor holds it
No yield inputs
15% through 52w range
EPS 101% · Rev 43%
Cyclical earnings prove to be at peak; revenue stalls and the multiple, already low, drifts lower as estimates re-rate down.
| 15.0% |
| 17.0% |
| 12.0% |
Institutional Own.
57.5%
Insider Own.
1.5%
Dividend Yield
N/A
Book Value / Share
$8.44