TMUS
T-Mobile US, Inc.Communication ServicesTelecom ServicesIncome
$193.71 · 15min delay
β 0.32A high-quality mega-cap income stock trading at a discounted valuation.
52-wk low $181.3652-wk high $261.56
Mkt Cap
$209.63B
P/E
—
PEG
0.77
P/B
3.62
Dividend
2.14%
ROE
18.0%
About the business
T-Mobile US, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides wireless communications services in the United States, Puerto Rico, and the United States Virgin Islands. The company offers voice, messaging, and data services to postpaid, prepaid, and wholesale and other services customers. It also provides wireless devices, including smartphones, wearables, tablets, home broadband gateways, headsets, and other mobile communication devices, as well as accessories; financing through equipment installment plans; reinsurance for device insurance policies and extended warranty contracts. The company offers services under the T-Mobile, Metro by T-Mobile, and Mint Mobile brands through its owned and operated retail stores, customer care channels, national retailers, and its websites, as well as through T-Mobile, Metro by T-Mobile, and Mint Mobile apps. It also sells devices to dealers and other third-party distributors for resale through independent third-party retail outlets and various third-party websites. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Bellevue, Washington. T-Mobile US, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Deutsche Telekom AG.
Who would buy TMUS?
Consensus 10/100 · Mixed · Investors are split.
0 4 11
Endorses
· 2 frameworks- Dividend Growth School· Dividend Income75/100
Dividend Yield > 2% 2.1% clears "> 2.0%".
- Warren Buffett· Buffett Quality67/100
ROE > 15% 18.0% clears "> 15.0%".
Rejects
· 3 frameworks- Seth Klarman
Insider activity · Mixed
Open-market buying concentrated in one insider
Strength 35/100
Buying is limited to a single filer (ALMEIDA ANDRE, $1.0M). Single-insider buys are worth noting but carry less weight than broad-based conviction — they can reflect an outlier view rather than a shared read inside the C-suite. Over the 6M window, insiders are net sellers by 258,054 shares.
- Buying concentrated in one filer — lower conviction signal.
In Prism's context
Insider activity is inconclusive here. The stock's case should lean on the framework verdict (Fails criteria, score 10/100) and the archetype read (Income).
| Insider | Role | Type | Date | Shares | Avg price | Value | Own |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALMEIDA ANDRE | Officer | Open-market buy | May 1, 2026 | 5,097 | $196.20 | $1.00M | Direct |
| KATZ MICHAEL J | Officer | Open-market sell | May 1, 2026 | 5,000 | $195.81 | $979K | Direct |
| NELSON MARK WOLFE | General Counsel | Award / grant | Mar 12, 2026 | 85 | $213.54 | $18K | Direct |
| DATAR SRIKANT MADHAV | Director | Open-market sell | Mar 10, 2026 | 1,000 | $218.25 | $218K | Indirect |
| DATAR SRIKANT MADHAV | Director | Open-market sell | Mar 4, 2026 | 3,291 | $221.10 | $728K | Direct |
| NELSON MARK WOLFE | General Counsel | Open-market sell | Feb 24, 2026 | 2,329 | $222.40 | $518K | Direct |
| SIEVERT G MICHAEL | Director | Open-market sell | Feb 24, 2026 | 15,000 | $220.20 | $3.30M | Direct |
| SIEVERT G MICHAEL | Director | Open-market sell | Feb 19, 2026 | 80,000 | $214.94 | $17.20M | Direct |
| NELSON MARK WOLFE | General Counsel | Open-market sell | Feb 18, 2026 | 16,514 | $220.38 | $3.64M | Direct |
| OSVALDIK PETER | Chief Financial Officer | Open-market sell | Feb 18, 2026 | 27,000 | $214.86 | $5.80M | Direct |
| ALMEIDA ANDRE | Officer | Award / grant | Feb 13, 2026 | 13,654 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| DROBAC DANIEL JAMES | Officer | Award / grant | Feb 13, 2026 | 3,837 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| GOPALAN SRINI | Chief Executive Officer | Award / grant | Feb 13, 2026 | 60,031 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| KING DEEANNE | Officer | Award / grant | Feb 13, 2026 | 13,853 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| FREIER JON | Chief Operating Officer | Award / grant | Feb 13, 2026 | 31,558 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| KATZ MICHAEL J | Officer | Award / grant | Feb 13, 2026 | 41,441 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| NELSON MARK WOLFE | General Counsel | Award / grant | Feb 13, 2026 | 31,863 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| SAW JOHN | Chief Technology Officer | Award / grant | Feb 13, 2026 | 12,243 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| OSVALDIK PETER | Chief Financial Officer | Award / grant | Feb 13, 2026 | 31,373 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| CLAURE RAUL MARCELO | Director | Open-market sell | Feb 12, 2026 | 550,000 | $217.57 | $119.66M | Indirect |
| NELSON MARK WOLFE | General Counsel | Award / grant | Dec 11, 2025 | 68 | $196.56 | $13K | Direct |
| OSVALDIK PETER | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Gift at price 0.00 per share. | Dec 9, 2025 | 1,200 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| LONG LETITIA A | Director | Open-market sell | Dec 5, 2025 | 1,457 | $210.32 | $306K | Direct |
| SIEVERT G MICHAEL | Director | Stock Gift at price 0.00 per share. | Dec 3, 2025 | 65,500 | $0.00 | $0 | Direct |
| SIEVERT G MICHAEL | Director | Open-market sell | Nov 18, 2025 | 45,000 | $215.61 | $9.70M | Direct |
| KATZ MICHAEL J | Officer | Open-market sell | Nov 17, 2025 | 2,500 | $215.91 | $540K | Direct |
Insider activity from Yahoo Finance (quoteSummary: insiderTransactions + netSharePurchaseActivity). Cached 6 hours. · Insiders hold 56.8% of shares outstanding.
