UBER

Uber Technologies, Inc.

TechnologySoftware - ApplicationIncome

$76.33 · 15min delay

β 1.16

A high-quality large-cap income stock trading at a premium valuation. Frameworks sharply disagree on it.

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52-wk low $68.4652-wk high $101.99

Mkt Cap

$155.39B

P/E

—

PEG

4.51

P/B

5.84

Dividend

—

ROE

35.3%

About the business

Uber Technologies, Inc. develops and operates proprietary technology applications in the United States, Canada, Latin America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company operates through three segments: Mobility, Delivery, and Freight. The Mobility segment connects consumers with a range of transportation modalities, such as ridesharing, carsharing, micromobility, rentals, public transit, taxis, and other modalities; and offers riders in a variety of vehicle types, as well as financial partnerships products and advertising services. The Delivery segment allows consumers to search for and discover restaurants to grocery, alcohol, convenience, and other retailers, as well as order a meal or other items, and either pick-up at the restaurant or have it delivered; and provides Uber direct, a white-label delivery-as-a-service for retailers and restaurants, as well as advertising services. The Freight segment manages transportation and logistics networks, which connects shippers and carriers in digital marketplace, including carriers upfronts, pricing, and shipment booking; and offers on-demand platform to automate logistics end-to-end transactions for small-and medium-sized businesses to global enterprises. The company was formerly known as Ubercab, Inc. and changed its name to Uber Technologies, Inc. in February 2011. Uber Technologies, Inc. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

Who would buy UBER?

Consensus 20/100 · Mixed · Investors are split.

1 6 8

Endorses

· 1 framework

Dividend Growth School· Dividend Income100/100
Payout Ratio < 70% 0.0% clears "< 70.0%".

Rejects

· 3 frameworks

Fama / French· Pure Value Factor0/100
P/B < 1.5 is 5.84× — fails "< 1.50×".
Benjamin Graham

Insider activity · Mixed

Open-market buying concentrated in one insider

Strength 35/100

Buying is limited to a single filer (KRISHNAMURTHY BALAJI, $1.6M). Single-insider buys are worth noting but carry less weight than broad-based conviction — they can reflect an outlier view rather than a shared read inside the C-suite. Over the 6M window, insiders are net buyers by 1,280,012 shares.

Buying concentrated in one filer — lower conviction signal.

In Prism's context

Insider activity is inconclusive here. The stock's case should lean on the framework verdict (Fails criteria, score 20/100) and the archetype read (Income).