Net 6M: -258,054 sh
Price history
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Drag across the chart to select a custom period — all analysis below refocuses to that window.
What this means: Price near 52-week lows confirms what most frameworks are already flagging: the market is discounting deteriorating fundamentals.
What would TMUS do to your portfolio?
Add T-Mobile US, Inc. at a hypothetical weight and Prism recalculates your whole book:
Risk metrics
Sharpe, Sortino, volatility, max drawdown, beta — before and after.
Sector concentration
How much this shifts your top sector weight and overall diversification.
Archetype tilt
Whether this leans your book more toward Quality, Value, Growth, Deep Value, Income, or Momentum.
TMUS is currently tagged:IncomeFails criteria (10/100)
Portfolio analytics are part of the member experience.
Sign in to run this simulationProbabilistic recommendation· rec-v1.0.0-2026-04
T-Mobile US, Inc. · TMUS
TMUS: 42% estimated probability of outperforming over the next 12M window. 1 of 6 signal families negative (low confidence). Strongest support: ROE 18%. Main risk to monitor: 62% above fair value.
Outperform prob.
42%
vs S&P 500 · 12M
Expected return
-4.7% → +19.3%
mid +7.3% / yr
Downside (p20)
-10.8%
stress -21.7%
Data quality
95/100
Excellent
Prism Score
Probabilistic research output, not financial advice. Prism recommendations are based on available data, historical relationships, and model assumptions. They do not guarantee future returns. Conduct independent due diligence before any investment decision.
Backtested and similar-setup statistics may be affected by survivorship bias, look-ahead bias, overfitting, transaction costs, liquidity constraints, and data limitations. Probability estimates are anchored heuristics — not validated forecasts — until the walk-forward backtest pipeline is in place.
Prism Score
Composite 44/100. Strongest contribution from quality; weakest from ownership. Risk patterns shaved 6 points off the composite.
Composite
44
/ 100
Deep valueval.
69/ 100
P/B 3.62× · FCF yield 5.1%
Margin of safetyval.
0/ 100
62% above fair value
Bull · base · bear scenarios
Three plausible paths over a 5-year horizon.
Indicative only. Probabilities are model-implied weights for stress-testing — not forecasts.
Bull
~25%$155.52
-4.3% / yr (5y)
Operating leverage kicks in or a new product line scales — margins inflect higher, growth steps up by 200–400 bps, and the multiple re-rates as the durability becomes obvious to a wider audience.
Drivers
- • Margin expands by 200–400 bps from 22%
- • Top-line accelerates 300–500 bps above current
- • Multiple re-rates one full turn higher
Base
~55%$119.63
-9.2% / yr (5y)
Business continues to compound at recent rates — 22% operating margin holds, 11% top-line growth persists, capital allocation stays disciplined. Multiple stays roughly where it is.
Global value comparison
T-Mobile US, Inc. vs sector medians — GCC, MENA, and Global ex-US.
Sector: Communication Services. MENA-aware investors can sanity-check whether the US name is offering value relative to regional peers.
| Metric | TMUS | GCC median | MENA median | Global ex-US |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (TTM) | — | 14.2× | — | 13.5× |
| P/B | 3.62× | 2.10× | — | 2.00× |
| Dividend yield | 2.14% | 4.40% | — | 4.00% |
| ROE | 18.0% |
Earnings reaction explainer
TMUS missed materially — -14.0% below consensus.
Reported EPS $2.27 vs $2.64 expected — a material miss. The bar of the next two prints will be lower, but the multiple that was bid up to today's level usually does not survive an unexplained shortfall this size. Trailing operating margin: 21.5%.
- Quality investorsNegative
A material miss is incompatible with a quality-compounder narrative until proven otherwise. Two more prints needed before that label is restored.
- Growth investorsNegative
Multiple compression typically follows. The risk is not the miss itself, it's that consensus needs to re-rate forward estimates lower.
- Value investorsNegative
Even cheap stocks get cheaper after this kind of print — wait for capitulation rather than catching the falling knife.
News & events
Next earnings
Wed, Jul 22 · consensus EPS $2.64 · last actual $2.27
Key Metrics at a Glance
P/E Ratio (TTM)
N/A
PEG Ratio
0.77
P/B Ratio
3.62
EPS Growth
-12.0%
Revenue Growth
10.6%
Debt / Equity
2.19
Net Cash / Share
$-109.60
Return on Equity
18.0%
Gross Margin
63.3%
Operating Margin
21.5%
FCF / Share
$9.97
Current Ratio
1.09