Insider	Role	Type	Date	Shares	Avg price	Value	Own
TRUJILLO DAVID I.	Director	Transaction	May 4, 2026	5,415	—	—	Direct
SUGAR RONALD D	Director	Transaction	May 1, 2026	4,091	—	—	Direct
THAIN JOHN A	Director	Transaction	May 1, 2026	4,091	—	—	Direct
WYNAENDTS ALEXANDER RIJN	Director	Transaction	May 1, 2026	4,091	—	—	Direct
ALNOWAISER TURQI A	Director	Transaction	May 1, 2026	4,091	—	—	Direct
THAIN JOHN A	Director	Transaction	Apr 16, 2026	338	—	—	Direct
CEREMONY GLEN	Officer	Transaction	Apr 16, 2026	3,611	—	—	Direct
HAZELBAKER JILL	Officer	Transaction	Apr 16, 2026	8,809	—	—	Direct
WEST, TONY	Officer	Transaction	Apr 16, 2026	7,195	—	—	Direct
KRISHNAMURTHY BALAJI	Chief Financial Officer	Transaction	Apr 16, 2026	4,392	—	—	Direct
MACDONALD ANDREW	President	Transaction	Apr 16, 2026	10,167	—	—	Direct
KHOSROWSHAHI DARA	Chief Executive Officer	Transaction	Mar 16, 2026	496,958	—	—	Direct
CEREMONY GLEN	Officer	Transaction	Mar 16, 2026	4,342	—	—	Direct
HAZELBAKER JILL	Officer	Transaction	Mar 16, 2026	96,754	—	—	Direct
KRISHNAMURTHY TANYA NICHOLE	Officer	Open-market sell	Mar 16, 2026	30,000	$74.45	$2.23M	Direct
KRISHNAMURTHY TANYA NICHOLE	Officer	Transaction	Mar 16, 2026	76,007	—	—	Direct
WEST, TONY	Officer	Transaction	Mar 16, 2026	109,973	—	—	Direct
MACDONALD ANDREW	President	Transaction	Mar 16, 2026	153,449	—	—	Direct
KRISHNAMURTHY BALAJI	Chief Financial Officer	Open-market buy	Feb 24, 2026	22,453	$71.25	$1.60M	Direct
CEREMONY GLEN	Officer	Transaction	Feb 13, 2026	4,342	—	—	Direct
MAHENDRA-RAJAH PRASHANTH	Chief Financial Officer	Transaction	Feb 13, 2026	3,697	—	—	Direct
HAZELBAKER JILL	Officer	Transaction	Feb 13, 2026	8,193	—	—	Direct
KRISHNAMURTHY TANYA NICHOLE	Officer	Transaction	Feb 13, 2026	6,423	—	—	Direct
WEST, TONY	Officer	Transaction	Feb 13, 2026	8,757	—	—	Direct
KRISHNAMURTHY BALAJI	Chief Financial Officer	Transaction	Feb 13, 2026	3,286	—	—	Direct
MACDONALD ANDREW	President	Transaction	Feb 13, 2026	12,875	—	—	Direct
HAZELBAKER JILL	Officer	Stock Gift at price 0.00 per share.	Feb 10, 2026	1,520	$0.00	$0	Direct
THAIN JOHN A	Director	Transaction	Jan 16, 2026	297	—	—	Direct
CEREMONY GLEN	Officer	Transaction	Jan 16, 2026	4,343	—	—	Direct
MAHENDRA-RAJAH PRASHANTH	Chief Financial Officer	Transaction	Jan 16, 2026	3,696	—	—	Direct
HAZELBAKER JILL	Officer	Transaction	Jan 16, 2026	8,194	—	—	Direct
KRISHNAMURTHY TANYA NICHOLE	Officer	Transaction	Jan 16, 2026	6,425	—	—	Direct
MACDONALD ANDREW	President	Transaction	Jan 16, 2026	12,875	—	—	Direct
MACDONALD ANDREW	President	Option exercise	Dec 23, 2025	125,000	$42.52	$5.32M	Direct
WEST, TONY	Officer	Open-market sell	Dec 18, 2025	3,125	$80.36	$251K	Direct
CEREMONY GLEN	Officer	Transaction	Dec 16, 2025	4,343	—	—	Direct
MAHENDRA-RAJAH PRASHANTH	Chief Financial Officer	Transaction	Dec 16, 2025	3,697	—	—	Direct
HAZELBAKER JILL	Officer	Transaction	Dec 16, 2025	8,194	—	—	Direct
KRISHNAMURTHY TANYA NICHOLE	Officer	Transaction	Dec 16, 2025	6,423	—	—	Direct
WEST, TONY	Officer	Transaction	Dec 16, 2025	8,758	—	—	Direct

Showing 40 of 49 matching transactions.

Insider activity from Yahoo Finance (quoteSummary: insiderTransactions + netSharePurchaseActivity). Cached 6 hours. · Insiders hold 0.4% of shares outstanding.

Net 6M: +1,280,012 sh

Price history

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Drag across the chart to select a custom period — all analysis below refocuses to that window.

What this means: A notable drawdown — worth re-reading the framework verdicts below with the cheaper price in mind.

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AI summaries

Members get a plain-English 'what matters now' brief plus an explanation of why the price is moving, grounded in Prism's framework scores.

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Full framework decision report

See how Lynch, Buffett, Graham, Greenblatt, Fisher and more each score this stock — with every rule, threshold, and reason exposed.

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Peer comparison + AI read-through

See how this stock stacks up against its closest peers on valuation, growth, and returns — with a written peer summary.

What would UBER do to your portfolio?

Add Uber Technologies, Inc. at a hypothetical weight and Prism recalculates your whole book:

Risk metrics

Sharpe, Sortino, volatility, max drawdown, beta — before and after.

Sector concentration

How much this shifts your top sector weight and overall diversification.

Archetype tilt

Whether this leans your book more toward Quality, Value, Growth, Deep Value, Income, or Momentum.

UBER is currently tagged:IncomeFails criteria (20/100)

Portfolio analytics are part of the member experience.

Probabilistic recommendation· rec-v1.0.0-2026-04

Uber Technologies, Inc. · UBER

UBER: 50% estimated probability of outperforming over the next 12M window. 1 of 6 signal families negative (medium confidence). Strongest support: Insider buying ($1.6M). Main risk to monitor: Reverse DCF: priced for perfection.

Outperform prob.

50%

vs S&P 500 · 12M

medium confidence

Expected return

-4.4% → +19.6%

mid +7.6% / yr

Downside (p20)

-15.9%

stress -31.8%

Data quality

95/100

Excellent

Probabilistic research output, not financial advice. Prism recommendations are based on available data, historical relationships, and model assumptions. They do not guarantee future returns. Conduct independent due diligence before any investment decision.

Backtested and similar-setup statistics may be affected by survivorship bias, look-ahead bias, overfitting, transaction costs, liquidity constraints, and data limitations. Probability estimates are anchored heuristics — not validated forecasts — until the walk-forward backtest pipeline is in place.

Prism Score

Composite 58/100. Strongest contribution from ownership; weakest from valuation. Risk patterns shaved 2 points off the composite.

Composite

/ 100

Mixed

Deep valueval.

53/ 100

P/B 5.84× · FCF yield 4.2%

Margin of safetyval.

55/ 100

5% above fair value

Bull · base · bear scenarios

Three plausible paths over a 5-year horizon.

Indicative only. Probabilities are model-implied weights for stress-testing — not forecasts.

Bull

~25%

$94.83

+4.4% / yr (5y)

Operating leverage kicks in or a new product line scales — margins inflect higher, growth steps up by 200–400 bps, and the multiple re-rates as the durability becomes obvious to a wider audience.

Drivers

• Margin expands by 200–400 bps from 15%
• Top-line accelerates 300–500 bps above current
• Multiple re-rates one full turn higher

Base

~55%

$72.95

-0.9% / yr (5y)

Business continues to compound at recent rates — 15% operating margin holds, 14% top-line growth persists, capital allocation stays disciplined. Multiple stays roughly where it is.

Global value comparison

Uber Technologies, Inc. vs sector medians — GCC, MENA, and Global ex-US.

Sector: Technology. MENA-aware investors can sanity-check whether the US name is offering value relative to regional peers.

Metric	UBER	GCC median	MENA median	Global ex-US
P/E (TTM)	—	22.0×	—	23.0×
P/B	5.84×	4.00×	—	4.50×
Dividend yield	—	1.00%	—	1.40%
ROE	35.3%

Earnings reaction explainer

UBER missed materially — -84.0% below consensus.

Big miss· -84.0%

Reported EPS $0.13 vs $0.81 expected — a material miss. The bar of the next two prints will be lower, but the multiple that was bid up to today's level usually does not survive an unexplained shortfall this size. Trailing operating margin: 14.6%.

Quality investorsNegative
A material miss is incompatible with a quality-compounder narrative until proven otherwise. Two more prints needed before that label is restored.
Growth investorsNegative
Multiple compression typically follows. The risk is not the miss itself, it's that consensus needs to re-rate forward estimates lower.
Value investorsNegative
Even cheap stocks get cheaper after this kind of print — wait for capitulation rather than catching the falling knife.

News & events

Next earnings

Wed, Aug 5 · consensus EPS $0.81 · last actual $0.13

Key Metrics at a Glance

P/E Ratio (TTM)

N/A

PEG Ratio

4.51

P/B Ratio

5.84

EPS Growth

-84.6%

Revenue Growth

14.5%

Debt / Equity

0.48

Net Cash / Share

$-3.11

Return on Equity

35.3%

Gross Margin

39.6%

Operating Margin

14.6%

FCF / Share

$3.21

Current Ratio

1.07